USC at Wisconsin
Final — USC 7, Wisconsin 24This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.
16USC@
Wisconsin
USC -1.5 · O/U 50.5
16USCSaturday 2026-10-24
7:30pm
WisconsinByeLast weekL 7-17 @ UCLA
vs Ohio StateNext week@ Iowa
64OFF plays last game49
65DEF plays last game72
Miles flown, last 21 days
6,165 mi109th98th3,319 mi
Exclude USC weeks
Exclude Wisconsin weeks
Stats from games played through week 7
EPA rank · adjusted
1stOffense55th
86thDefense12th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
−1.5 USC vs Wisconsin +1.5
vs Wisconsin +1.5big-play DEF114th17thbig-play OFF
stuffing runs79th6thruns not stuffed
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
−1.5 USC vs Wisconsin +1.5
vs Wisconsin +1.5USC OFF vs Wisconsin DEF
runs not stuffed48th108thstuffing runs
big-play OFF78th17thbig-play DEF
pass OFF1st10thpass DEF
run OFF38th21strun DEF
standard-down OFF7th17thstandard-down DEF
passing-down OFF2nd5thpassing-down DEF
run blocking25th27thrun DEF up front
USC DEF vs Wisconsin OFF
pass DEF99th66thpass OFF
run DEF53rd57thrun OFF
standard-down DEF67th59thstandard-down OFF
passing-down DEF71st90thpassing-down OFF
run DEF up front51st35thrun blocking
Pace & tendencies
70.931stPlays per game126th60.6
52%60thPass rate101st47%
60.0129thPlays faced per game46th69.2
16USC
away
1 ATS trend
USC-1.5
ATSAs a fav of 3 points or fewer, off a win, off a bye
57.8%
win rate
108-79-6
record
+10.3%
roi
+1.4ppg
avg cover
📈
WWWWWLWWLWWLWLWLLWLW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +1.0 ppg
last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg cover -7.5 ppg
since 2013: 108-79-6 (57.8%) · avg cover +1.4 ppg
Wisconsin
home
2 ATS trends · 2 🔥
Wisconsin+1.5
ATSfadeFading Riley as a road fav
74.3%
win rate
26-9-1
record
+41.8%
roi
+6.1ppg
avg cover
🔥
WWLWWLWWWWWWWLWWWWLW
last 20: 16-4 (80.0%) · avg cover +8.3 ppg
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +6.8 ppg
since 2013: 26-9-1 (74.3%) · avg cover +6.1 ppg
Wisconsin+1.5
ATSfadeFading road teams, on 4,500+ miles of travel in three weeks, with a total of 50+
63.5%
win rate
73-42-1
record
+21.2%
roi
+4.4ppg
avg cover
🔥
LWLWLWWWWLWWWLWLWLWW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +5.3 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +12.1 ppg
since 2013: 73-42-1 (63.5%) · avg cover +4.4 ppg
Over / Under
3 trends
Under 50.5
Under
Luke Fickell as a dog
70.7%
win rate
29-12
record
+35.0%
roi
+5.2ppg
avg under
🔥
LLLWLWLWLWWWWWWWLLWW
last 20: 12-8 (60.0%) · avg under +3.5 ppg
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg under +8.7 ppg
since 2013: 29-12 (70.7%) · avg under +5.2 ppg
Under 50.5
Under
In a conference game, with a team off a bye, in primetime
58.0%
win rate
251-182-5
record
+10.7%
roi
+1.8ppg
avg under
🔥
WLLWWLWWWLLWWWLWLWWW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg under +6.1 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg under +9.4 ppg
since 2013: 251-182-5 (58.0%) · avg under +1.8 ppg
Over 50.5
Over
Lincoln Riley off a win
61.3%
win rate
57-36
record
+17.0%
roi
+4.2ppg
avg over
📈
WLLLWWLWWLWLWWLWWWLL
last 20: 11-9 (55.0%) · avg over +2.9 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg over +2.3 ppg
since 2013: 57-36 (61.3%) · avg over +4.2 ppg
- Camp Randall Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 8 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
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