Utah State at Texas State
Final — Utah State 17, Texas State 20This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.
Utah State@
Texas State
Texas State -14.5 · O/U 58.5
Utah StateSaturday 2026-10-24
7:30pm
Texas StateByeLast weekW 66-27 vs Colorado State
vs Colorado StateNext week@ Boise State
60OFF plays last game75
70DEF plays last game71
Miles flown, last 21 days
1,127 mi53rd1st0 mi
Exclude Utah State weeks
Exclude Texas State weeks
Stats from games played through week 7
EPA rank · adjusted
122ndOffense18th
44thDefense94th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+14.5 Utah State vs Texas State −14.5
vs Texas State −14.5big-play OFF12th91stbig-play DEF
runs not stuffed104th14thstuffing runs
run OFF124th57thrun DEF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+14.5 Utah State vs Texas State −14.5
vs Texas State −14.5Utah State OFF vs Texas State DEF
standard-down OFF135th90thstandard-down DEF
run blocking85th52ndrun DEF up front
pass OFF132nd118thpass DEF
passing-down OFF101st120thpassing-down DEF
Utah State DEF vs Texas State OFF
pass DEF46th12thpass OFF
standard-down DEF64th31ststandard-down OFF
stuffing runs53rd22ndruns not stuffed
run DEF33rd8thrun OFF
big-play DEF51st43rdbig-play OFF
passing-down DEF20th1stpassing-down OFF
run DEF up front37th21strun blocking
Pace & tendencies
58.8134thPlays per game4th80.6
55%31stPass rate126th41%
72.421stPlays faced per game33rd70.8
Utah State
away
2 ATS trends · 1 🔥
Utah State+14.5
ATSMendenhall as a road dog of more than 3 points, off a win, in primetime
90.0%
win rate
9-1
record
+71.8%
roi
+11.9ppg
avg cover
🔥
WWWWWWLWWW
last 10: 9-1 (90.0%) · avg cover +11.9 ppg
since 2013: 9-1 (90.0%) · avg cover +11.9 ppg
Utah State+14.5
ATSfadeFading Kinne off a win, in primetime
70.0%
win rate
7-3
record
+33.6%
roi
+2.5ppg
avg cover
📈
WLWWLLWWWW
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +2.5 ppg
since 2013: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +2.5 ppg
Texas State
home
1 ATS trend · 1 🔥
Texas State-14.5
ATSfadeFading teams in a conference game, in primetime, playing 15°+ warmer than at home
61.4%
win rate
78-49-3
record
+17.3%
roi
+2.2ppg
avg cover
🔥
WWPPLWWLWWWLWWLWLLWL
last 20: 11-7-2 (61.1%) · avg cover +2.8 ppg
last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg cover +1.8 ppg
since 2013: 78-49-3 (61.4%) · avg cover +2.2 ppg
Over / Under
3 trends
Under 58.5
Under
In a conference game, with a team off a bye, in primetime
58.0%
win rate
251-182-5
record
+10.7%
roi
+1.8ppg
avg under
🔥
WLLWWLWWWLLWWWLWLWWW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg under +6.1 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg under +9.4 ppg
since 2013: 251-182-5 (58.0%) · avg under +1.8 ppg
Over 58.5
Over
Bronco Mendenhall as a dog of more than 7 points, off a win
81.8%
win rate
9-2
record
+56.2%
roi
+9.3ppg
avg over
📈
WLWWWWWWWWL
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg over +8.7 ppg
since 2013: 9-2 (81.8%) · avg over +9.3 ppg
Under 58.5
Under
G.J. Kinne as a fav of more than 10 points, off a win
72.7%
win rate
8-3
record
+38.8%
roi
+4.0ppg
avg under
📈
WWWLLWWWWLW
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg under +4.3 ppg
since 2013: 8-3 (72.7%) · avg under +4.0 ppg
- Bobcat Stadium (TX)
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 8 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
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