App State at Georgia Southern
App State@
Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern -4.5 · O/U 54.5
App StateSaturday 2026-10-31
6:30pm
75°F · wind 11 mph · 💧 10%
Georgia SouthernW 34-31 vs James MadisonLast weekBye
vs Georgia StateNext weekvs Marshall
77OFF plays last game76
76DEF plays last game57
Miles flown, last 21 days
713 mi33rd39th878 mi
Exclude App State weeks
Exclude Georgia Southern weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
92ndOffense55th
87thDefense72nd
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+4.5 App State vs Georgia Southern −4.5
vs Georgia Southern −4.5big-play DEF14th86thbig-play OFF
runs not stuffed124th39thstuffing runs
run OFF124th58thrun DEF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+4.5 App State vs Georgia Southern −4.5
vs Georgia Southern −4.5App State OFF vs Georgia Southern DEF
pass OFF64th98thpass DEF
big-play OFF59th12thbig-play DEF
run blocking124th83rdrun DEF up front
passing-down OFF89th61stpassing-down DEF
standard-down OFF101st74thstandard-down DEF
App State DEF vs Georgia Southern OFF
standard-down DEF117th64thstandard-down OFF
pass DEF91st42ndpass OFF
run DEF112th74thrun OFF
passing-down DEF56th46thpassing-down OFF
run DEF up front71st88thrun blocking
stuffing runs79th97thruns not stuffed
Pace & tendencies
70.827thPlays per game64th68.0
54%45thPass rate8th60%
72.319thPlays faced per game86th65.7
App State
away
2 ATS trends
App State+4.5
ATSAs a dog of more than 3 points, in wind of 11+ mph, playing 15°+ warmer than at home
63.6%
win rate
21-12
record
+21.5%
roi
+5.3ppg
avg cover
📈
WWLLWWLLWWWWWLLWWWLW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +5.2 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +3.8 ppg
since 2013: 21-12 (63.6%) · avg cover +5.3 ppg
App State+4.5
ATSfadecoolingFading Helton off a win
58.3%
win rate
49-35-3
record
+11.4%
roi
+3.0ppg
avg cover
📈
LWLWLWPLWWLWLWWLWLLL
last 20: 9-10-1 (47.4%) · avg cover +3.4 ppg
last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg cover +2.4 ppg
since 2013: 49-35-3 (58.3%) · avg cover +3.0 ppg
Georgia Southern
home
1 ATS trend
Georgia Southern-4.5
ATSfadeFading teams with a total of 50+, playing 15°+ warmer than at home
57.4%
win rate
117-87-6
record
+9.5%
roi
+1.6ppg
avg cover
📈
WWWLWWLWLLLLWWLWWLWL
last 20: 11-9 (55.0%) · avg cover +2.5 ppg
last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg cover +0.8 ppg
since 2013: 117-87-6 (57.4%) · avg cover +1.6 ppg
Over / Under
1 trend
Under 54.5
Under
Late in the season, in wind of 11+ mph
55.5%
win rate
197-158-6
record
+5.9%
roi
+0.2ppg
avg under
📈
WWWLWLWWLWLLWWLWLLLW
last 20: 11-9 (55.0%) · avg under +1.4 ppg
last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg under -0.8 ppg
since 2013: 197-158-6 (55.5%) · avg under +0.2 ppg
- Allen E. Paulson Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 9 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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