Bowling Green at Western Michigan
Bowling Green@
Western Michigan
Western Michigan -13.5 · O/U 44.5
Bowling GreenSaturday 2026-10-31
12:00pm
58°F · wind 14 mph · 💧 15%
Western MichiganL 24-31 @ BuffaloLast weekL 38-45 @ Toledo
ByeNext weekBye
64OFF plays last game63
63DEF plays last game90
Miles flown, last 21 days
664 mi31st16th419 mi
Exclude Bowling Green weeks
Exclude Western Michigan weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
107thOffense77th
117thDefense88th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+13.5 Bowling Green vs Western Michigan −13.5
vs Western Michigan −13.5big-play OFF122nd19thbig-play DEF
stuffing runs109th37thruns not stuffed
run DEF134th63rdrun OFF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+13.5 Bowling Green vs Western Michigan −13.5
vs Western Michigan −13.5Bowling Green OFF vs Western Michigan DEF
pass OFF76th104thpass DEF
run OFF92nd98thrun DEF
standard-down OFF72nd82ndstandard-down DEF
passing-down OFF112th124thpassing-down DEF
run blocking102nd113thrun DEF up front
runs not stuffed106th95thstuffing runs
Bowling Green DEF vs Western Michigan OFF
big-play DEF86th112thbig-play OFF
run DEF up front130th69thrun blocking
standard-down DEF126th80thstandard-down OFF
passing-down DEF121st76thpassing-down OFF
pass DEF96th92ndpass OFF
Pace & tendencies
58.1137thPlays per game122nd61.4
50%82ndPass rate129th40%
62.7120thPlays faced per game52nd68.6
Bowling Green
away
1 ATS trend
Bowling Green+13.5
ATSfadeFading favs of more than 10 points, off a loss, in wind of 11+ mph
55.7%
win rate
127-101-5
record
+6.3%
roi
+0.1ppg
avg cover
📈
WLWWLLPLWLWWLWWLLWLW
last 20: 10-9-1 (52.6%) · avg cover -4.3 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover -7.0 ppg
since 2013: 127-101-5 (55.7%) · avg cover +0.1 ppg
Western Michigan
home
1 ATS trend · 1 🔥
Western Michigan-13.5
ATSTaylor as a home fav
84.6%
win rate
11-2
record
+61.5%
roi
+9.0ppg
avg cover
🔥
WWWLWWWWWLWWW
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +9.0 ppg
since 2013: 11-2 (84.6%) · avg cover +9.0 ppg
Over / Under
3 trends
Over 44.5
Over
Eddie George on the road
80.0%
win rate
8-2
record
+52.7%
roi
+7.3ppg
avg over
📈
WWWLLWWWWW
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg over +7.3 ppg
since 2013: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg over +7.3 ppg
Over 44.5
Over
Lance Taylor as a home fav
69.2%
win rate
9-4
record
+32.2%
roi
+5.5ppg
avg over
📈
LWWWWWLWLWLWW
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg over +5.5 ppg
since 2013: 9-4 (69.2%) · avg over +5.5 ppg
Under 44.5
Under
Late in the season, in wind of 11+ mph
55.5%
win rate
197-158-6
record
+5.9%
roi
+0.2ppg
avg under
📈
WWWLWLWWLWLLWWLWLLLW
last 20: 11-9 (55.0%) · avg under +1.4 ppg
last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg under -0.8 ppg
since 2013: 197-158-6 (55.5%) · avg under +0.2 ppg
- Waldo Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 9 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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