California at NC State
California@
NC State
NC State -8.5 · O/U 56.5
CaliforniaSaturday 2026-10-31
12:00pm
72°F · wind 2 mph · 💧 0%
NC StateL 20-59 @ SMULast weekL 28-31 @ Stanford
ByeNext weekvs Duke
67OFF plays last game66
70DEF plays last game71
Miles flown, last 21 days
5,333 mi110th109th4,781 mi
Exclude California weeks
Exclude NC State weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
127thOffense57th
113thDefense123rd
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+8.5 California vs NC State −8.5
vs NC State −8.5runs not stuffed123rd48thstuffing runs
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+8.5 California vs NC State −8.5
vs NC State −8.5California OFF vs NC State DEF
big-play OFF54th118thbig-play DEF
run blocking133rd88thrun DEF up front
standard-down OFF133rd110thstandard-down DEF
pass OFF113th121stpass DEF
run OFF117th106thrun DEF
passing-down OFF95th112thpassing-down DEF
California DEF vs NC State OFF
big-play DEF133rd79thbig-play OFF
stuffing runs132nd86thruns not stuffed
pass DEF42nd24thpass OFF
run DEF123rd121strun OFF
standard-down DEF103rd87thstandard-down OFF
passing-down DEF49th27thpassing-down OFF
run DEF up front126th108thrun blocking
Pace & tendencies
71.324thPlays per game27th70.8
62%5thPass rate53rd53%
66.775thPlays faced per game93rd64.8
California
away
1 ATS trend
California+8.5
ATSfadecoolingFading favs of more than 7 points, in a conference game, on 4,500+ miles of travel in three weeks
60.0%
win rate
45-30
record
+14.5%
roi
+1.9ppg
avg cover
📈
LLLWWWLWWWLWWLLLWWLL
last 20: 10-10 (50.0%) · avg cover +0.8 ppg
last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg cover -2.2 ppg
since 2013: 45-30 (60.0%) · avg cover +1.9 ppg
NC State
home
1 ATS trend · 1 🔥
NC State-8.5
ATSfadeFading road teams, on 4,500+ miles of travel in three weeks, with a total of 50+
63.5%
win rate
73-42-1
record
+21.2%
roi
+4.4ppg
avg cover
🔥
LWLWLWWWWLWWWLWLWLWW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +5.3 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +12.1 ppg
since 2013: 73-42-1 (63.5%) · avg cover +4.4 ppg
Over / Under
2 trends
Over 56.5
Over
Late in the season, with a team crossing 3+ time zones, with a spread of more than 7 points
70.4%
win rate
19-8-2
record
+34.3%
roi
+4.9ppg
avg over
📈
LWWLLWWWWLWLWPWWWWLW
last 20: 13-6-1 (68.4%) · avg over +5.9 ppg
last 10: 7-2-1 (77.8%) · avg over +6.9 ppg
since 2013: 19-8-2 (70.4%) · avg over +4.9 ppg
Over 56.5
Over
Dave Doeren as a fav of more than 7 points, off a loss
68.8%
win rate
11-5
record
+31.3%
roi
+4.6ppg
avg over
📈
WLWLLLWWWWWLWWWW
last 10: 9-1 (90.0%) · avg over +5.7 ppg
since 2013: 11-5 (68.8%) · avg over +4.6 ppg
- Carter-Finley Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 9 2026 trends.
Gamble Responsibly. 21+
Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
your book before betting.
NFL
betting trends by week and game.