Clemson at Florida State
Clemson@
Florida State
Florida State -6 · O/U 50.5
ClemsonSaturday 2026-10-31
7:00pm
76°F · wind 6 mph · 💧 10%
Florida StateL 16-20 vs Virginia TechLast weekBye
@ SyracuseNext week@ Boston College
63OFF plays last game65
72DEF plays last game79
Miles flown, last 21 days
305 mi10th37th793 mi
Exclude Clemson weeks
Exclude Florida State weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
128thOffense33rd
18thDefense111th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+6 Clemson vs Florida State −6
vs Florida State −6run DEF up front131st3rdrun blocking
stuffing runs126th6thruns not stuffed
run DEF115th21strun OFF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+6 Clemson vs Florida State −6
vs Florida State −6Clemson OFF vs Florida State DEF
big-play OFF82nd123rdbig-play DEF
standard-down OFF131st95thstandard-down DEF
run OFF115th89thrun DEF
pass OFF123rd101stpass DEF
passing-down OFF98th98thpassing-down DEF
run blocking104th120thrun DEF up front
runs not stuffed126th105thstuffing runs
Clemson DEF vs Florida State OFF
pass DEF2nd65thpass OFF
standard-down DEF25th75thstandard-down OFF
passing-down DEF47th12thpassing-down OFF
big-play DEF20th8thbig-play OFF
Pace & tendencies
66.376thPlays per game64th68.0
54%46thPass rate105th47%
70.732ndPlays faced per game46th69.0
Clemson
away
2 ATS trends
Clemson+6
ATSLate in the season, against a team off a bye, on under 500 miles of travel in three weeks
57.0%
win rate
73-55-2
record
+8.9%
roi
+1.0ppg
avg cover
📈
WWLLLLWLWWWWLWWLLWLW
last 20: 11-9 (55.0%) · avg cover +2.5 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover +3.6 ppg
since 2013: 73-55-2 (57.0%) · avg cover +1.0 ppg
Clemson+6
ATScoolingSwinney in primetime
58.5%
win rate
48-34-2
record
+11.8%
roi
+1.0ppg
avg cover
📈
WLLWLWWWLLWLWWWLLWLL
last 20: 10-10 (50.0%) · avg cover -2.2 ppg
last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg cover -1.8 ppg
since 2013: 48-34-2 (58.5%) · avg cover +1.0 ppg
Florida State
home
1 ATS trend
Florida State-6
ATSNorvell as a fav, off a loss, in primetime
69.2%
win rate
9-4
record
+32.2%
roi
-0.6ppg
avg cover
📈
WLWWWWWLLWLWW
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +0.8 ppg
since 2013: 9-4 (69.2%) · avg cover -0.6 ppg
Over / Under
3 trends
Under 50.5
Under
In a conference game, with a team off a bye, in primetime
58.0%
win rate
251-182-5
record
+10.7%
roi
+1.8ppg
avg under
🔥
WLLWWLWWWLLWWWLWLWWW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg under +6.1 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg under +9.4 ppg
since 2013: 251-182-5 (58.0%) · avg under +1.8 ppg
Under 50.5
Under
Mike Norvell at home, off a loss, in primetime
75.0%
win rate
9-3
record
+43.2%
roi
+4.0ppg
avg under
📈
LWLWWLWWWWWW
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg under +5.8 ppg
since 2013: 9-3 (75.0%) · avg under +4.0 ppg
Under 50.5
Under
Dabo Swinney in primetime
60.0%
win rate
36-24-1
record
+14.5%
roi
+4.0ppg
avg under
📈
WWWLLWLWWWLWWWWLWWLW
last 20: 14-6 (70.0%) · avg under +7.7 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg under +10.3 ppg
since 2013: 36-24-1 (60.0%) · avg under +4.0 ppg
- Doak Campbell Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
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