Illinois at Maryland
Illinois@
Maryland
Illinois -3 · O/U 52.5
IllinoisSaturday 2026-10-31
12:00pm
72°F · wind 2 mph · 💧 0%
MarylandW 21-10 vs OregonLast weekBye
vs NebraskaNext week@ Purdue
58OFF plays last game66
76DEF plays last game74
Miles flown, last 21 days
606 mi28th1st0 mi
Exclude Illinois weeks
Exclude Maryland weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
28thOffense105th
134thDefense97th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
−3 Illinois vs Maryland +3
vs Maryland +3passing-down OFF19th119thpassing-down DEF
pass OFF16th108thpass DEF
runs not stuffed5th83rdstuffing runs
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
−3 Illinois vs Maryland +3
vs Maryland +3Illinois OFF vs Maryland DEF
run OFF42nd90thrun DEF
standard-down OFF30th75thstandard-down DEF
big-play OFF37th48thbig-play DEF
run blocking19th41strun DEF up front
Illinois DEF vs Maryland OFF
big-play DEF94th44thbig-play OFF
passing-down DEF127th81stpassing-down OFF
pass DEF128th88thpass OFF
run DEF113th107thrun OFF
standard-down DEF124th107thstandard-down OFF
run DEF up front99th121strun blocking
stuffing runs106th118thruns not stuffed
Pace & tendencies
64.0100thPlays per game68th67.8
52%67thPass rate6th62%
66.081stPlays faced per game46th69.0
Illinois
away
3 ATS trends
Illinois-3
ATSfadeFading late-season dogs of 3 points or fewer, off a bye
65.0%
win rate
39-21-2
record
+24.1%
roi
+5.2ppg
avg cover
📈
LLLWLWLWLLWWWWWWWWWW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +5.6 ppg
last 10: 10-0 (100.0%) · avg cover +12.8 ppg
since 2013: 39-21-2 (65.0%) · avg cover +5.2 ppg
Illinois-3
ATSfadeFading Locksley off a loss
63.6%
win rate
28-16
record
+21.5%
roi
+7.8ppg
avg cover
📈
LLLWLLWWWLLWWWWWWWLW
last 20: 12-8 (60.0%) · avg cover +7.8 ppg
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +12.5 ppg
since 2013: 28-16 (63.6%) · avg cover +7.8 ppg
Illinois-3
ATSBielema on the road
61.7%
win rate
29-18
record
+17.8%
roi
+2.1ppg
avg cover
📈
WWWWLLWWWWWLWWLWLLWL
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +2.0 ppg
last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg cover -4.4 ppg
since 2013: 29-18 (61.7%) · avg cover +2.1 ppg
Maryland
home
1 ATS trend
Maryland+3
ATSAs a home dog of 3 points or fewer, with a total of 50+
57.1%
win rate
217-163-19
record
+9.0%
roi
+1.9ppg
avg cover
📈
WLLLLPWLWLWLWLWWWLLW
last 20: 9-10-1 (47.4%) · avg cover -0.2 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover +2.2 ppg
since 2013: 217-163-19 (57.1%) · avg cover +1.9 ppg
Over / Under
1 trend
Over 52.5
Over
Mike Locksley as a home dog, off a loss
78.6%
win rate
11-3
record
+50.0%
roi
+8.1ppg
avg over
📈
LWLLWWWWWWWWWW
last 10: 10-0 (100.0%) · avg over +12.8 ppg
since 2013: 11-3 (78.6%) · avg over +8.1 ppg
- SECU Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
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