Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee
Kennesaw State@
Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee -2.5 · O/U 51.5
Kennesaw StateWednesday 2026-10-28
7:00pm
60°F · wind 5 mph · 💧 0%
Middle TennesseeL 6-34 vs LibertyLast weekW 26-23 @ Florida International
vs DelawareNext weekvs Western Kentucky
70OFF plays last game67
64DEF plays last game60
Miles flown, last 21 days
1,234 mi52nd61st1,565 mi
Exclude Kennesaw State weeks
Exclude Middle Tennessee weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
112thOffense73rd
107thDefense100th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+2.5 Kennesaw State vs Middle Tennessee −2.5
vs Middle Tennessee −2.5stuffing runs41st112thruns not stuffed
big-play OFF129th24thbig-play DEF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+2.5 Kennesaw State vs Middle Tennessee −2.5
vs Middle Tennessee −2.5Kennesaw State OFF vs Middle Tennessee DEF
run blocking92nd137thrun DEF up front
pass OFF80th90thpass DEF
run OFF112th125thrun DEF
standard-down OFF103rd118thstandard-down DEF
passing-down OFF99th85thpassing-down DEF
runs not stuffed133rd125thstuffing runs
Kennesaw State DEF vs Middle Tennessee OFF
big-play DEF32nd73rdbig-play OFF
passing-down DEF128th79thpassing-down OFF
pass DEF117th94thpass OFF
run DEF74th87thrun OFF
standard-down DEF69th88thstandard-down OFF
run DEF up front87th74thrun blocking
Pace & tendencies
65.089thPlays per game121st61.5
56%20thPass rate22nd56%
68.553rdPlays faced per game74th66.8
Kennesaw State
away
3 ATS trends
Kennesaw State+2.5
ATSAs a dog of 3 points or fewer, in a conference game, with a total of 50+
55.4%
win rate
378-304-26
record
+5.8%
roi
+2.0ppg
avg cover
📈
LWLWLLLLWLLLWWWWWLLW
last 20: 9-11 (45.0%) · avg cover -1.3 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover +2.4 ppg
since 2013: 378-304-26 (55.4%) · avg cover +2.0 ppg
Kennesaw State+2.5
ATSMack in primetime
69.2%
win rate
9-4
record
+32.2%
roi
+3.1ppg
avg cover
📈
WWWWLWWLWWWLL
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover -2.5 ppg
since 2013: 9-4 (69.2%) · avg cover +3.1 ppg
Kennesaw State+2.5
ATSfadeFading Mason off a win, in primetime
64.7%
win rate
11-6
record
+23.5%
roi
+1.5ppg
avg cover
📈
LWLWWWLLWWWWWWLWL
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +1.3 ppg
since 2013: 11-6 (64.7%) · avg cover +1.5 ppg
Over / Under
3 trends
Under 51.5
Under
Derek Mason in primetime
75.0%
win rate
21-7
record
+43.2%
roi
+6.6ppg
avg under
🔥
LWWWLWLWWWLWLWWWWWLL
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg under +3.6 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg under -0.1 ppg
since 2013: 21-7 (75.0%) · avg under +6.6 ppg
Under 51.5
Under
Jerry Mack in primetime
76.9%
win rate
10-3
record
+46.9%
roi
+7.3ppg
avg under
📈
WWLWLWWWWWLWW
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg under +8.1 ppg
since 2013: 10-3 (76.9%) · avg under +7.3 ppg
Under 51.5
Under
Teams as a home fav of 3 points or fewer, in primetime
55.9%
win rate
170-134-6
record
+6.8%
roi
+1.4ppg
avg under
📈
WWLWWLWWLLLWLLLWLWLW
last 20: 10-10 (50.0%) · avg under -3.2 ppg
last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg under -5.0 ppg
since 2013: 170-134-6 (55.9%) · avg under +1.4 ppg
- Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 9 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
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