Kent State at Sacramento State
Kent State@
Sacramento State
Kent State -10.5 · O/U 46.5
Kent StateFriday 2026-10-30
10:30pm
56°F · wind 6 mph · 💧 14%
Sacramento StateW 35-20 vs AkronLast weekL 17-34 @ Ball State
ByeNext weekvs Toledo
60OFF plays last game59
73DEF plays last game70
Miles flown, last 21 days
4,410 mi107th112th7,817 mi
Exclude Kent State weeks
Exclude Sacramento State weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
131stOffense137th
103rdDefense124th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
−10.5 Kent State vs Sacramento State +10.5
vs Sacramento State +10.5big-play OFF32nd122ndbig-play DEF
big-play DEF53rd136thbig-play OFF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
−10.5 Kent State vs Sacramento State +10.5
vs Sacramento State +10.5Kent State OFF vs Sacramento State DEF
pass OFF107th133rdpass DEF
passing-down OFF123rd60thpassing-down DEF
run OFF138th83rdrun DEF
standard-down OFF136th128thstandard-down DEF
run blocking136th123rdrun DEF up front
runs not stuffed125th131ststuffing runs
Kent State DEF vs Sacramento State OFF
stuffing runs91st136thruns not stuffed
run DEF up front93rd134thrun blocking
run DEF87th125thrun OFF
passing-down DEF104th137thpassing-down OFF
pass DEF116th134thpass OFF
standard-down DEF112th123rdstandard-down OFF
Pace & tendencies
63.0108thPlays per game94th64.7
55%35thPass rate3rd63%
63.9104thPlays faced per game109th63.7
Kent State
away
1 ATS trend
Kent State-10.5
ATSLate in the season, after crossing 3+ time zones west
67.9%
win rate
19-9-2
record
+29.5%
roi
+3.5ppg
avg cover
📈
WWWLPLLLWLLPWLWLWLWW
last 20: 9-9-2 (50.0%) · avg cover -1.6 ppg
last 10: 5-4-1 (55.6%) · avg cover -3.6 ppg
since 2013: 19-9-2 (67.9%) · avg cover +3.5 ppg
Sacramento State
home
1 ATS trend
Sacramento State+10.5
ATSfadeFading favs of more than 10 points, after crossing 3+ time zones west, in primetime
66.7%
win rate
20-10-1
record
+27.3%
roi
+3.9ppg
avg cover
📈
WWWWLLWWWWLWPWWWWLWL
last 20: 14-5-1 (73.7%) · avg cover +5.5 ppg
last 10: 6-3-1 (66.7%) · avg cover +2.1 ppg
since 2013: 20-10-1 (66.7%) · avg cover +3.9 ppg
Over / Under
3 trends
Over 46.5
Over
Late in the season, with a team crossing 3+ time zones, with a spread of more than 10 points
75.0%
win rate
15-5-2
record
+43.2%
roi
+5.0ppg
avg over
🔥
PWWWLWWLWWWLLWPWWWWW
last 20: 14-4-2 (77.8%) · avg over +5.9 ppg
last 10: 7-2-1 (77.8%) · avg over +5.3 ppg
since 2013: 15-5-2 (75.0%) · avg over +5.0 ppg
Over 46.5
Over
Mark Carney on the road
72.7%
win rate
8-3
record
+38.8%
roi
+5.0ppg
avg over
📈
WWLWLWWWWWL
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg over +4.0 ppg
since 2013: 8-3 (72.7%) · avg over +5.0 ppg
Under 46.5
Under
With a team on 4,500+ miles of travel, in primetime, with a spread of more than 3 points
56.8%
win rate
96-73-1
record
+8.4%
roi
+1.9ppg
avg under
📈
LWWWWWWLWLLLWWWWWWLW
last 20: 14-6 (70.0%) · avg under +6.3 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg under +4.3 ppg
since 2013: 96-73-1 (56.8%) · avg under +1.9 ppg
- Hornet Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 9 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
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