Miami at North Carolina
1Miami@
North Carolina
Miami -14.5 · O/U 52.5
1MiamiSaturday 2026-10-31
7:30pm
66°F · wind 8 mph · 💧 1%
North CarolinaW 52-23 vs PittsburghLast weekL 30-31 vs Syracuse
@ Notre DameNext week@ UConn
76OFF plays last game69
60DEF plays last game87
Miles flown, last 21 days
691 mi32nd5th17 mi
Exclude Miami weeks
Exclude North Carolina weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
1stOffense67th
47thDefense52nd
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
−14.5 Miami vs North Carolina +14.5
vs North Carolina +14.5runs not stuffed3rd137thstuffing runs
standard-down OFF3rd88thstandard-down DEF
run blocking7th79thrun DEF up front
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
−14.5 Miami vs North Carolina +14.5
vs North Carolina +14.5Miami OFF vs North Carolina DEF
pass OFF1st48thpass DEF
run OFF58th95thrun DEF
big-play OFF16th11thbig-play DEF
passing-down OFF14th22ndpassing-down DEF
Miami DEF vs North Carolina OFF
run DEF12th68thrun OFF
run DEF up front16th57thrun blocking
pass DEF78th36thpass OFF
big-play DEF115th123rdbig-play OFF
standard-down DEF29th42ndstandard-down OFF
passing-down DEF81st63rdpassing-down OFF
stuffing runs64th45thruns not stuffed
Pace & tendencies
70.730thPlays per game126th60.8
53%48thPass rate41st54%
63.5112thPlays faced per game5th77.0
North Carolina
home
1 ATS trend
North Carolina+14.5
ATSfadeFading Cristobal as a fav of more than 10 points, off a win, in primetime
65.2%
win rate
15-8
record
+24.5%
roi
+4.2ppg
avg cover
📈
LWLWLWWWLWWLWWWWLWLW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +4.1 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +3.9 ppg
since 2013: 15-8 (65.2%) · avg cover +4.2 ppg
Over / Under
1 trend
Over 52.5
Over
Mario Cristobal as a road fav of more than 10 points
75.0%
win rate
9-3
record
+43.2%
roi
+2.3ppg
avg over
📈
LLWWWWWWWWLW
last 10: 9-1 (90.0%) · avg over +5.7 ppg
since 2013: 9-3 (75.0%) · avg over +2.3 ppg
- Kenan Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 9 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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