Michigan at Rutgers
Michigan@
Rutgers
Michigan -14 · O/U 47.5
MichiganSaturday 2026-10-31
12:30pm
66°F · wind 4 mph · 💧 0%
RutgersL 6-13 vs IndianaLast weekL 14-42 @ Northwestern
vs Michigan StateNext week@ Wisconsin
74OFF plays last game68
55DEF plays last game67
Miles flown, last 21 days
496 mi22nd68th1,726 mi
Exclude Michigan weeks
Exclude Rutgers weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
81stOffense89th
7thDefense127th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
−14 Michigan vs Rutgers +14
vs Rutgers +14standard-down DEF11th112thstandard-down OFF
passing-down OFF24th103rdpassing-down DEF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
−14 Michigan vs Rutgers +14
vs Rutgers +14Michigan OFF vs Rutgers DEF
run OFF69th129thrun DEF
run blocking59th114thrun DEF up front
runs not stuffed27th73rdstuffing runs
pass OFF75th118thpass DEF
standard-down OFF109th132ndstandard-down DEF
big-play OFF107th98thbig-play DEF
Michigan DEF vs Rutgers OFF
run DEF18th73rdrun OFF
pass DEF8th62ndpass OFF
run DEF up front35th66thrun blocking
big-play DEF9th15thbig-play OFF
passing-down DEF15th16thpassing-down OFF
stuffing runs46th30thruns not stuffed
Pace & tendencies
60.6128thPlays per game73rd66.7
44%117thPass rate78th51%
62.7120thPlays faced per game85th65.8
Michigan
away
2 ATS trends
Michigan-14
ATSfadeFading Schiano as a dog of more than 10 points
72.0%
win rate
18-7-2
record
+37.5%
roi
+5.8ppg
avg cover
📈
WWWPWWWWPLWWWWWWLLWW
last 20: 15-3-2 (83.3%) · avg cover +9.0 ppg
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +4.7 ppg
since 2013: 18-7-2 (72.0%) · avg cover +5.8 ppg
Michigan-14
ATScoolingAs a road fav of more than 7 points, on under 500 miles of travel in three weeks
58.1%
win rate
248-179-5
record
+10.9%
roi
+2.8ppg
avg cover
📈
WLWPWWLWWWWWWLLLLLWW
last 20: 12-7-1 (63.2%) · avg cover +2.3 ppg
last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg cover -2.1 ppg
since 2013: 248-179-5 (58.1%) · avg cover +2.8 ppg
Rutgers
home
1 ATS trend
Rutgers+14
ATSfadeFading Whittingham as a fav, off a loss
64.5%
win rate
20-11
record
+23.2%
roi
+1.7ppg
avg cover
📈
WLWLWWWWLLWLLLWWWWWW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +1.1 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover -0.1 ppg
since 2013: 20-11 (64.5%) · avg cover +1.7 ppg
Over / Under
2 trends
Over 47.5
Over
Greg Schiano as a home dog of more than 7 points
92.3%
win rate
12-1
record
+76.2%
roi
+11.3ppg
avg over
🔥
WWLWWWWWWWWWW
last 10: 10-0 (100.0%) · avg over +12.7 ppg
since 2013: 12-1 (92.3%) · avg over +11.3 ppg
Under 47.5
Under
Kyle Whittingham as a road fav of more than 3 points
72.7%
win rate
16-6
record
+38.8%
roi
+2.2ppg
avg under
📈
WWLWWWWWWLLLWWLWLWWW
last 20: 14-6 (70.0%) · avg under +1.4 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg under -1.6 ppg
since 2013: 16-6 (72.7%) · avg under +2.2 ppg
- SHI Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 9 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
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