Missouri at Arkansas
23Missouri@
Arkansas
Missouri -10 · O/U 49.5
23MissouriSaturday 2026-10-31
7:45pm
60°F · wind 3 mph · 💧 23%
ArkansasByeLast weekBye
vs TexasNext week@ Auburn
70OFF plays last game73
76DEF plays last game62
Miles flown, last 21 days
1,186 mi48th38th823 mi
Exclude Missouri weeks
Exclude Arkansas weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
51stOffense75th
24thDefense109th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
−10 Missouri vs Arkansas +10
vs Arkansas +10passing-down DEF28th122ndpassing-down OFF
run DEF up front10th81strun blocking
passing-down OFF82nd13thpassing-down DEF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
−10 Missouri vs Arkansas +10
vs Arkansas +10Missouri OFF vs Arkansas DEF
standard-down OFF79th131ststandard-down DEF
pass OFF48th93rdpass DEF
big-play OFF19th56thbig-play DEF
run OFF113th116thrun DEF
run blocking107th95thrun DEF up front
runs not stuffed100th111thstuffing runs
Missouri DEF vs Arkansas OFF
run DEF15th70thrun OFF
pass DEF27th57thpass OFF
big-play DEF120th115thbig-play OFF
standard-down DEF15th33rdstandard-down OFF
stuffing runs18th31struns not stuffed
Pace & tendencies
69.053rdPlays per game70th67.5
51%69thPass rate32nd55%
69.840thPlays faced per game113th63.3
23Missouri
away
2 ATS trends
Missouri-10
ATSfadeFading Silverfield off a win, in primetime
73.3%
win rate
11-4-1
record
+40.0%
roi
+1.3ppg
avg cover
📈
WLWWWWLWWWWLLPWW
last 10: 6-3-1 (66.7%) · avg cover -0.6 ppg
since 2013: 11-4-1 (73.3%) · avg cover +1.3 ppg
Missouri-10
ATSDrinkwitz as a road fav
72.7%
win rate
8-3
record
+38.8%
roi
+4.3ppg
avg cover
📈
LWLLWWWWWWW
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +5.7 ppg
since 2013: 8-3 (72.7%) · avg cover +4.3 ppg
Arkansas
home
1 ATS trend
Arkansas+10
ATScoolingAt home, off a win, off a bye
55.9%
win rate
305-241-14
record
+6.6%
roi
+2.2ppg
avg cover
📈
WLWWLWLWWWLWWLLPWWWW
last 20: 13-6-1 (68.4%) · avg cover +2.7 ppg
last 10: 6-3-1 (66.7%) · avg cover +3.1 ppg
since 2013: 305-241-14 (55.9%) · avg cover +2.2 ppg
Over / Under
3 trends
Under 49.5
Under
In a conference game, with a team off a bye, in primetime
58.0%
win rate
251-182-5
record
+10.7%
roi
+1.8ppg
avg under
🔥
WLLWWLWWWLLWWWLWLWWW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg under +6.1 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg under +9.4 ppg
since 2013: 251-182-5 (58.0%) · avg under +1.8 ppg
Over 49.5
Over
Eli Drinkwitz as a fav of more than 7 points, off a loss
70.0%
win rate
7-3
record
+33.6%
roi
+8.7ppg
avg over
📈
WWWWLLWLWW
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg over +8.7 ppg
since 2013: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg over +8.7 ppg
Over 49.5
Over
Ryan Silverfield at home, off a win
64.7%
win rate
11-6-1
record
+23.5%
roi
+4.6ppg
avg over
📈
PWLLWWWLWLWLWWLWWW
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg over +8.6 ppg
since 2013: 11-6-1 (64.7%) · avg over +4.6 ppg
- Razorback Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 9 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
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