Nevada at UCLA
Nevada@
UCLA
UCLA -22.5 · O/U 46.5
NevadaSaturday 2026-10-31
4:15pm
68°F · wind 6 mph · 💧 31%
UCLAW 28-13 vs San José StateLast weekW 28-10 vs Michigan State
vs New MexicoNext week@ Minnesota
76OFF plays last game80
57DEF plays last game56
Miles flown, last 21 days
2,902 mi95th1st0 mi
Exclude Nevada weeks
Exclude UCLA weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
80thOffense38th
67thDefense1st
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+22.5 Nevada vs UCLA −22.5
vs UCLA −22.5big-play DEF54th130thbig-play OFF
runs not stuffed130th19thstuffing runs
pass OFF112th3rdpass DEF
run blocking119th22ndrun DEF up front
stuffing runs119th22ndruns not stuffed
travel2,902 mi, 21 days95th1sttravel0 mi, 21 days
run DEF up front92nd2ndrun blocking
standard-down OFF98th16thstandard-down DEF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+22.5 Nevada vs UCLA −22.5
vs UCLA −22.5Nevada OFF vs UCLA DEF
passing-down OFF55th2ndpassing-down DEF
run OFF59th13thrun DEF
big-play OFF39th40thbig-play DEF
Nevada DEF vs UCLA OFF
pass DEF33rd82ndpass OFF
passing-down DEF27th60thpassing-down OFF
run DEF47th2ndrun OFF
standard-down DEF48th24thstandard-down OFF
Pace & tendencies
65.385thPlays per game43rd69.7
46%107thPass rate123rd42%
69.840thPlays faced per game115th63.3
UCLA
home
1 ATS trend
UCLA-22.5
ATSChesney off a win
65.4%
win rate
17-9
record
+24.8%
roi
+5.8ppg
avg cover
📈
WLWWLLWWLWLWLWWWWWWW
last 20: 14-6 (70.0%) · avg cover +7.0 ppg
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +8.8 ppg
since 2013: 17-9 (65.4%) · avg cover +5.8 ppg
Over / Under
2 trends
Under 46.5
Under
Bob Chesney as a fav of more than 3 points
68.0%
win rate
17-8
record
+29.8%
roi
+2.5ppg
avg under
📈
WWWWLWLWWWWLLLWLWWLW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg under +0.7 ppg
last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg under -5.6 ppg
since 2013: 17-8 (68.0%) · avg under +2.5 ppg
Under 46.5
Under
Jeff Choate as a road dog of more than 7 points
70.0%
win rate
7-3
record
+33.6%
roi
+2.5ppg
avg under
📈
LWWWWWWWLL
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg under +2.5 ppg
since 2013: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg under +2.5 ppg
- Rose Bowl
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 9 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
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