New Mexico at San José State
New Mexico@
San José State
New Mexico -14.5 · O/U 41.5
New MexicoSaturday 2026-10-31
4:00pm
61°F · wind 8 mph · 💧 11%
San José StateW 21-16 vs North Dakota StateLast weekL 13-28 @ Nevada
@ NevadaNext weekvs Northern Illinois
59OFF plays last game57
64DEF plays last game76
Miles flown, last 21 days
7,308 mi111th81st2,285 mi
Exclude New Mexico weeks
Exclude San José State weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
54thOffense108th
10thDefense59th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
−14.5 New Mexico
vs
San José State +14.5
vs
San José State +14.5run DEF11th135thrun OFF
passing-down DEF19th136thpassing-down OFF
standard-down DEF8th100thstandard-down OFF
run DEF up front5th95thrun blocking
pass DEF20th101stpass OFF
stuffing runs1st75thruns not stuffed
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
−14.5 New Mexico
vs
San José State +14.5
vs
San José State +14.5New Mexico OFF vs San José State DEF
runs not stuffed49th82ndstuffing runs
run OFF71st96thrun DEF
big-play OFF56th10thbig-play DEF
pass OFF61st46thpass DEF
standard-down OFF76th84thstandard-down DEF
passing-down OFF61st50thpassing-down DEF
run blocking72nd80thrun DEF up front
New Mexico DEF vs San José State OFF
big-play DEF103rd81stbig-play OFF
Pace & tendencies
63.0108thPlays per game98th64.3
36%133rdPass rate34th55%
61.0129thPlays faced per game10th74.1
New Mexico
away
2 ATS trends · 1 🔥
New Mexico-14.5
ATSAs a road fav of more than 7 points, with a total under 42
71.1%
win rate
27-11-1
record
+35.6%
roi
+7.2ppg
avg cover
🔥
WWWWWLWLWWWWLWWWLWWL
last 20: 15-5 (75.0%) · avg cover +8.0 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +8.6 ppg
since 2013: 27-11-1 (71.1%) · avg cover +7.2 ppg
New Mexico-14.5
ATSEck off a win
71.4%
win rate
10-4
record
+36.4%
roi
+9.3ppg
avg cover
📈
WWLWWLWWLWWWLW
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +7.7 ppg
since 2013: 10-4 (71.4%) · avg cover +9.3 ppg
San José State
home
2 ATS trends · 1 🔥
San José State+14.5
ATSfadeFading favs of more than 10 points, in a conference game, on 4,500+ miles of travel in three weeks
68.9%
win rate
31-14
record
+31.5%
roi
+4.4ppg
avg cover
🔥
WWWWWWWLLLLWWWWWWLWL
last 20: 14-6 (70.0%) · avg cover +2.5 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +5.0 ppg
since 2013: 31-14 (68.9%) · avg cover +4.4 ppg
San José State+14.5
ATSNiumatalolo as a dog of more than 10 points
65.6%
win rate
21-11-1
record
+25.3%
roi
+6.3ppg
avg cover
📈
LWLWWWLWWLWWWWWWWLWW
last 20: 15-5 (75.0%) · avg cover +8.8 ppg
last 10: 9-1 (90.0%) · avg cover +10.9 ppg
since 2013: 21-11-1 (65.6%) · avg cover +6.3 ppg
Over / Under
1 trend
Over 41.5
Over
In a conference game, with a total under 42
58.9%
win rate
129-90-5
record
+12.5%
roi
+3.5ppg
avg over
📈
WLLWWWLWLLLWLLLWWLLW
last 20: 9-11 (45.0%) · avg over +2.8 ppg
last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg over +3.0 ppg
since 2013: 129-90-5 (58.9%) · avg over +3.5 ppg
- CEFCU Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 9 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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