Northern Illinois at UNLV
Northern Illinois@
UNLV
UNLV -24.5 · O/U 53.5
Northern IllinoisSaturday 2026-10-31
10:30pm
UNLVL 21-56 vs Hawai'iLast weekBye
@ San José StateNext weekvs Wyoming
53OFF plays last game67
76DEF plays last game66
Miles flown, last 21 days
3,201 mi99th49th1,201 mi
Exclude Northern Illinois weeks
Exclude UNLV weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
123rdOffense91st
138thDefense56th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+24.5 Northern Illinois
vs
UNLV −24.5
vs
UNLV −24.5run blocking53rd134thrun DEF up front
pass OFF121st13thpass DEF
standard-down OFF128th49thstandard-down DEF
pass DEF135th70thpass OFF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+24.5 Northern Illinois
vs
UNLV −24.5
vs
UNLV −24.5Northern Illinois OFF vs UNLV DEF
big-play OFF26th79thbig-play DEF
passing-down OFF104th67thpassing-down DEF
run OFF106th109thrun DEF
runs not stuffed119th113thstuffing runs
Northern Illinois DEF vs UNLV OFF
stuffing runs112th63rdruns not stuffed
passing-down DEF138th92ndpassing-down OFF
run DEF up front122nd79thrun blocking
standard-down DEF135th102ndstandard-down OFF
run DEF135th116thrun OFF
big-play DEF93rd75thbig-play OFF
Pace & tendencies
61.8119thPlays per game67th67.9
61%7thPass rate110th46%
68.553rdPlays faced per game59th67.9
Northern Illinois
away
1 ATS trend
Northern Illinois+24.5
ATSfadeFading favs of more than 10 points, off a bye, in primetime
56.3%
win rate
112-87-4
record
+7.4%
roi
+1.1ppg
avg cover
📈
WLLWWLWWLLLWLLLLWWLL
last 20: 8-12 (40.0%) · avg cover -4.8 ppg
last 10: 3-7 (30.0%) · avg cover -9.6 ppg
since 2013: 112-87-4 (56.3%) · avg cover +1.1 ppg
UNLV
home
1 ATS trend
UNLV-24.5
ATSMullen as a fav of more than 10 points, off a loss
72.7%
win rate
8-3
record
+38.8%
roi
+10.8ppg
avg cover
📈
WWWWLLLWWWW
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +11.8 ppg
since 2013: 8-3 (72.7%) · avg cover +10.8 ppg
Over / Under
3 trends
Under 53.5
Under
In a conference game, with a team off a bye, in primetime
58.0%
win rate
251-182-5
record
+10.7%
roi
+1.8ppg
avg under
🔥
WLLWWLWWWLLWWWLWLWWW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg under +6.1 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg under +9.4 ppg
since 2013: 251-182-5 (58.0%) · avg under +1.8 ppg
Over 53.5
Over
Teams as a fav of more than 10 points, off a loss, in primetime
56.7%
win rate
224-171-1
record
+8.3%
roi
+2.6ppg
avg over
📈
WWWWWLWLWWLWLWWLLWWW
last 20: 14-6 (70.0%) · avg over +7.0 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg over +5.8 ppg
since 2013: 224-171-1 (56.7%) · avg over +2.6 ppg
Over 53.5
Over
Dan Mullen as a fav of more than 7 points, in primetime
72.7%
win rate
8-3
record
+38.8%
roi
+4.0ppg
avg over
📈
LLWWWLWWWWW
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg over +5.3 ppg
since 2013: 8-3 (72.7%) · avg over +4.0 ppg
- Allegiant Stadium
- Roof · dome
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 9 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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