Notre Dame vs Navy
Records, streaks and rest for this week are calculated from games played so far, so they will be out of date until the weeks before it are played.
Notre Damevs
Navy
Notre Dame -28.5 · O/U 53.5
Notre DameSaturday 2026-10-31
12:00pm
49°F · wind 13 mph · 💧 0%
NavyByeLast weekvs North Texas
vs MiamiNext weekvs Temple
79OFF plays last game–
69DEF plays last game–
Miles flown, last 21 days
3,419 mi102nd98th3,176 mi
Exclude Notre Dame weeks
Exclude Navy weeks
Stats from games played through week 8
EPA rank · adjusted
2ndOffense49th
6thDefense75th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
−28.5 Notre Dame vs Navy +28.5
vs Navy +28.5pass OFF7th111thpass DEF
passing-down DEF14th108thpassing-down OFF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
−28.5 Notre Dame vs Navy +28.5
vs Navy +28.5Notre Dame OFF vs Navy DEF
standard-down OFF1st38thstandard-down DEF
run OFF5th12thrun DEF
big-play OFF104th125thbig-play DEF
passing-down OFF64th66thpassing-down DEF
run blocking28th7thrun DEF up front
runs not stuffed21st27thstuffing runs
Notre Dame DEF vs Navy OFF
pass DEF34th92ndpass OFF
big-play DEF38th66thbig-play OFF
run DEF1st24thrun OFF
standard-down DEF7th29thstandard-down OFF
run DEF up front16th4thrun blocking
stuffing runs28th8thruns not stuffed
Pace & tendencies
70.436thPlays per game121st61.4
50%84thPass rate136th26%
55.6137thPlays faced per game42nd69.6
Notre Dame
2 ATS trends · 1 🔥
Notre Dame-28.5
ATSFreeman as a fav
66.1%
win rate
41-21
record
+26.2%
roi
+5.4ppg
avg cover
🔥
WLLWWLWLLWWWLWWLWLWL
last 20: 11-9 (55.0%) · avg cover +3.3 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover +3.4 ppg
since 2013: 41-21 (66.1%) · avg cover +5.4 ppg
Notre Dame-28.5
ATSfadeFading dogs of more than 7 points, in a non-conference game, against a team off a bye
61.1%
win rate
69-44-6
record
+16.6%
roi
+4.4ppg
avg cover
📈
WLWWLLLLLWWWLWWWLWWW
last 20: 12-8 (60.0%) · avg cover +6.2 ppg
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +13.2 ppg
since 2013: 69-44-6 (61.1%) · avg cover +4.4 ppg
Navy
1 ATS trend
Navy+28.5
ATSfadeFading favs of more than 10 points, off a loss, in wind of 11+ mph
55.7%
win rate
127-101-5
record
+6.3%
roi
+0.1ppg
avg cover
📈
WLWWLLPLWLWWLWWLLWLW
last 20: 10-9-1 (52.6%) · avg cover -4.3 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover -7.0 ppg
since 2013: 127-101-5 (55.7%) · avg cover +0.1 ppg
Over / Under
2 trends
Over 53.5
Over
Marcus Freeman off a loss
80.0%
win rate
8-2-1
record
+52.7%
roi
+13.7ppg
avg over
📈
WLPWWLWWWWW
last 10: 7-2-1 (77.8%) · avg over +13.7 ppg
since 2013: 8-2-1 (80.0%) · avg over +13.7 ppg
Under 53.5
Under
Late in the season, in wind of 11+ mph
55.5%
win rate
197-158-6
record
+5.9%
roi
+0.2ppg
avg under
📈
WWWLWLWWLWLLWWLWLLLW
last 20: 11-9 (55.0%) · avg under +1.4 ppg
last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg under -0.8 ppg
since 2013: 197-158-6 (55.5%) · avg under +0.2 ppg
- Gillette Stadium · neutral site
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 9 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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