Ohio State at USC
Ohio State@
USC
Ohio State -7 · O/U 50.5
Ohio StateSaturday 2026-10-31
7:30pm
69°F · wind 5 mph · 💧 28%
USCByeLast weekL 7-24 @ Wisconsin
vs OregonNext weekBye
69OFF plays last game77
71DEF plays last game57
Miles flown, last 21 days
2,366 mi85th101st3,342 mi
Exclude Ohio State weeks
Exclude USC weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
16thOffense5th
14thDefense79th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
−7 Ohio State vs USC +7
vs USC +7pass OFF7th94thpass DEF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
−7 Ohio State vs USC +7
vs USC +7Ohio State OFF vs USC DEF
standard-down OFF2nd65thstandard-down DEF
passing-down OFF29th78thpassing-down DEF
run OFF22nd63rdrun DEF
big-play OFF57th96thbig-play DEF
runs not stuffed34th57thstuffing runs
run blocking34th36thrun DEF up front
Ohio State DEF vs USC OFF
big-play DEF75th102ndbig-play OFF
stuffing runs45th72ndruns not stuffed
passing-down DEF46th1stpassing-down OFF
pass DEF1st2ndpass OFF
run DEF34th47thrun OFF
standard-down DEF5th7thstandard-down OFF
run DEF up front25th41strun blocking
Pace & tendencies
69.150thPlays per game22nd71.6
49%94thPass rate29th55%
64.3100thPlays faced per game133rd59.6
Ohio State
away
2 ATS trends
Ohio State-7
ATSDay off a win
61.5%
win rate
56-35-3
record
+17.5%
roi
+3.5ppg
avg cover
📈
WWWWPWWWWWLWWWLWLWLW
last 20: 15-4-1 (78.9%) · avg cover +4.5 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover +0.6 ppg
since 2013: 56-35-3 (61.5%) · avg cover +3.5 ppg
Ohio State-7
ATSLate in the season, after crossing 3+ time zones west
67.9%
win rate
19-9-2
record
+29.5%
roi
+3.5ppg
avg cover
📈
WWWLPLLLWLLPWLWLWLWW
last 20: 9-9-2 (50.0%) · avg cover -1.6 ppg
last 10: 5-4-1 (55.6%) · avg cover -3.6 ppg
since 2013: 19-9-2 (67.9%) · avg cover +3.5 ppg
USC
home
2 ATS trends
USC+7
ATSRiley as a dog of more than 3 points, in primetime
81.8%
win rate
9-2-1
record
+56.2%
roi
+8.3ppg
avg cover
📈
WWWPWLWWWWWL
last 10: 7-2-1 (77.8%) · avg cover +7.4 ppg
since 2013: 9-2-1 (81.8%) · avg cover +8.3 ppg
USC+7
ATSfadeFading favs of more than 3 points, after crossing 3+ time zones west, with a total of 50+
65.2%
win rate
30-16-1
record
+24.5%
roi
+2.4ppg
avg cover
📈
LWWWWWWPWLWWLWLLWWLW
last 20: 13-6-1 (68.4%) · avg cover +3.2 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover +2.0 ppg
since 2013: 30-16-1 (65.2%) · avg cover +2.4 ppg
Over / Under
3 trends
Under 50.5
Under
In a conference game, with a team off a bye, in primetime
58.0%
win rate
251-182-5
record
+10.7%
roi
+1.8ppg
avg under
🔥
WLLWWLWWWLLWWWLWLWWW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg under +6.1 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg under +9.4 ppg
since 2013: 251-182-5 (58.0%) · avg under +1.8 ppg
Over 50.5
Over
Lincoln Riley as a dog
78.9%
win rate
15-4
record
+50.7%
roi
+10.4ppg
avg over
🔥
LWWWWWWWWWLWLWWWLWW
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg over +6.3 ppg
since 2013: 15-4 (78.9%) · avg over +10.4 ppg
Over 50.5
Over
Late in the season, with a team crossing 3+ time zones
63.0%
win rate
29-17-2
record
+20.4%
roi
+3.9ppg
avg over
📈
WWWWLWLWPWWWLWLWWWLW
last 20: 14-5-1 (73.7%) · avg over +8.9 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg over +7.0 ppg
since 2013: 29-17-2 (63.0%) · avg over +3.9 ppg
- Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 9 2026 trends.
Gamble Responsibly. 21+
Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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