Sam Houston at Missouri State
Sam Houston@
Missouri State
Missouri State -5.5 · O/U 51.5
Sam HoustonTuesday 2026-10-27
8:00pm
64°F · wind 11 mph · 💧 1%
Missouri StateL 24-30 vs New Mexico StateLast weekL 38-61 @ Delaware
@ Jacksonville StateNext week@ Florida International
54OFF plays last game58
72DEF plays last game74
Miles flown, last 21 days
2,549 mi91st92nd2,677 mi
Exclude Sam Houston weeks
Exclude Missouri State weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
136thOffense116th
86thDefense136th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+5.5 Sam Houston vs Missouri State −5.5
vs Missouri State −5.5pass DEF23rd91stpass OFF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+5.5 Sam Houston vs Missouri State −5.5
vs Missouri State −5.5Sam Houston OFF vs Missouri State DEF
big-play OFF67th38thbig-play DEF
pass OFF122nd134thpass DEF
run OFF130th119thrun DEF
standard-down OFF129th136thstandard-down DEF
passing-down OFF111th123rdpassing-down DEF
run blocking135th115thrun DEF up front
runs not stuffed137th129thstuffing runs
Sam Houston DEF vs Missouri State OFF
stuffing runs50th95thruns not stuffed
big-play DEF61st96thbig-play OFF
run DEF117th84thrun OFF
standard-down DEF86th105thstandard-down OFF
passing-down DEF70th86thpassing-down OFF
run DEF up front109th94thrun blocking
Pace & tendencies
61.8119thPlays per game123rd61.3
63%4thPass rate17th57%
68.553rdPlays faced per game6th76.0
Missouri State
home
1 ATS trend
Missouri State-5.5
ATSfadeFading Longo on the road
80.0%
win rate
8-2
record
+52.7%
roi
+7.4ppg
avg cover
📈
WWWWWLWLWW
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +7.4 ppg
since 2013: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +7.4 ppg
Over / Under
2 trends
Under 51.5
Under
Late in the season, in wind of 11+ mph
55.5%
win rate
197-158-6
record
+5.9%
roi
+0.2ppg
avg under
📈
WWWLWLWWLWLLWWLWLLLW
last 20: 11-9 (55.0%) · avg under +1.4 ppg
last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg under -0.8 ppg
since 2013: 197-158-6 (55.5%) · avg under +0.2 ppg
Over 51.5
Over
Phil Longo as a dog of more than 3 points, off a loss
70.0%
win rate
7-3
record
+33.6%
roi
+2.4ppg
avg over
📈
WWWWWWLWLL
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg over +2.4 ppg
since 2013: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg over +2.4 ppg
- Plaster Sports Complex
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 9 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
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