Stanford at Louisville
Stanford@
Louisville
Louisville -22.5 · O/U 61.5
StanfordSaturday 2026-10-31
3:15pm
62°F · wind 4 mph · 💧 24%
LouisvilleW 31-28 vs NC StateLast weekBye
ByeNext week@ Georgia Tech
71OFF plays last game61
66DEF plays last game87
Miles flown, last 21 days
1,975 mi72nd50th1,209 mi
Exclude Stanford weeks
Exclude Louisville weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
64thOffense19th
133rdDefense48th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+22.5 Stanford vs Louisville −22.5
vs Louisville −22.5big-play DEF126th2ndbig-play OFF
run DEF136th27thrun OFF
standard-down DEF121st22ndstandard-down OFF
passing-down DEF135th38thpassing-down OFF
pass DEF110th33rdpass OFF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+22.5 Stanford vs Louisville −22.5
vs Louisville −22.5Stanford OFF vs Louisville DEF
run OFF104th67thrun DEF
standard-down OFF60th34thstandard-down DEF
passing-down OFF119th94thpassing-down DEF
pass OFF84th63rdpass DEF
big-play OFF49th55thbig-play DEF
run blocking96th84thrun DEF up front
runs not stuffed113th130thstuffing runs
Stanford DEF vs Louisville OFF
run DEF up front125th123rdrun blocking
stuffing runs124th128thruns not stuffed
Pace & tendencies
65.386thPlays per game103rd63.3
56%25thPass rate103rd47%
71.127thPlays faced per game3rd78.8
Louisville
home
1 ATS trend · 1 🔥
Louisville-22.5
ATSfadeFading dogs of more than 7 points, in a conference game, after crossing 3+ time zones east
70.3%
win rate
26-11
record
+34.2%
roi
+4.8ppg
avg cover
🔥
LWWWLWLWLWWWLLWWWWWW
last 20: 14-6 (70.0%) · avg cover +5.5 ppg
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +9.1 ppg
since 2013: 26-11 (70.3%) · avg cover +4.8 ppg
Over / Under
2 trends
Over 61.5
Over
Late in the season, with a team crossing 3+ time zones, with a spread of more than 10 points
75.0%
win rate
15-5-2
record
+43.2%
roi
+5.0ppg
avg over
🔥
PWWWLWWLWWWLLWPWWWWW
last 20: 14-4-2 (77.8%) · avg over +5.9 ppg
last 10: 7-2-1 (77.8%) · avg over +5.3 ppg
since 2013: 15-5-2 (75.0%) · avg over +5.0 ppg
Over 61.5
Over
Jeff Brohm as a home fav of more than 10 points, off a win
80.0%
win rate
8-2
record
+52.7%
roi
+4.8ppg
avg over
📈
WWWWWLWWWL
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg over +4.8 ppg
since 2013: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg over +4.8 ppg
- L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 9 2026 trends.
Gamble Responsibly. 21+
Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
your book before betting.
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betting trends by week and game.