Troy at James Madison
Troy@
James Madison
James Madison -19.5 · O/U 52.5
TroyThursday 2026-10-29
7:30pm
58°F · wind 3 mph · 💧 0%
James MadisonL 14-21 vs UL MonroeLast weekL 31-34 @ App State
vs Louisiana TechNext week@ Southern Miss
65OFF plays last game76
63DEF plays last game77
Miles flown, last 21 days
1,362 mi59th55th1,330 mi
Exclude Troy weeks
Exclude James Madison weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
97thOffense27th
105thDefense57th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+19.5 Troy vs James Madison −19.5
vs James Madison −19.5runs not stuffed35th107thstuffing runs
stuffing runs100th14thruns not stuffed
passing-down DEF96th15thpassing-down OFF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+19.5 Troy vs James Madison −19.5
vs James Madison −19.5Troy OFF vs James Madison DEF
pass OFF116th66thpass DEF
run OFF65th27thrun DEF
passing-down OFF127th100thpassing-down DEF
big-play OFF90th67thbig-play DEF
standard-down OFF61st44thstandard-down DEF
run blocking61st67thrun DEF up front
Troy DEF vs James Madison OFF
run DEF up front106th42ndrun blocking
run DEF120th60thrun OFF
pass DEF92nd38thpass OFF
standard-down DEF111th71ststandard-down OFF
big-play DEF62nd58thbig-play OFF
Pace & tendencies
70.239thPlays per game26th70.9
43%121stPass rate96th48%
64.399thPlays faced per game17th72.6
Troy
away
2 ATS trends
Troy+19.5
ATSfadeFading Napier as a home fav, in primetime
76.9%
win rate
10-3
record
+46.9%
roi
+5.2ppg
avg cover
📈
LWLLWWWWWWWWW
last 10: 9-1 (90.0%) · avg cover +8.8 ppg
since 2013: 10-3 (76.9%) · avg cover +5.2 ppg
Troy+19.5
ATSParker as a road dog of more than 3 points
69.2%
win rate
9-4
record
+32.2%
roi
+5.1ppg
avg cover
📈
LWLWWLWWWLWWW
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +6.8 ppg
since 2013: 9-4 (69.2%) · avg cover +5.1 ppg
Over / Under
3 trends
Over 52.5
Over
Teams as a fav of more than 10 points, off a loss, in primetime
56.7%
win rate
224-171-1
record
+8.3%
roi
+2.6ppg
avg over
📈
WWWWWLWLWWLWLWWLLWWW
last 20: 14-6 (70.0%) · avg over +7.0 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg over +5.8 ppg
since 2013: 224-171-1 (56.7%) · avg over +2.6 ppg
Under 52.5
Under
Gerad Parker as a road dog
73.3%
win rate
11-4
record
+40.0%
roi
+0.2ppg
avg under
📈
WLWLWLWWLWWWWWW
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg under +0.9 ppg
since 2013: 11-4 (73.3%) · avg under +0.2 ppg
Under 52.5
Under
Billy Napier as a fav, in primetime
63.6%
win rate
14-8
record
+21.5%
roi
+3.0ppg
avg under
📈
LWLWWWWWWWLWLLLWWWWL
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg under +3.3 ppg
last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg under -2.1 ppg
since 2013: 14-8 (63.6%) · avg under +3.0 ppg
- Bridgeforth Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 9 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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