UAB at South Florida
UAB@
South Florida
South Florida -7.5 · O/U 41.5
UABSaturday 2026-10-31
12:00pm
83°F · wind 16 mph · 💧 1%
South FloridaByeLast weekBye
vs CharlotteNext week@ East Carolina
69OFF plays last game59
80DEF plays last game70
Miles flown, last 21 days
460 mi18th1st0 mi
Exclude UAB weeks
Exclude South Florida weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
124thOffense109th
49thDefense23rd
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+7.5 UAB vs South Florida −7.5
vs South Florida −7.5big-play DEF3rd138thbig-play OFF
passing-down DEF33rd117thpassing-down OFF
pass OFF127th40thpass DEF
big-play OFF88th1stbig-play DEF
standard-down OFF125th53rdstandard-down DEF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+7.5 UAB vs South Florida −7.5
vs South Florida −7.5UAB OFF vs South Florida DEF
run OFF80th43rdrun DEF
passing-down OFF70th38thpassing-down DEF
run blocking63rd62ndrun DEF up front
runs not stuffed59th37thstuffing runs
UAB DEF vs South Florida OFF
pass DEF56th97thpass OFF
standard-down DEF106th53rdstandard-down OFF
run DEF100th77thrun OFF
run DEF up front119th125thrun blocking
stuffing runs127th129thruns not stuffed
Pace & tendencies
67.769thPlays per game135th59.2
45%114thPass rate109th46%
66.081stPlays faced per game68th67.0
UAB
away
1 ATS trend
UAB+7.5
ATSfadeFading home teams, on under 500 miles of travel in three weeks, with a total under 42
60.5%
win rate
49-32-2
record
+15.5%
roi
+2.2ppg
avg cover
📈
LWLWWLWWWWWWWWLLLLWW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +2.6 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover -0.7 ppg
since 2013: 49-32-2 (60.5%) · avg cover +2.2 ppg
South Florida
home
1 ATS trend · 1 🔥
South Florida-7.5
ATSfadeFading dogs of more than 7 points, on under 500 miles of travel in three weeks, with a total under 42
67.4%
win rate
31-15-1
record
+28.7%
roi
+3.8ppg
avg cover
🔥
LWWLWLLWWWLLWWWLWWLW
last 20: 12-8 (60.0%) · avg cover +5.0 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover +7.5 ppg
since 2013: 31-15-1 (67.4%) · avg cover +3.8 ppg
Over / Under
2 trends
Over 41.5
Over
In a conference game, with a total under 42
58.9%
win rate
129-90-5
record
+12.5%
roi
+3.5ppg
avg over
📈
WLLWWWLWLLLWLLLWWLLW
last 20: 9-11 (45.0%) · avg over +2.8 ppg
last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg over +3.0 ppg
since 2013: 129-90-5 (58.9%) · avg over +3.5 ppg
Under 41.5
Under
Late in the season, in wind of 11+ mph
55.5%
win rate
197-158-6
record
+5.9%
roi
+0.2ppg
avg under
📈
WWWLWLWWLWLLWWLWLLLW
last 20: 11-9 (55.0%) · avg under +1.4 ppg
last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg under -0.8 ppg
since 2013: 197-158-6 (55.5%) · avg under +0.2 ppg
- Raymond James Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 9 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
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