UConn at Air Force
UConn@
Air Force
Air Force -3 · O/U 55.5
UConnSaturday 2026-10-31
3:00pm
60°F · wind 6 mph · 💧 20%
Air ForceW 35-16 vs MassachusettsLast weekL 14-28 @ Wyoming
vs North CarolinaNext week@ Army
66OFF plays last game80
68DEF plays last game41
Miles flown, last 21 days
1,697 mi65th13th329 mi
Exclude UConn weeks
Exclude Air Force weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
49thOffense44th
77thDefense82nd
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+3 UConn vs Air Force −3
vs Air Force −3big-play DEF49th137thbig-play OFF
big-play OFF10th87thbig-play DEF
stuffing runs94th1struns not stuffed
standard-down DEF102nd17thstandard-down OFF
run DEF up front85th1strun blocking
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+3 UConn vs Air Force −3
vs Air Force −3UConn OFF vs Air Force DEF
run blocking33rd97thrun DEF up front
standard-down OFF58th87thstandard-down DEF
pass OFF58th86thpass DEF
runs not stuffed76th99thstuffing runs
run OFF57th70thrun DEF
passing-down OFF71st66thpassing-down DEF
UConn DEF vs Air Force OFF
run DEF61st3rdrun OFF
pass DEF115th105thpass OFF
passing-down DEF83rd90thpassing-down OFF
Pace & tendencies
65.584thPlays per game11th73.8
48%98thPass rate138th17%
72.715thPlays faced per game138th55.0
UConn
away
3 ATS trends
UConn+3
ATSfadeFading favs of 3 points or fewer, off a loss, on under 500 miles of travel in three weeks
58.9%
win rate
123-86-8
record
+12.4%
roi
+2.5ppg
avg cover
📈
LLWLLWWWWWWLWLLPWLLL
last 20: 9-10-1 (47.4%) · avg cover +0.6 ppg
last 10: 3-6-1 (33.3%) · avg cover -1.4 ppg
since 2013: 123-86-8 (58.9%) · avg cover +2.5 ppg
UConn+3
ATSfadeFading favs of 3 points or fewer, off a loss
55.3%
win rate
442-357-24
record
+5.6%
roi
+1.7ppg
avg cover
📈
WWLWWLLLLWLLLWLLWLLW
last 20: 8-12 (40.0%) · avg cover -3.4 ppg
last 10: 3-7 (30.0%) · avg cover -8.7 ppg
since 2013: 442-357-24 (55.3%) · avg cover +1.7 ppg
UConn+3
ATSfadeFading Calhoun at home, off a loss
65.6%
win rate
21-11
record
+25.3%
roi
+2.2ppg
avg cover
📈
WLWLLWWLWLLLWWWLWWWW
last 20: 12-8 (60.0%) · avg cover -0.8 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +1.7 ppg
since 2013: 21-11 (65.6%) · avg cover +2.2 ppg
Air Force
home
1 ATS trend
Air Force-3
ATSfadeFading Candle off a win
60.0%
win rate
48-32
record
+14.5%
roi
+3.0ppg
avg cover
📈
LWWLWWWLWLWWWLWLLWWL
last 20: 12-8 (60.0%) · avg cover +1.9 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover +3.1 ppg
since 2013: 48-32 (60.0%) · avg cover +3.0 ppg
Over / Under
2 trends
Over 55.5
Over
Late in the season, in a non-conference game, with a spread of 3 points or fewer
65.0%
win rate
13-7
record
+24.1%
roi
+7.6ppg
avg over
📈
WWWLWWWWWWWLWWWLLLLL
last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg over -3.0 ppg
since 2013: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg over +7.6 ppg
Over 55.5
Over
Jason Candle as a road dog
64.7%
win rate
11-6
record
+23.5%
roi
+5.7ppg
avg over
📈
WWWLWWWLWWWWWLLLL
last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg over +2.1 ppg
since 2013: 11-6 (64.7%) · avg over +5.7 ppg
- Falcon Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 9 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
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