Virginia at Wake Forest
Virginia@
Wake Forest
Wake Forest -13.5 · O/U 49.5
VirginiaSaturday 2026-10-31
3:45pm
73°F · wind 3 mph · 💧 2%
Wake ForestL 16-19 vs DukeLast weekBye
ByeNext weekvs Merrimack
80OFF plays last game64
50DEF plays last game72
Miles flown, last 21 days
2,337 mi83rd108th4,602 mi
Exclude Virginia weeks
Exclude Wake Forest weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
71stOffense12th
71stDefense31st
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+13.5 Virginia vs Wake Forest −13.5
vs Wake Forest −13.5big-play OFF133rd5thbig-play DEF
passing-down OFF115th44thpassing-down DEF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+13.5 Virginia vs Wake Forest −13.5
vs Wake Forest −13.5Virginia OFF vs Wake Forest DEF
pass OFF96th59thpass DEF
run OFF46th25thrun DEF
standard-down OFF52nd39thstandard-down DEF
run blocking22nd18thrun DEF up front
runs not stuffed25th3rdstuffing runs
Virginia DEF vs Wake Forest OFF
big-play DEF78th33rdbig-play OFF
run DEF66th26thrun OFF
run DEF up front77th40thrun blocking
pass DEF52nd18thpass OFF
passing-down DEF41st10thpassing-down OFF
standard-down DEF58th28thstandard-down OFF
stuffing runs76th51struns not stuffed
Pace & tendencies
70.433rdPlays per game75th66.4
44%116thPass rate38th54%
63.9104thPlays faced per game24th71.7
Virginia
away
2 ATS trends · 1 🔥
Virginia+13.5
ATSfadeFading favs of more than 10 points, in a conference game, on 4,500+ miles of travel in three weeks
68.9%
win rate
31-14
record
+31.5%
roi
+4.4ppg
avg cover
🔥
WWWWWWWLLLLWWWWWWLWL
last 20: 14-6 (70.0%) · avg cover +2.5 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +5.0 ppg
since 2013: 31-14 (68.9%) · avg cover +4.4 ppg
Virginia+13.5
ATSElliott as a dog of more than 3 points
69.6%
win rate
16-7-1
record
+32.8%
roi
+3.1ppg
avg cover
📈
LLWLWWWWWWWWLLLWWWWP
last 20: 13-6-1 (68.4%) · avg cover +3.4 ppg
last 10: 6-3-1 (66.7%) · avg cover +4.2 ppg
since 2013: 16-7-1 (69.6%) · avg cover +3.1 ppg
Wake Forest
home
2 ATS trends · 1 🔥
Wake Forest-13.5
ATSDickert at home, off a win
77.3%
win rate
17-5
record
+47.5%
roi
+6.0ppg
avg cover
🔥
WWWWWLWLWWLWWWLWWWWW
last 20: 16-4 (80.0%) · avg cover +7.3 ppg
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +10.1 ppg
since 2013: 17-5 (77.3%) · avg cover +6.0 ppg
Wake Forest-13.5
ATScoolingAt home, off a win, off a bye
55.9%
win rate
305-241-14
record
+6.6%
roi
+2.2ppg
avg cover
📈
WLWWLWLWWWLWWLLPWWWW
last 20: 13-6-1 (68.4%) · avg cover +2.7 ppg
last 10: 6-3-1 (66.7%) · avg cover +3.1 ppg
since 2013: 305-241-14 (55.9%) · avg cover +2.2 ppg
- Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 9 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
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