Wisconsin at Iowa
Wisconsin@
Iowa
Iowa -3.5 · O/U 39.5
WisconsinSaturday 2026-10-31
12:00pm
62°F · wind 5 mph · 💧 31%
IowaW 24-7 vs USCLast weekL 10-13 @ Minnesota
vs RutgersNext week@ Northwestern
57OFF plays last game67
77DEF plays last game62
Miles flown, last 21 days
3,466 mi104th20th488 mi
Exclude Wisconsin weeks
Exclude Iowa weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
60thOffense85th
3rdDefense53rd
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+3.5 Wisconsin vs Iowa −3.5
vs Iowa −3.5passing-down DEF4th121stpassing-down OFF
run DEF20th109thrun OFF
big-play DEF4th78thbig-play OFF
travel3,466 mi, 21 days104th20thtravel488 mi, 21 days
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+3.5 Wisconsin vs Iowa −3.5
vs Iowa −3.5Wisconsin OFF vs Iowa DEF
runs not stuffed19th52ndstuffing runs
passing-down OFF87th29thpassing-down DEF
run OFF51st10thrun DEF
standard-down OFF59th30thstandard-down DEF
pass OFF72nd83rdpass DEF
big-play OFF40th26thbig-play DEF
run blocking44th23rdrun DEF up front
Wisconsin DEF vs Iowa OFF
run DEF up front14th75thrun blocking
standard-down DEF18th54thstandard-down OFF
pass DEF7th39thpass OFF
stuffing runs80th62ndruns not stuffed
Pace & tendencies
60.0132ndPlays per game108th63.0
44%119thPass rate33rd55%
70.536thPlays faced per game81st66.0
Wisconsin
away
1 ATS trend
Wisconsin+3.5
ATSfadeFading home teams, on under 500 miles of travel in three weeks, with a total under 42
60.5%
win rate
49-32-2
record
+15.5%
roi
+2.2ppg
avg cover
📈
LWLWWLWWWWWWWWLLLLWW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +2.6 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover -0.7 ppg
since 2013: 49-32-2 (60.5%) · avg cover +2.2 ppg
Iowa
home
1 ATS trend
Iowa-3.5
ATSFerentz as a fav, off a loss
63.3%
win rate
19-11-1
record
+20.9%
roi
+7.3ppg
avg cover
📈
WWLWLWWLWWWLLLWWWWWL
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +9.0 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover +7.1 ppg
since 2013: 19-11-1 (63.3%) · avg cover +7.3 ppg
Over / Under
3 trends
Under 39.5
Under
Luke Fickell as a dog of more than 3 points
74.2%
win rate
23-8
record
+41.6%
roi
+6.0ppg
avg under
🔥
WWWWWLLLWWLWWWWWWWLL
last 20: 14-6 (70.0%) · avg under +5.5 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg under +5.1 ppg
since 2013: 23-8 (74.2%) · avg under +6.0 ppg
Over 39.5
Over
In a conference game, with a total under 42
58.9%
win rate
129-90-5
record
+12.5%
roi
+3.5ppg
avg over
📈
WLLWWWLWLLLWLLLWWLLW
last 20: 9-11 (45.0%) · avg over +2.8 ppg
last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg over +3.0 ppg
since 2013: 129-90-5 (58.9%) · avg over +3.5 ppg
Under 39.5
Undercooling
Kirk Ferentz at home
60.9%
win rate
39-25-1
record
+16.3%
roi
+2.7ppg
avg under
📈
WWWLLLLLWWLWLLWWWWLW
last 20: 11-9 (55.0%) · avg under -0.1 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg under +1.8 ppg
since 2013: 39-25-1 (60.9%) · avg under +2.7 ppg
- Kinnick Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 9 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
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