Atlanta Falcons at Pittsburgh Steelers
Final — ATL 13, PIT 20This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.
ATL@
PIT
PIT -6.5 · O/U 40.5
ATLSunday 2026-09-13
1:00pm
77°F · wind 4 mph
PIT
ATL
away
2 ATS trends
ATL+6.5
ATSEarly in the season, as a dog, with a total under 42
55.6%
win rate
276-220-14
record
+6.2%
roi
+0.7ppg
avg cover
📈
WWWWLWLLWLWLLLLWWWLL
last 20: 10-10 (50.0%) · avg cover -1.9 ppg
last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg cover -4.3 ppg
since 2003: 276-220-14 (55.6%) · avg cover +0.7 ppg
ATL+6.5
ATSMorris as a road dog of more than 3 points
62.1%
win rate
18-11
record
+18.5%
roi
+3.9ppg
avg cover
📈
WWWWWLWLLWLWLWLLWWWL
last 20: 12-8 (60.0%) · avg cover +2.5 ppg
last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg cover +0.7 ppg
since 2003: 18-11 (62.1%) · avg cover +3.9 ppg
PIT
home
2 ATS trends
PIT-6.5
ATSMcCarthy as a fav
59.5%
win rate
116-79-5
record
+13.6%
roi
+2.0ppg
avg cover
📈
LWWWLWWWWWWLWLWLLLWW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +3.9 ppg
last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg cover -0.7 ppg
since 2003: 116-79-5 (59.5%) · avg cover +2.0 ppg
PIT-6.5
ATScoolingRodgers at home
62.4%
win rate
83-50-4
record
+19.1%
roi
+2.9ppg
avg cover
📈
LWWLLWLLLWLWLWWLWWLW
last 20: 10-10 (50.0%) · avg cover -0.4 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover -0.9 ppg
since 2003: 83-50-4 (62.4%) · avg cover +2.9 ppg
Over / Under
3 trends
Over 40.5
Over
Early in the season, in a non-conference game, with a total under 42
60.2%
win rate
71-47-2
record
+14.9%
roi
+2.8ppg
avg over
📈
WWWLLWWLWLLWWWWLWLWW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg over +2.0 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg over +1.6 ppg
since 2003: 71-47-2 (60.2%) · avg over +2.8 ppg
Over 40.5
Over
Mike McCarthy as a fav of more than 3 points
58.1%
win rate
86-62-2
record
+10.9%
roi
+3.2ppg
avg over
📈
WLLLWWLWWPWWLLWWWLWL
last 20: 11-8-1 (57.9%) · avg over +5.4 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg over +5.0 ppg
since 2003: 86-62-2 (58.1%) · avg over +3.2 ppg
Under 40.5
Under
In Week 1, in a non-conference game, with a spread of more than 3 points
60.4%
win rate
29-19
record
+15.3%
roi
+1.1ppg
avg under
📈
LWLWWLWWWLLLWWLWWWWL
last 20: 12-8 (60.0%) · avg under +1.4 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg under +2.5 ppg
since 2003: 29-19 (60.4%) · avg under +1.1 ppg
- Acrisure Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
- Surface · grass
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 1 2026 trends.
Gamble Responsibly. 21+
Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
your book before betting.
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