Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs

Final — DEN 10, KC 31This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.

DEN@KC KC -2.5 · O/U 42.5

DEN

Monday 2026-09-14

8:15pm

91°F · wind 13 mph

DEN away 2 ATS trends

DEN+2.5 ATS

Payton as a dog

58.3%

win rate

60-43-2

record

+11.2%

roi

+2.1ppg

avg cover

📈

WLLWLWWLLWLLLLWWWWWL

last 20: 10-10 (50.0%) · avg cover -0.7 ppg last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg cover -1.4 ppg since 2003: 60-43-2 (58.3%) · avg cover +2.1 ppg

DEN+2.5 ATS

As a dog, in a division game, in the heat

59.3%

win rate

35-24-1

record

+13.3%

roi

+1.6ppg

avg cover

📈

WLLWWLWWWLWLLLWWWLLL

last 20: 10-10 (50.0%) · avg cover -0.7 ppg last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg cover -3.4 ppg since 2003: 35-24-1 (59.3%) · avg cover +1.6 ppg

KC home 2 ATS trends

KC-2.5 ATS

At home, in primetime, in wind of 11+ mph

58.0%

win rate

87-63-4

record

+10.7%

roi

+1.8ppg

avg cover

📈

LWLWLWWWWLWWWWLWLWLW

last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +4.2 ppg last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +3.5 ppg since 2003: 87-63-4 (58.0%) · avg cover +1.8 ppg

KC-2.5 ATS

Mahomes as a fav of 3 points or fewer

64.3%

win rate

18-10

record

+22.7%

roi

+2.0ppg

avg cover

📈

LWWWWWLWWLLWWWWLLWLW

last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +2.1 ppg last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover +0.9 ppg since 2003: 18-10 (64.3%) · avg cover +2.0 ppg

Over / Under

4 trends

Under 42.5 Under

Andy Reid as a home fav

62.1%

win rate

110-67-6

record

+18.6%

roi

+2.5ppg

avg under

🔥

WWLLWLWWWLWLWWWWWWWL

last 20: 14-6 (70.0%) · avg under +3.5 ppg last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg under +4.1 ppg since 2003: 110-67-6 (62.1%) · avg under +2.5 ppg

Under 42.5 Under

In a division game, in the heat

66.7%

win rate

40-20

record

+27.3%

roi

+4.4ppg

avg under

🔥

WWWWWWWLLLWWLWWWLWLW

last 20: 14-6 (70.0%) · avg under +5.2 ppg last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg under +3.2 ppg since 2003: 40-20 (66.7%) · avg under +4.4 ppg

Under 42.5 Under

Patrick Mahomes at home

62.3%

win rate

48-29-1

record

+19.0%

roi

+3.1ppg

avg under

📈

LLWLWWWLWLWLWWWWWWWL

last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg under +2.8 ppg last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg under +4.9 ppg since 2003: 48-29-1 (62.3%) · avg under +3.1 ppg

Under 42.5 Under

Sean Payton as a dog, in primetime

69.6%

win rate

16-7-1

record

+32.8%

roi

+4.9ppg

avg under

📈

LWLWWPWLWWWWWWWWWLLW

last 20: 14-5-1 (73.7%) · avg under +5.6 ppg last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg under +6.5 ppg since 2003: 16-7-1 (69.6%) · avg under +4.9 ppg

GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Roof · outdoors
Surface · grass

Run your own query on this matchup

Every other game this week: Week 1 2026 trends.

Gamble Responsibly. 21+ Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at your book before betting. College Football betting trends by week and game.