Slim Sports
Games 🔥 Trends Picks Survivor Research

Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints

Records, streaks and rest for this week are calculated from games played so far, so they will be out of date until the weeks before it are played.
CAR@NO CAR -1.5 · O/U 47.5
CAR
Sunday 2026-11-15
1:00pm
FOX
Indoors
NO
How to attack
CAR offense vs NO defense
  • Run the ballMixedNO ranks 31st vs the run (4.7 per carry). Chuba Hubbard has 82% of the backs' carries lately (19 a game).
    • Without DE Carl Granderson (wk 4): 6.3 per carry on 33 carries; with him 4.3 on 150; expected back
    • Chuba Hubbard: 118 carries here, 4.6 per carry, 47% successful (league 4.0, 40%)
    • NO allowed more than league average per carry in 5 of 7 games
    • AJ Dillon: 17 carries here, 2.5 per carry, 24% successful (league 4.0, 40%)
    Angleno rush yds line posted yet for Chuba Hubbard (the data leans over).
  • Attack the deep leftMixedNO gives up 18.2 yds per target to the deep left (32nd, 17 targets). Tetairoa McMillan has 8 targets there this season.
    • Tetairoa McMillan on these targets: 8, 50% caught, 11.4 yds each (league 40%, 11.1)
    • Mostly one game: wk 6 vs NYG, 32.3 yds per target on 3
    • NO allowed more than league average per target in 3 of 4 games
    • Last 2 games NO allowed 24.7 per target; 12.4 before
    Angleno rec yds line posted yet for Tetairoa McMillan (the data leans over).
NO offense vs CAR defense
  • Time to throw for Tyler ShoughMixedCAR hits or sacks the QB on only 10.2% of dropbacks (31st-most).
    • Without LB Jaelan Phillips (wk 7, 8): 2% of dropbacks on 56 dropbacks; with him 10% on 178; expected back
    • NO's QB hit or sacked on 8% of dropbacks the last 2 games, 15% before
    • CAR below the league hit-and-sack rate in 6 of 7 games
    • Last 2 games CAR hit or sacked the QB on 2% of dropbacks; 12% before
    Angleno pass yds line posted yet for Tyler Shough (the data leans over).
  • Finish in the red zoneCAR allows touchdowns on 80.0% of red-zone trips (30th); NO scores them on 75.0% (3rd).
    • CAR allowed TDs on 16 of 20 trips (4/4, 2/3, 2/4, 2/2, 3/4, 3/3 by game)
    • NO scored TDs on 18 of 24 trips (4/5, 2/3, 4/5, 3/4, 1/1, 3/3, 1/3 by game)
  • Run inside, not outsideShakyCAR allows 4.7 per carry between the guards (30th) but 4.5 outside the tackles (10th). Kendre Miller has 59% of the backs' carries lately (13 a game).
    • Without LB Patrick Jones II (wk 1, 2): 6.4 per carry on 36 carries; with him 3.8 on 66; expected back
    • Kendre Miller: 38 carries here, 3.1 per carry, 26% successful (league 3.8, 40%)
    • Two big plays make it (61 yds wk 1 vs CHI, 46 wk 7 vs TB); without them 3.8 (league 3.8)
    • CAR allowed more than league average per carry in 3 of 7 games
    Angleno rush yds line posted yet for Kendre Miller (the data leans over). Weak case: the read is Shaky.
Motivation & storylines
  • StakesDivision game. CAR leads the NFC South by 0.5; CAR 3-4; NO 2-5, 1 back.
  • HistoryLast met 2025 wk 15: NO 20-17 at NO.
  • History2025 series: NO swept CAR (17-7 at CAR, 17-20 at NO).
  • RevengeCAR vs a former team: Luke Fortner (C, NO 2025).
vs DENLast weekvs CLE
vs BALNext week@ CHI
–OFF plays last game–
–DEF plays last game–
Miles flown, last 21 days
2,140 mi16th1st0 mi
Stats from games played through week 8
EPA rank · adjusted
13thOffense22nd
21stDefense27th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
−1.5 CAR vs NO +1.5
OFF vs man*5th32ndman coverage*man rate 21st
big-play DEF7th29thbig-play OFF
12-personnel OFF*12 rate 9th16th32ndDEF vs 12 personnel*
pass rush w/o blitz32nd8thprotection vs no blitz
third-down DEF29th9ththird-down OFF
travel2,140 mi, 21 days16th1sttravel0 mi, 21 days
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-32, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 5 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. * Sharp Football Analysis.
−1.5 CAR vs NO +1.5
CAR OFF vs NO DEF
run OFF18th32ndrun DEF
11-personnel OFF*11 rate 18th15th27thDEF vs 11 personnel*
run blocking*14th25thrun DEF up front*
big-play OFF12th22ndbig-play DEF
third-down OFF20th30ththird-down DEF
early-down OFF22nd32ndearly-down DEF
pass OFF18th27thpass DEF
play-action OFFPA rate 11th16th9thplay-action DEF
pass protection*32nd28thpass rush*
protection vs no blitz31st29thpass rush w/o blitz
OFF vs the blitz21st23rdblitzing DEFblitz rate 11th
OFF vs zone*13th17thzone coverage*zone rate 12th
CAR DEF vs NO OFF
early-down DEF18th28thearly-down OFF
man coverage*man rate 29th5th13thOFF vs man*
run DEF20th27thrun OFF
DEF vs 11 personnel*28th18th11-personnel OFF*11 rate 5th
pass DEF21st16thpass OFF
pass rush*13th16thpass protection*
run DEF up front*28th31strun blocking*
blitzing DEFblitz rate 7th18th19thOFF vs the blitz
play-action DEF13th8thplay-action OFFPA rate 32nd
zone coverage*zone rate 4th21st20thOFF vs zone*
DEF vs 12 personnel*13th11th12-personnel OFF*12 rate 25th
Pace & tendencies
26.4s1stSeconds between snaps6th29.1s
69.63rdPlays per game7th68.1
+6.6%2ndPass rate over expected10th+0.3%
6%13thNo-huddle rate3rd14%
65%11thShotgun rate7th69%
57%17thMotion rate11th62%
25%11thPlay-action rate32nd15%
2.84s18thTime to throw*25th2.70s
59%18th11 personnel*5th69%
29%9th12 personnel*25th18%
39%7thDEF blitz rate11th34%
14%29thDEF man rate*21st18%
68.17thPlays faced per game15th65.4
CAR away 1 ATS trend
NO home 1 ATS trend
Over / Under
2 trends

Run your own query on this matchup

Every other game this week: Week 10 2026 trends.

Gamble Responsibly. 21+ Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at your book before betting. College Football betting trends by week and game. * Stats marked with an asterisk (pressure, run blocking, man/zone coverage, time to throw, personnel): Sharp Football Analysis.