Slim Sports
Games 🔥 Trends Picks Survivor Research

Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans

Records, streaks and rest for this week are calculated from games played so far, so they will be out of date until the weeks before it are played.
JAX@TEN JAX -8.5 · O/U 44.5
JAX
Sunday 2026-11-15
1:00pm
FOX
61°F · wind 2 mph · 💧 12%
TEN
How to attack
JAX offense vs TEN defense
  • Throw to the wide receiversSolidTEN ranks 32nd vs wide receivers in EPA per target: 74% caught, 9.5 yds per target, 195 per game. Best fits: Parker Washington (22% of targets, 4 in the red zone) and Jakobi Meyers (19% of targets, 4 in the red zone).
    • Without CB Alontae Taylor (wk 6, 7): 7.5 yds per target on 48 targets; with him 10.3 on 116; expected back
    • Parker Washington on these targets: 48, 56% caught, 9.0 yds each (league 62%, 8.1)
    • TEN allowed more than league average per target in 5 of 8 games
    AngleParker Washington over 62.5 rec yds (-114 DK); Parker Washington over 4.5 catches (-104 DK).
  • Attack the short leftSolidTEN gives up 7.8 yds per target to the short left (31st, 86 targets). Parker Washington has 19 targets there this season.
    • Without CB Cordale Flott (wk 2): 5.1 yds per target on 8 targets; with him 8.0 on 70; expected back
    • Parker Washington on these targets: 19, 68% caught, 6.6 yds each (league 70%, 5.9)
    • TEN allowed more than league average per target in 6 of 8 games
    • Last 2 games TEN allowed 8.8 per target; 7.1 before
    AngleParker Washington over 62.5 rec yds (-114 DK); Parker Washington over 25.5 longest catch (-111 DK).
TEN offense vs JAX defense
  • Red-zone stalls likelyTEN scores touchdowns on 52.2% of red-zone trips (24th); JAX allows them on 40.9% (4th).
    • Joey Slye: 12 of 13 on field goals, 1 of 2 from 50+, long 56; missed in wk 3
    • JAX allowed TDs on 9 of 22 trips (0/2, 2/4, 0/4, 2/4, 1/1, 3/5, 1/2 by game)
    • TEN scored TDs on 12 of 23 trips (1/1, 2/4, 1/3, 2/4, 0/1, 1/2, 2/4, 3/4 by game)
    Angleno FGs made line posted yet for Joey Slye (the data leans over).
  • Protect the ballJAX has 12 takeaways (2nd-most); TEN has 10 giveaways (10th-most per play).
    Angleno INTs line posted yet for Cam Ward (the data leans over).
  • Tough sledding for Tony PollardMixedJAX ranks 3rd vs the run (3.4 per carry).
    • Tony Pollard: 133 carries here, 4.5 per carry, 41% successful (league 4.0, 40%)
    • JAX allowed less than league average per carry in 4 of 7 games
    • Tyjae Spears: 18 carries here, 3.7 per carry, 33% successful (league 4.0, 40%)
    • Nicholas Singleton: 7 carries here, 1.7 per carry, 14% successful (league 4.0, 40%)
    Angleno rush yds line posted yet for Tony Pollard (the data leans under).
Motivation & storylines
  • StakesDivision game. JAX leads the AFC South by 3; JAX 5-2; TEN 1-7, 4.5 back.
  • HistoryLast met 2025 wk 18: JAX 41-7 at JAX.
  • History2025 series: JAX swept TEN (25-3 at TEN, 7-41 at JAX).
  • RevengeTEN vs a former team: Calvin Ridley (WR, JAX 2023).
  • SpotTEN off a bye; JAX won 42-7 vs IND last week; TEN lost 43-36 at CIN in overtime last week.
@ BALLast weekBye
@ NYGNext week@ DAL
–OFF plays last game77
–DEF plays last game74
Miles flown, last 21 days
1,862 mi14th4th474 mi
Stats from games played through week 8
EPA rank · adjusted
7thOffense28th
5thDefense28th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
−8.5 JAX vs TEN +8.5
DEF vs 12 personnel*1st29th12-personnel OFF*12 rate 27th
OFF vs zone*2nd29thzone coverage*zone rate 7th
pass OFF4th30thpass DEF
pass protection*9th32ndpass rush*
man coverage*man rate 12th1st21stOFF vs man*
big-play OFF8th27thbig-play DEF
third-down OFF4th23rdthird-down DEF
early-down OFF9th28thearly-down DEF
OFF vs the blitz10th29thblitzing DEFblitz rate 28th
11-personnel OFF*11 rate 12th8th26thDEF vs 11 personnel*
play-action DEF12th30thplay-action OFFPA rate 19th
third-down DEF12th29ththird-down OFF
12-personnel OFF*12 rate 10th6th22ndDEF vs 12 personnel*
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-32, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 5 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. * Sharp Football Analysis.
−8.5 JAX vs TEN +8.5
JAX OFF vs TEN DEF
play-action OFFPA rate 13th1st14thplay-action DEF
OFF vs man*18th31stman coverage*man rate 26th
run OFF11th15thrun DEF
protection vs no blitz21st20thpass rush w/o blitz
run blocking*26th29thrun DEF up front*
JAX DEF vs TEN OFF
pass DEF11th24thpass OFF
run DEF6th19thrun OFF
run DEF up front*11th23rdrun blocking*
blitzing DEFblitz rate 16th4th14thOFF vs the blitz
zone coverage*zone rate 21st16th26thOFF vs zone*
big-play DEF21st30thbig-play OFF
pass rush w/o blitz18th10thprotection vs no blitz
pass rush*11th11thpass protection*
early-down DEF20th21stearly-down OFF
DEF vs 11 personnel*21st26th11-personnel OFF*11 rate 1st
Pace & tendencies
30.9s20thSeconds between snaps5th29.0s
61.325thPlays per game32nd59.3
-2.2%22ndPass rate over expected24th-3.7%
3%29thNo-huddle rate1st20%
54%26thShotgun rate5th72%
64%7thMotion rate28th50%
25%13thPlay-action rate19th22%
2.77s21stTime to throw*17th2.84s
60%12th11 personnel*1st79%
27%10th12 personnel*27th16%
30%16thDEF blitz rate28th24%
24%12thDEF man rate*26th15%
61.925thPlays faced per game3rd69.4
JAX away 3 ATS trends
TEN home 2 ATS trends
Over / Under
2 trends

Run your own query on this matchup

Every other game this week: Week 10 2026 trends.

Gamble Responsibly. 21+ Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at your book before betting. College Football betting trends by week and game. * Stats marked with an asterisk (pressure, run blocking, man/zone coverage, time to throw, personnel): Sharp Football Analysis.