Slim Sports
Games 🔥 Trends Picks Survivor Research

Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals

Records, streaks and rest for this week are calculated from games played so far, so they will be out of date until the weeks before it are played.
LA@ARI LA -8.5 · O/U 47.5
LA
Sunday 2026-11-15
4:05pm
CBS
Indoors
ARI
How to attack
LA offense vs ARI defense
  • Throw to the wide receiversMixedARI ranks 31st vs wide receivers in EPA per target: 60% caught, 9.4 yds per target, 152 per game. Best fits: Puka Nacua (38% of targets, 7 in the red zone).
    • Without CB Max Melton (wk 7): 8.9 yds per target on 17 targets; with him 10.9 on 54; expected back
    • Puka Nacua on these targets: 74, 76% caught, 7.6 yds each (league 62%, 8.1)
    • Two big plays make it (82 yds wk 2 vs SEA, 82 wk 3 vs SF); without them 8.3 (league 8.1)
    • ARI allowed more than league average per target in 5 of 8 games
    Angleno rec yds line posted yet for Puka Nacua (the data leans over).
  • Attack the short leftMixedARI gives up 7.9 yds per target to the short left (29th, 71 targets). Puka Nacua has 24 targets there this season.
    • Without CB Max Melton (wk 7): 10.1 yds per target on 8 targets; with him 7.5 on 40; expected back
    • Puka Nacua on these targets: 24, 88% caught, 5.6 yds each (league 70%, 5.9)
    • ARI allowed more than league average per target in 6 of 8 games
    • Last 2 games ARI allowed 9.5 per target; 7.4 before
    Angleno rec yds line posted yet for Puka Nacua (the data leans over).
ARI offense vs LA defense
  • Tough spot for Trey McBrideSolidLA ranks 1st vs tight ends (5.4 yds per target). He gets 24% of ARI's targets.
    • Without LB Nathan Landman (wk 7): 9.4 yds per target on 12 targets; with him 4.6 on 55; expected back
    • Trey McBride on these targets: 86, 77% caught, 6.3 yds each (league 72%, 7.2)
    • LA allowed less than league average per target in 6 of 8 games
    • Last 2 games LA allowed 8.8 per target; 3.9 before
    Angleno rec yds line posted yet for Trey McBride (the data leans under).
  • Red-zone stalls likelyARI scores touchdowns on 45.5% of red-zone trips (32nd); LA allows them on 42.9% (2nd).
    • Chad Ryland: 19 of 21 on field goals, 1 of 3 from 50+, long 60; missed in wk 1, 5
    • LA allowed TDs on 12 of 28 trips (2/3, 0/2, 3/3, 2/4, 4/5, 0/5, 1/5, 0/1 by game)
    • ARI scored TDs on 15 of 33 trips (2/5, 1/1, 3/5, 2/3, 3/4, 0/5, 1/5, 3/5 by game)
    Angleno FGs made line posted yet for Chad Ryland (the data leans over).
  • Tough sledding for Tyler AllgeierSolidLA ranks 2nd vs the run (3.4 per carry).
    • Without DE Aaron Donald (wk 1, 4): 4.3 per carry on 55 carries; with him 3.1 on 152; expected back
    • Tyler Allgeier: 72 carries here, 4.5 per carry, 32% successful (league 4.0, 40%)
    • LA allowed less than league average per carry in 6 of 8 games
    • Jeremiyah Love: 76 carries here, 3.5 per carry, 41% successful (league 4.0, 40%)
    Angleno rush yds line posted yet for Tyler Allgeier (the data leans under).
Motivation & storylines
  • StakesDivision game. SF leads the NFC West by 2.5; LAR 4-4, 2.5 back; ARI 3-5, 3.5 back.
  • HistoryLast met 2026 wk 6: ARI 18-16 at LA.
  • History2025 series: LAR swept ARI (45-17 at ARI, 20-37 at LA).
  • SpotARI won 33-30 at DAL as a 7-point underdog last week.
@ WASLast week@ SEA
ByeNext week@ KC
–OFF plays last game–
–DEF plays last game–
Miles flown, last 21 days
4,972 mi23rd21st3,965 mi
Stats from games played through week 8
EPA rank · adjusted
11thOffense19th
4thDefense25th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
−8.5 LA vs ARI +8.5
12-personnel OFF*12 rate 32nd3rd31stDEF vs 12 personnel*
big-play DEF6th32ndbig-play OFF
DEF vs 12 personnel*5th27th12-personnel OFF*12 rate 30th
OFF vs zone*7th27thzone coverage*zone rate 3rd
man coverage*man rate 8th11th31stOFF vs man*
pass protection*4th21stpass rush*
protection vs no blitz11th28thpass rush w/o blitz
pass rush*23rd6thpass protection*
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-32, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 5 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. * Sharp Football Analysis.
−8.5 LA vs ARI +8.5
LA OFF vs ARI DEF
pass OFF10th23rdpass DEF
run blocking*3rd15thrun DEF up front*
OFF vs the blitz20th31stblitzing DEFblitz rate 14th
third-down OFF7th16ththird-down DEF
play-action OFFPA rate 8th23rd29thplay-action DEF
run OFF9th11thrun DEF
big-play OFF17th19thbig-play DEF
early-down OFF4th7thearly-down DEF
OFF vs man*32nd27thman coverage*man rate 30th
11-personnel OFF*11 rate 20th10th9thDEF vs 11 personnel*
LA DEF vs ARI OFF
play-action DEF3rd15thplay-action OFFPA rate 30th
zone coverage*zone rate 25th4th16thOFF vs zone*
blitzing DEFblitz rate 17th14th25thOFF vs the blitz
pass DEF9th19thpass OFF
third-down DEF8th18ththird-down OFF
run DEF4th13thrun OFF
run DEF up front*20th13thrun blocking*
pass rush w/o blitz24th26thprotection vs no blitz
early-down DEF14th14thearly-down OFF
DEF vs 11 personnel*12th11th11-personnel OFF*11 rate 13th
Pace & tendencies
30.2s15thSeconds between snaps21st31.0s
68.54thPlays per game2nd72.0
+3.5%4thPass rate over expected16th-0.8%
10%5thNo-huddle rate4th11%
50%29thShotgun rate20th59%
69%4thMotion rate14th60%
26%8thPlay-action rate30th16%
2.62s29thTime to throw*30th2.61s
57%20th11 personnel*13th60%
9%32nd12 personnel*30th11%
29%17thDEF blitz rate14th32%
28%8thDEF man rate*30th12%
64.419thPlays faced per game22nd62.6
LA away 2 ATS trends
ARI home 2 ATS trends · 1 🔥
Over / Under
2 trends

Run your own query on this matchup

Every other game this week: Week 10 2026 trends.

Gamble Responsibly. 21+ Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at your book before betting. College Football betting trends by week and game. * Stats marked with an asterisk (pressure, run blocking, man/zone coverage, time to throw, personnel): Sharp Football Analysis.