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San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys

Records, streaks and rest for this week are calculated from games played so far, so they will be out of date until the weeks before it are played.
SF@DAL SF -3.5 · O/U 53.5
SF
Sunday 2026-11-15
4:25pm
FOX
Indoors
DAL
How to attack
SF offense vs DAL defense
  • Run outside, not insideSolidDAL allows 6.2 per carry outside the tackles (31st) but 3.8 between the guards (11th). Christian McCaffrey has 49% of the backs' carries lately (11 a game).
    • Without CB Reddy Steward (wk 6, 7, 8): 5.8 per carry on 40 carries; with him 8.7 on 23; expected back
    • Christian McCaffrey: 27 carries here, 5.4 per carry, 56% successful (league 4.6, 41%)
    • DAL allowed more than league average per carry in 5 of 8 games
    • Kaelon Black: 19 carries here, 4.0 per carry, 53% successful (league 4.6, 41%)
    Angleno rush yds line posted yet for Christian McCaffrey (the data leans over).
  • Attack the short middleMixedDAL gives up 8.9 yds per target to the short middle (32nd, 41 targets). George Kittle has 10 targets there this season.
    • Without S Markquese Bell (wk 4, 8): 12.8 yds per target on 12 targets; with him 6.6 on 18; expected back
    • George Kittle on these targets: 10, 100% caught, 9.5 yds each (league 68%, 7.2)
    • DAL allowed more than league average per target in 4 of 7 games
    • Last 2 games DAL allowed 10.9 per target; 8.2 before
    Angleno rec yds line posted yet for George Kittle (the data leans over).
  • Finish in the red zoneDAL allows touchdowns on 69.7% of red-zone trips (26th); SF scores them on 87.0% (1st).
    • DAL allowed TDs on 23 of 33 trips (4/4, 2/4, 4/6, 2/3, 3/4, 2/4, 3/3, 3/5 by game)
    • SF scored TDs on 20 of 23 trips (2/3, 5/5, 3/3, 2/3, 3/3, 3/4, 2/2 by game)
    AngleChristian McCaffrey anytime TD (-260).
DAL offense vs SF defense
  • Tough sledding for Javonte WilliamsSolidSF ranks 1st vs the run (3.3 per carry).
    • Javonte Williams: 134 carries here, 3.9 per carry, 45% successful (league 4.0, 40%)
    • SF allowed less than league average per carry in 6 of 7 games
    • Tyler Goodson: 28 carries here, 3.1 per carry, 39% successful (league 4.0, 40%)
    • Emari Demercado: 5 carries here, 3.0 per carry, 20% successful (league 4.0, 40%)
    Angleno rush yds line posted yet for Javonte Williams (the data leans under).
  • Attack the short leftMixedSF gives up 6.2 yds per target to the short left (32nd, 85 targets). CeeDee Lamb has 27 targets there this season.
    • CeeDee Lamb on these targets: 27, 74% caught, 6.3 yds each (league 70%, 5.9)
    • Two big plays make it (25 yds wk 4 vs DEN, 23 wk 6 vs WAS); without them 5.8 (league 5.9)
    • SF allowed more than league average per target in 5 of 7 games
    Angleno rec yds line posted yet for CeeDee Lamb (the data leans over).
Motivation & storylines
  • StakesSF 6-1, 1st in the NFC West (leads); DAL 3-5, 2nd in the NFC East (2 back).
  • HistoryLast met 2024 wk 8: SF 30-24 at SF -- first meeting since 2024.
  • RevengeSF vs a former team: Osa Odighizuwa (DL, DAL 2021-25); Brandin Cooks (WR, DAL 2023-24).
  • SpotDAL lost 33-30 vs ARI as a 7-point favorite last week.
vs LVLast week@ IND
int'l MINNext weekvs TEN
–OFF plays last game–
–DEF plays last game–
Miles flown, last 21 days
1,438 mi10th22nd4,179 mi
Stats from games played through week 8
EPA rank · adjusted
2ndOffense3rd
11thDefense32nd
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
−3.5 SF vs DAL +3.5
pass OFF1st32ndpass DEF
OFF vs zone*1st32ndzone coverage*zone rate 26th
run OFF1st29thrun DEF
big-play OFF2nd30thbig-play DEF
11-personnel OFF*11 rate 31st4th32ndDEF vs 11 personnel*
third-down OFF5th32ndthird-down DEF
early-down OFF1st26thearly-down DEF
run blocking*2nd26thrun DEF up front*
big-play DEF2nd26thbig-play OFF
protection vs no blitz2nd25thpass rush w/o blitz
OFF vs the blitz4th25thblitzing DEFblitz rate 27th
third-down DEF17th2ndthird-down OFF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-32, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 5 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. * Sharp Football Analysis.
−3.5 SF vs DAL +3.5
SF OFF vs DAL DEF
OFF vs man*3rd16thman coverage*man rate 7th
12-personnel OFF*12 rate 24th7th18thDEF vs 12 personnel*
pass protection*2nd10thpass rush*
play-action OFFPA rate 20th19th27thplay-action DEF
SF DEF vs DAL OFF
DEF vs 12 personnel*12th24th12-personnel OFF*12 rate 26th
DEF vs 11 personnel*17th3rd11-personnel OFF*11 rate 4th
pass rush*19th7thpass protection*
play-action DEF23rd12thplay-action OFFPA rate 17th
pass rush w/o blitz16th6thprotection vs no blitz
run DEF up front*21st12thrun blocking*
pass DEF15th7thpass OFF
run DEF13th12thrun OFF
early-down DEF13th8thearly-down OFF
blitzing DEFblitz rate 15th11th13thOFF vs the blitz
man coverage*man rate 22nd18th20thOFF vs man*
zone coverage*zone rate 11th8th3rdOFF vs zone*
Pace & tendencies
31.4s25thSeconds between snaps2nd28.5s
59.431stPlays per game8th68.0
+0.5%9thPass rate over expected6th+1.3%
2%30thNo-huddle rate7th8%
49%30thShotgun rate13th64%
76%1stMotion rate32nd47%
22%20thPlay-action rate17th22%
3.03s8thTime to throw*19th2.78s
32%31st11 personnel*4th70%
19%24th12 personnel*26th18%
32%15thDEF blitz rate27th25%
17%22ndDEF man rate*7th30%
66.011thPlays faced per game9th67.6
DAL home 2 ATS trends
Over / Under
4 trends

Run your own query on this matchup

Every other game this week: Week 10 2026 trends.

Gamble Responsibly. 21+ Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at your book before betting. College Football betting trends by week and game. * Stats marked with an asterisk (pressure, run blocking, man/zone coverage, time to throw, personnel): Sharp Football Analysis.