Seattle Seahawks at Las Vegas Raiders
Records, streaks and rest for this week are calculated from games played so far, so they will be out of date until the weeks before it are played.
SEA@
LV
SEA -6 · O/U 44.5
SEASunday 2026-11-15
4:05pm
CBS
Indoors
LVHow to attack
SEA offense vs LV defense- Run outside, not insideSolidLV allows 6.2 per carry outside the tackles (32nd) but 4.8 between the guards (5th).
- Without S Treydan Stukes (wk 3): 5.8 per carry on 8 carries; with him 6.7 on 50; expected back
- LV allowed more than league average per carry in 5 of 8 games
- Emanuel Wilson: 40 carries here, 4.2 per carry, 40% successful (league 4.6, 41%)
- Jadarian Price: 28 carries here, 4.5 per carry, 39% successful (league 4.6, 41%)
- Throw to the wide receiversSolidLV ranks 27th vs wide receivers in EPA per target: 58% caught, 9.3 yds per target, 163 per game. Best fits: Jaxon Smith-Njigba (36% of targets).
- Without S Treydan Stukes (wk 3): 6.6 yds per target on 22 targets; with him 10.2 on 103; expected back
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba on these targets: 89, 72% caught, 11.1 yds each (league 62%, 8.1)
- LV allowed more than league average per target in 5 of 8 games
Angleno rec yds line posted yet for Jaxon Smith-Njigba (the data leans over). - Protect Sam DarnoldMixedSEA lets its QB get hit or sacked on 17.9% of dropbacks (4th-most); LV gets there on 16.1% (6th-most). His EPA per dropback falls from +0.15 clean to -1.00 when hit.
- Without DT Tonka Hemingway (wk 5, 6): 13% of dropbacks on 84 dropbacks; with him 21% on 156; expected back
- SEA's QB hit or sacked on 11% of dropbacks the last 2 games, 20% before
- LV above the league hit-and-sack rate in 5 of 8 games
- Last 2 games LV hit or sacked the QB on 9% of dropbacks; 18% before
Angleno pass yds line posted yet for Sam Darnold (the data leans under).
LV offense vs SEA defense- Throw to the backsShakySEA ranks 27th vs backs in EPA per target: 85% caught, 5.1 yds per target, 30 per game. Best fits: Ashton Jeanty (17% of targets, 4 in the red zone).
- Without S Nick Emmanwori (wk 1, 2): 6.0 yds per target on 13 targets; with him 4.7 on 35; expected back
- Ashton Jeanty on these targets: 48, 77% caught, 7.8 yds each (league 78%, 5.6)
- Mostly one game: wk 1 vs NE, 6.6 yds per target on 8
- SEA allowed more than league average per target in 1 of 7 games
Angleno rec yds line posted yet for Ashton Jeanty (the data leans over). Weak case: the read is Shaky.
Motivation & storylines
- StakesSEA 4-4, 2nd in the NFC West (2.5 back); LV 4-4, 3rd in the AFC West (2 back).
- HistoryLast met 2022 wk 12: LV 40-34 at SEA -- first meeting since 2022.
- SpotSEA lost 34-17 vs CHI as a 3-point favorite last week.
vs ARILast week@ SF
ByeNext week@ DEN
–OFF plays last game–
–DEF plays last game–
Miles flown, last 21 days
875 mi6th24th5,228 mi
Exclude SEA weeks
Exclude LV weeks
Stats from games played through week 8
EPA rank · adjusted
24thOffense10th
3rdDefense24th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
−6 SEA vs LV +6
vs LV +6run DEF up front*2nd32ndrun blocking*
run DEF5th32ndrun OFF
pass rush w/o blitz2nd29thprotection vs no blitz
big-play OFF10th31stbig-play DEF
DEF vs 11 personnel*3rd23rd11-personnel OFF*11 rate 32nd
play-action OFFPA rate 7th11th30thplay-action DEF
early-down DEF2nd20thearly-down OFF
travel875 mi, 21 days6th24thtravel5,228 mi, 21 days
OFF vs man*15th30thman coverage*man rate 18th
protection vs no blitz22nd7thpass rush w/o blitz
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-32, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 5 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. * Sharp Football Analysis.
−6 SEA vs LV +6
vs LV +6SEA OFF vs LV DEF
pass OFF15th28thpass DEF
early-down OFF19th31stearly-down DEF
OFF vs the blitz7th16thblitzing DEFblitz rate 19th
run OFF28th25thrun DEF
pass protection*27th22ndpass rush*
third-down OFF22nd21stthird-down DEF
run blocking*27th32ndrun DEF up front*
OFF vs zone*19th24thzone coverage*zone rate 15th
11-personnel OFF*11 rate 28th28th31stDEF vs 11 personnel*
12-personnel OFF*12 rate 11th17th17thDEF vs 12 personnel*
SEA DEF vs LV OFF
blitzing DEFblitz rate 30th3rd17thOFF vs the blitz
big-play DEF1st14thbig-play OFF
pass DEF2nd11thpass OFF
zone coverage*zone rate 2nd3rd12thOFF vs zone*
pass rush*3rd8thpass protection*
third-down DEF7th8ththird-down OFF
play-action DEF6th5thplay-action OFFPA rate 12th
man coverage*man rate 31st6th7thOFF vs man*
DEF vs 12 personnel*8th8th12-personnel OFF*12 rate 1st
Pace & tendencies
31.0s22ndSeconds between snaps7th29.2s
65.313thPlays per game9th66.3
-7.8%27thPass rate over expected18th-1.3%
3%26thNo-huddle rate8th8%
52%28thShotgun rate24th55%
53%23rdMotion rate11th62%
26%7thPlay-action rate12th25%
2.95s14thTime to throw*23rd2.74s
46%28th11 personnel*32nd15%
27%11th12 personnel*1st47%
22%30thDEF blitz rate19th27%
7%31stDEF man rate*18th20%
62.323rdPlays faced per game14th65.8
SEA
away
3 ATS trends
SEA-6
ATSfadeFading home dogs, on 4,500+ miles of travel in three weeks
55.8%
win rate
169-134-8
record
+6.5%
roi
+0.8ppg
avg cover
📈
LLWWWLLLLLWWWLWWLWWW
last 20: 11-9 (55.0%) · avg cover +0.3 ppg
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +7.7 ppg
since 2003: 169-134-8 (55.8%) · avg cover +0.8 ppg
SEA-6
ATSMacdonald on the road
65.0%
win rate
13-7
record
+24.1%
roi
+6.3ppg
avg cover
📈
LLWWWWLLWWWWWLWWWWLL
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +6.6 ppg
since 2003: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +6.3 ppg
SEA-6
ATSDarnold indoors
63.6%
win rate
14-8
record
+21.5%
roi
+4.3ppg
avg cover
📈
WWLWLWWWLLWLWWWLLWWW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +3.7 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +1.2 ppg
since 2003: 14-8 (63.6%) · avg cover +4.3 ppg
LV
home
1 ATS trend
LV+6
ATSCousins as a dog of more than 3 points, indoors
63.6%
win rate
14-8
record
+21.5%
roi
+0.9ppg
avg cover
📈
WWWWWLWLWLLWLLWWWWWL
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +1.1 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover +0.7 ppg
since 2003: 14-8 (63.6%) · avg cover +0.9 ppg
Over / Under
2 trends
Over 44.5
Over
Kirk Cousins as a dog of more than 3 points, indoors
72.7%
win rate
16-6
record
+38.8%
roi
+5.3ppg
avg over
📈
LWWWLLWWWWLLWWWLWWWW
last 20: 14-6 (70.0%) · avg over +5.5 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg over +5.0 ppg
since 2003: 16-6 (72.7%) · avg over +5.3 ppg
Under 44.5
Under
Sam Darnold indoors
68.2%
win rate
15-7
record
+30.2%
roi
+2.7ppg
avg under
📈
WWLWWWWWLLWWLWLWWWWL
last 20: 14-6 (70.0%) · avg under +4.0 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg under +3.2 ppg
since 2003: 15-7 (68.2%) · avg under +2.7 ppg
- Allegiant Stadium
- Roof · dome
- Surface · grass
Run your own query on this matchup
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