Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos

Final — JAX 13, DEN 20This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.

JAX@DEN DEN -2.5 · O/U 45.5

JAX

Sunday 2026-09-20

4:05pm

73°F · wind 12 mph

DEN

JAX away 2 ATS trends

JAX+2.5 ATS

Lawrence on the road, off a win

68.4%

win rate

13-6-1

record

+30.6%

roi

+4.5ppg

avg cover

📈

LWWLPLWWWWWWLWLWWWWL

last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +4.1 ppg since 2003: 13-6-1 (68.4%) · avg cover +4.5 ppg

JAX+2.5 ATSfadecooling

Fading favs of 3 points or fewer, off a loss, in wind of 11+ mph

59.5%

win rate

116-79-5

record

+13.6%

roi

+2.5ppg

avg cover

📈

WWWWLLLWWWLLLWLWLWWL

last 20: 11-9 (55.0%) · avg cover +1.9 ppg last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg cover -3.4 ppg since 2003: 116-79-5 (59.5%) · avg cover +2.5 ppg

DEN home 2 ATS trends · 1 🔥

DEN-2.5 ATS

Payton as a fav of 3 points or fewer, off a loss

82.4%

win rate

14-3-1

record

+57.2%

roi

+5.5ppg

avg cover

🔥

WWWWWLWWLWLWWPWWWW

last 10: 7-2-1 (77.8%) · avg cover +2.6 ppg since 2003: 14-3-1 (82.4%) · avg cover +5.5 ppg

DEN-2.5 ATS

Nix as a home fav

75.0%

win rate

12-4

record

+43.2%

roi

+6.3ppg

avg cover

📈

WWWWWWLWLWLLWWWW

last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover +1.3 ppg since 2003: 12-4 (75.0%) · avg cover +6.3 ppg

Over / Under

3 trends

Under 45.5 Under

Bo Nix off a loss

81.8%

win rate

9-2

record

+56.2%

roi

+5.8ppg

avg under

📈

WWLWWLWWWWW

last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg under +4.7 ppg since 2003: 9-2 (81.8%) · avg under +5.8 ppg

Over 45.5 Over

Sean Payton as a fav of 3 points or fewer

64.2%

win rate

34-19

record

+22.5%

roi

+6.4ppg

avg over

📈

WWWLLLWLWWLLWWWLWWLW

last 20: 12-8 (60.0%) · avg over +5.8 ppg last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg over +4.5 ppg since 2003: 34-19 (64.2%) · avg over +6.4 ppg

Under 45.5 Undercooling

In wind of 11+ mph

55.4%

win rate

668-538-17

record

+5.7%

roi

+0.8ppg

avg under

📈

WLWLLLLWLWWLLWWWWLWL

last 20: 10-10 (50.0%) · avg under -4.3 ppg last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg under -1.9 ppg since 2003: 668-538-17 (55.4%) · avg under +0.8 ppg

Empower Field at Mile High
Roof · outdoors
Surface · grass

Run your own query on this matchup

Every other game this week: Week 2 2026 trends.

Gamble Responsibly. 21+ Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at your book before betting. College Football betting trends by week and game.