Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots

Final — PIT 3, NE 20This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.

PIT@NE NE -4.5 · O/U 41.5 Share

PIT

Sunday 2026-09-20

1:00pm

63°F · wind 7 mph

NE

PIT away 2 ATS trends

PIT+4.5 ATS

Early in the season, as a dog, with a total under 42

55.8%

win rate

279-221-14

record

+6.5%

roi

+0.7ppg

avg cover

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LWLLWLWLLLLWWWLLWWWL

last 20: 9-11 (45.0%) · avg cover -3.3 ppg last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover +0.3 ppg since 2003: 279-221-14 (55.8%) · avg cover +0.7 ppg

PIT+4.5 ATS

Rodgers as a dog of more than 3 points

63.2%

win rate

24-14

record

+20.6%

roi

+2.0ppg

avg cover

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WWWLWWWWWLWLWLWWWWLW

last 20: 15-5 (75.0%) · avg cover +4.1 ppg last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +1.9 ppg since 2003: 24-14 (63.2%) · avg cover +2.0 ppg

NE home 2 ATS trends

NE-4.5 ATS

Vrabel at home, off a loss

73.7%

win rate

14-5-3

record

+40.7%

roi

+3.4ppg

avg cover

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LPWLWWWWWLLPWWWWPWWW

last 20: 13-4-3 (76.5%) · avg cover +4.3 ppg last 10: 7-1-2 (87.5%) · avg cover +8.3 ppg since 2003: 14-5-3 (73.7%) · avg cover +3.4 ppg

NE-4.5 ATS

Maye as a fav of more than 3 points

76.9%

win rate

10-3

record

+46.9%

roi

+8.5ppg

avg cover

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WWWWLWLWWWWLW

last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +7.3 ppg since 2003: 10-3 (76.9%) · avg cover +8.5 ppg

Over / Under

4 trends

Over 41.5 Over

Drake Maye off a loss

75.0%

win rate

9-3

record

+43.2%

roi

+2.0ppg

avg over

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WWLWWWLWWWWL

last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg over +1.1 ppg since 2003: 9-3 (75.0%) · avg over +2.0 ppg

Over 41.5 Over

Mike McCarthy as a road dog

60.8%

win rate

48-31-2

record

+16.0%

roi

+2.6ppg

avg over

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WLLLWLWLWWLLWLWLWWWL

last 20: 10-10 (50.0%) · avg over -3.4 ppg last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg over -0.3 ppg since 2003: 48-31-2 (60.8%) · avg over +2.6 ppg

Under 41.5 Under

Aaron Rodgers on the road, off a win, outdoors

63.0%

win rate

29-17

record

+20.4%

roi

+1.5ppg

avg under

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LLWLWLWWLWLLWWLWWLWW

last 20: 11-9 (55.0%) · avg under +0.4 ppg last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg under +1.9 ppg since 2003: 29-17 (63.0%) · avg under +1.5 ppg

Over 41.5 Overcooling

Early in the season, with a total under 42, with a spread of more than 3 points

55.8%

win rate

153-121-5

record

+6.6%

roi

+2.0ppg

avg over

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LWLLLLLWWWLWLLWWWLLW

last 20: 9-11 (45.0%) · avg over -2.3 ppg last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg over -1.3 ppg since 2003: 153-121-5 (55.8%) · avg over +2.0 ppg

• Gillette Stadium
• Roof · outdoors
• Surface · turf

Run your own query on this matchup

Every other game this week: Week 2 2026 trends.