Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins
Final — KC 24, MIA 10This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.
KC@
MIA
KC -10 · O/U 45.5
KCSunday 2026-09-27
1:00pm
86°F · wind 5 mph
MIA
KC
away
1 ATS trend · 1 🔥
KC-10
ATSEarly in the season, playing 15°+ warmer than at home
63.9%
win rate
53-30-2
record
+21.9%
roi
+4.3ppg
avg cover
🔥
LLWWLWLWLWWWWLWWWWLW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +2.0 ppg
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +7.0 ppg
since 2003: 53-30-2 (63.9%) · avg cover +4.3 ppg
MIA
home
2 ATS trends
MIA+10
ATSAs a home dog of more than 7 points
57.4%
win rate
178-132-2
record
+9.6%
roi
+0.8ppg
avg cover
📈
LLWWLWWWWWWLWWWLWWLW
last 20: 14-6 (70.0%) · avg cover +1.1 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +0.3 ppg
since 2003: 178-132-2 (57.4%) · avg cover +0.8 ppg
MIA+10
ATSfadeFading Mahomes as a road fav of more than 7 points
70.6%
win rate
12-5-1
record
+34.8%
roi
+1.4ppg
avg cover
📈
LWWWWWLWWWLWLPWWWL
last 10: 6-3-1 (66.7%) · avg cover +1.0 ppg
since 2003: 12-5-1 (70.6%) · avg cover +1.4 ppg
Over / Under
2 trends
Over 45.5
Over
Patrick Mahomes as a road fav of more than 7 points, outdoors
90.0%
win rate
9-1
record
+71.8%
roi
+8.7ppg
avg over
🔥
WWWWWWWWWL
last 10: 9-1 (90.0%) · avg over +8.7 ppg
since 2003: 9-1 (90.0%) · avg over +8.7 ppg
Under 45.5
Under
Andy Reid as a fav of more than 7 points, off a win
65.7%
win rate
44-23-3
record
+25.4%
roi
+4.0ppg
avg under
🔥
WWWLWLWWLLWWWLLWWWWW
last 20: 14-6 (70.0%) · avg under +6.0 ppg
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg under +8.5 ppg
since 2003: 44-23-3 (65.7%) · avg under +4.0 ppg
- Hard Rock Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
- Surface · grass
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 3 2026 trends.
Gamble Responsibly. 21+
Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
your book before betting.
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