Los Angeles Rams at Denver Broncos
Final — LA 26, DEN 30This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.
LA@
DEN
DEN -1.5 · O/U 43.5
LASunday 2026-09-27
8:20pm
83°F · wind 10 mph
DENDEN
home
3 ATS trends
DEN-1.5
ATSNix as a home fav
75.0%
win rate
12-4
record
+43.2%
roi
+6.3ppg
avg cover
📈
WWWWWWLWLWLLWWWW
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover +1.3 ppg
since 2003: 12-4 (75.0%) · avg cover +6.3 ppg
DEN-1.5
ATSfadeFading early-season teams, on 4,500+ miles of travel in three weeks, in primetime
62.2%
win rate
23-14-2
record
+18.7%
roi
+0.6ppg
avg cover
📈
WLLWWLWWWWLWLWLWWLLW
last 20: 12-8 (60.0%) · avg cover +1.9 ppg
last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg cover +1.1 ppg
since 2003: 23-14-2 (62.2%) · avg cover +0.6 ppg
DEN-1.5
ATSPayton as a fav of 3 points or fewer, in primetime
64.7%
win rate
11-6
record
+23.5%
roi
+4.6ppg
avg cover
📈
LWWWWLWWLWWLLWLWW
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover +2.5 ppg
since 2003: 11-6 (64.7%) · avg cover +4.6 ppg
Over / Under
6 trends
Over 43.5
Over
Bo Nix as a fav, off a win
81.3%
win rate
13-3
record
+55.1%
roi
+6.2ppg
avg over
🔥
WWWWWWLWWLWWWLWW
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg over +2.9 ppg
since 2003: 13-3 (81.3%) · avg over +6.2 ppg
Over 43.5
Over
Sean Payton as a home fav of 3 points or fewer, off a win
75.0%
win rate
15-5
record
+43.2%
roi
+11.8ppg
avg over
🔥
WWWWLWWWLWLWWLWLWWWW
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg over +10.6 ppg
since 2003: 15-5 (75.0%) · avg over +11.8 ppg
Under 43.5
Under
Matthew Stafford in primetime, outdoors
78.6%
win rate
11-3-1
record
+50.0%
roi
+6.1ppg
avg under
📈
PWWWWWLWWWWWWLL
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg under +3.0 ppg
since 2003: 11-3-1 (78.6%) · avg under +6.1 ppg
Under 43.5
Under
Teams as a fav of 3 points or fewer, off a win, in primetime
56.6%
win rate
125-96-3
record
+8.0%
roi
+1.0ppg
avg under
📈
LLLWWWWWLLLWWLLWWWLL
last 20: 10-10 (50.0%) · avg under +1.4 ppg
last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg under +1.1 ppg
since 2003: 125-96-3 (56.6%) · avg under +1.0 ppg
Under 43.5
Under
Teams as a dog of 3 points or fewer, off a win, in primetime
55.9%
win rate
123-97-1
record
+6.7%
roi
+0.9ppg
avg under
📈
LWWLWWWWWLWWWWLLWWLL
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg under +4.3 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg under +3.7 ppg
since 2003: 123-97-1 (55.9%) · avg under +0.9 ppg
Under 43.5
Undercooling
With a team on 4,500+ miles of travel, in primetime
57.3%
win rate
165-123-6
record
+9.4%
roi
+1.0ppg
avg under
📈
WLWWWLLWLWLWLLWLLWLL
last 20: 9-11 (45.0%) · avg under -1.3 ppg
last 10: 3-7 (30.0%) · avg under -3.8 ppg
since 2003: 165-123-6 (57.3%) · avg under +1.0 ppg
- Empower Field at Mile High
- Roof · outdoors
- Surface · grass
Run your own query on this matchup
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
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