New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars
Final — NE 6, JAX 35This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.
NE@
JAX
JAX -3 · O/U 46.5
NESunday 2026-09-27
1:00pm
80°F · wind 7 mph
JAX
NE
away
1 ATS trend
NE+3
ATSfadecoolingFading early-season favs of 3 points or fewer, off a loss
57.6%
win rate
106-78-14
record
+10.0%
roi
+2.2ppg
avg cover
📈
LWWWWLLLLWWLLLWLPWLL
last 20: 8-11-1 (42.1%) · avg cover -2.9 ppg
last 10: 3-6-1 (33.3%) · avg cover -4.7 ppg
since 2003: 106-78-14 (57.6%) · avg cover +2.2 ppg
JAX
home
2 ATS trends
JAX-3
ATSCoen at home
81.8%
win rate
9-2
record
+56.2%
roi
+12.9ppg
avg cover
📈
WWWLWWWWLWW
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +13.0 ppg
since 2003: 9-2 (81.8%) · avg cover +12.9 ppg
JAX-3
ATSfadeFading early-season dogs, on 4,500+ miles of travel in three weeks
57.1%
win rate
64-48-4
record
+9.1%
roi
+1.4ppg
avg cover
📈
LWLWWWLWLLLLWWWLPWWW
last 20: 11-8-1 (57.9%) · avg cover +2.9 ppg
last 10: 6-3-1 (66.7%) · avg cover +4.8 ppg
since 2003: 64-48-4 (57.1%) · avg cover +1.4 ppg
Over / Under
2 trends
Under 46.5
Under
Trevor Lawrence at home, off a loss
71.4%
win rate
15-6
record
+36.4%
roi
+4.4ppg
avg under
📈
WLWWWLWWWWWLLLWWLWWW
last 20: 14-6 (70.0%) · avg under +4.2 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg under -0.8 ppg
since 2003: 15-6 (71.4%) · avg under +4.4 ppg
Over 46.5
Over
Mike Vrabel as a dog of 3 points or fewer, off a win
66.7%
win rate
10-5
record
+27.3%
roi
+3.6ppg
avg over
📈
WLWWWWWLWLWLWWL
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg over +2.1 ppg
since 2003: 10-5 (66.7%) · avg over +3.6 ppg
- EverBank Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
- Surface · grass
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 3 2026 trends.
Gamble Responsibly. 21+
Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
your book before betting.
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