Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings
MIA@
MIN
MIN -10 · O/U 38.5
MIASunday 2026-10-04
4:05pm
FOX
Indoors
MIN
MIA
away
1 ATS trend · 1 🔥
MIA+10
ATSOn the road, in a non-conference game, without a win or a cover yet
74.2%
win rate
23-8-1
record
+41.6%
roi
+4.8ppg
avg cover
🔥
LLWLWWWWWLWWLWPWWWWW
last 20: 14-5-1 (73.7%) · avg cover +4.5 ppg
last 10: 8-1-1 (88.9%) · avg cover +4.4 ppg
since 2003: 23-8-1 (74.2%) · avg cover +4.8 ppg
MIN
home
1 ATS trend
MIN-10
ATSfadeFading early-season dogs, on 4,500+ miles of travel in three weeks
57.1%
win rate
64-48-4
record
+9.1%
roi
+1.4ppg
avg cover
📈
LWLWWWLWLLLLWWWLPWWW
last 20: 11-8-1 (57.9%) · avg cover +2.9 ppg
last 10: 6-3-1 (66.7%) · avg cover +4.8 ppg
since 2003: 64-48-4 (57.1%) · avg cover +1.4 ppg
Over / Under
3 trends
Over 38.5
Over
Indoors, with a total under 42, with a spread of more than 3 points
59.2%
win rate
125-86-6
record
+13.1%
roi
+3.4ppg
avg over
📈
WWLWWWWWWLWLWWWLLWLL
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg over +2.1 ppg
last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg over -0.6 ppg
since 2003: 125-86-6 (59.2%) · avg over +3.4 ppg
Over 38.5
Over
Kyler Murray as a home fav
66.7%
win rate
16-8
record
+27.3%
roi
+3.9ppg
avg over
📈
WWLWLLLWLWWWWLWWWWWW
last 20: 14-6 (70.0%) · avg over +3.7 ppg
last 10: 9-1 (90.0%) · avg over +8.6 ppg
since 2003: 16-8 (66.7%) · avg over +3.9 ppg
Under 38.5
Under
Early in the season, with a team on 4,500+ miles of travel, indoors
60.7%
win rate
34-22-1
record
+15.9%
roi
+0.6ppg
avg under
📈
PWWLWWWWLWWLWLWLWWWL
last 20: 13-6-1 (68.4%) · avg under +1.4 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg under -1.3 ppg
since 2003: 34-22-1 (60.7%) · avg under +0.6 ppg
- U.S. Bank Stadium
- Roof · dome
- Surface · turf
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 4 2026 trends.
Gamble Responsibly. 21+
Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
your book before betting.
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