Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans Betting Trends

How to attack

CLE offense vs TEN defense

Throw to the wide receiversSolidTEN ranks 30th vs wide receivers in EPA per target: 74% caught, 9.4 yds per target, 175 per game. Best fits: Denzel Boston (21% of targets) and Jerry Jeudy (17% of targets).
- Without CB Alontae Taylor (wk 6): 7.1 yds per target on 26 targets; with him 10.1 on 86; expected back
- Denzel Boston on these targets: 34, 50% caught, 10.1 yds each (league 62%, 8.1)
- S Tony Adams (2 starts) is Questionable this week (ankle)
- TEN allowed more than league average per target in 4 of 6 games
AngleDenzel Boston over 50.5 rec yds (-112 DK); Denzel Boston over 3.5 catches (+110 FD).
Attack the short leftSolidTEN gives up 7.1 yds per target to the short left (31st, 52 targets). KC Concepcion has 15 targets there this season.
- Without CB Cordale Flott (wk 2): 5.1 yds per target on 8 targets; with him 7.2 on 36; expected back
- KC Concepcion on these targets: 15, 67% caught, 4.1 yds each (league 70%, 5.8)
- S Tony Adams (2 starts) is Questionable this week (ankle)
- TEN allowed more than league average per target in 4 of 6 games
AngleKC Concepcion over 38.5 rec yds (-114 FD); KC Concepcion over 16.5 longest catch (-117 DK).

TEN offense vs CLE defense

Quick game blunts the rushSolidCam Ward is hit or sacked on only 11.7% of dropbacks (5th-fewest), which takes the edge off CLE's rush (17.6%, 7th-most).
- Without DT Mason Graham (wk 4, 5, 6): 22% of dropbacks on 124 dropbacks; with him 13% on 120; full practice this week (knee)
- LB Carson Schwesinger (6 starts) is limited this week (ankle)
- LB Quincy Williams (6 starts) is Questionable this week (neck)
- G Fernando Carmona (2 starts) is IR
AngleCam Ward over 182.5 pass yds (-114 FD).
Red-zone stalls likelyTEN scores touchdowns on 46.7% of red-zone trips (30th); CLE allows them on 50.0% (9th).
- Joey Slye: 9 of 10 on field goals, 1 of 2 from 50+, long 56; missed in wk 3
- CLE allowed TDs on 7 of 14 trips (2/2, 1/4, 1/2, 2/3, 0/1, 1/2 by game)
- TEN scored TDs on 7 of 15 trips (1/1, 2/4, 1/3, 2/4, 0/1, 1/2 by game)
AngleJoey Slye over 1.5 FGs made (-121 DK); Joey Slye over 6.5 kicking points (-108 DK).

Key injuriesTEN Calvin Ridley WR (hip) Questionable, Tyjae Spears RB (not injury related - resting player) Questionable

Motivation & storylines

StakesCLE 4-2, 3rd in the AFC North; TEN 1-5, 4th in the AFC South (3 back).
HistoryLast met 2025 wk 14: TEN 31-29 at CLE.
StreakTEN is off its first win of the season.
SpotCLE won 13-10 vs BAL as a 3-point underdog last week; TEN won 26-20 at IND as a 6.5-point underdog last week.