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Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles

DAL@PHI DAL -4.5 · O/U 44.5
DAL
Monday 2026-10-26
8:15pm
ESPN/ABC
62°F · wind 5 mph · 💧 0%
PHI
How to attack
DAL offense vs PHI defense
  • Run the ballShakyPHI ranks 30th vs the run (3.7 per carry). Javonte Williams has 86% of the backs' carries lately (14 a game).
    • Javonte Williams: 85 carries here, 3.7 per carry, 46% successful (league 3.9, 39%)
    • Two big plays make it (27 yds wk 2 vs TEN, 23 wk 4 vs LA); without them 3.5 (league 3.9)
    • DT Moro Ojomo (5 starts) is limited this week (abdomen)
    • Mostly one game: wk 2 vs TEN, 4.2 per carry on 28
    Angleno rush yds line posted yet for Javonte Williams (the data leans over). Weak case: the read is Shaky.
  • Time to throw for Dak PrescottMixedPHI hits or sacks the QB on only 9.5% of dropbacks (32nd-most).
    • DT Moro Ojomo (5 starts) is limited this week (abdomen)
    • DAL's QB hit or sacked on 10% of dropbacks the last 2 games, 15% before
    • PHI below the league hit-and-sack rate in 5 of 6 games
    • Last 2 games PHI hit or sacked the QB on 12% of dropbacks; 8% before
    Angleno pass yds line posted yet for Dak Prescott (the data leans over).
PHI offense vs DAL defense
  • Get the tight end involvedMixedDAL ranks 31st vs tight ends in EPA per target: 84% caught, 8.0 yds per target, 50 per game. Best fits: Dallas Goedert (18% of targets).
    • Without S Markquese Bell (wk 4): 12.4 yds per target on 5 targets; with him 6.6 on 18; expected back
    • Dallas Goedert on these targets: 24, 71% caught, 7.5 yds each (league 72%, 7.0)
    • LB Dee Winters (5 starts) is DNP this week (calf)
    • DAL allowed more than league average per target in 3 of 5 games
    Angleno rec yds line posted yet for Dallas Goedert (the data leans over).
  • Run outside, not insideMixedDAL allows 5.8 per carry outside the tackles (29th) but 3.2 between the guards (7th). Dameon Pierce has 64% of the backs' carries lately (8 a game).
    • Without CB Reddy Steward (wk 6): 3.2 per carry on 15 carries; with him 8.7 on 23; expected back
    • Dameon Pierce: 11 carries here, 3.4 per carry, 45% successful (league 4.5, 41%)
    • LB Dee Winters (5 starts) is DNP this week (calf)
    • Tank Bigsby (IR): 15 carries here, 2.3 per carry, 27% successful (league 4.5, 41%)
    Angleno rush yds line posted yet for Dameon Pierce (the data leans over).
  • Throw to the wide receiversShakyDAL ranks 29th vs wide receivers in EPA per target: 65% caught, 9.3 yds per target, 169 per game. Best fits: DeVonta Smith (18% of targets) and Makai Lemon (16% of targets).
    • Without S Markquese Bell (wk 4): 14.2 yds per target on 20 targets; with him 7.7 on 61; expected back
    • DeVonta Smith on these targets: 41, 63% caught, 7.6 yds each (league 62%, 8.1)
    • Mostly one game: wk 4 vs HOU, 14.2 yds per target on 20
    • DAL allowed more than league average per target in 3 of 6 games
    Angleno rec yds line posted yet for DeVonta Smith (the data leans over). Weak case: the read is Shaky.
Motivation & storylines
  • StakesDivision game. NYG leads the NFC East by 1.5; DAL 2-4, 1.5 back; PHI 2-4, 1.5 back.
  • HistoryLast met 2025 wk 12: DAL 24-21 at DAL.
  • History2025 series: Split (20-24 at PHI, 21-24 at DAL).
  • RevengePHI vs a former team: Andy Dalton (QB, DAL 2020).
  • StreakPHI has lost 4 straight.
L 13-23 @ GBLast weekL 14-25 vs CAR
vs ARINext week@ WAS
78OFF plays last game64
73DEF plays last game77
Miles flown, last 21 days
3,204 mi21st26th7,089 mi
EPA rank · adjusted
6thOffense29th
32ndDefense24th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
−4.5 DAL vs PHI +4.5
run OFF8th30thrun DEF
protection vs no blitz12th29thpass rush w/o blitz
OFF vs the blitz12th28thblitzing DEFblitz rate 26th
pass rush w/o blitz31st16thprotection vs no blitz
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-32, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 5 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. * Sharp Football Analysis.
−4.5 DAL vs PHI +4.5
DAL OFF vs PHI DEF
pass protection*12th24thpass rush*
third-down OFF5th17ththird-down DEF
OFF vs zone*5th17thzone coverage*zone rate 15th
pass OFF10th19thpass DEF
11-personnel OFF*11 rate 3rd1st9thDEF vs 11 personnel*
early-down OFF4th10thearly-down DEF
run blocking*16th4thrun DEF up front*
big-play OFF26th19thbig-play DEF
play-action OFFPA rate 23rd13th13thplay-action DEF
OFF vs man*17th20thman coverage*man rate 18th
12-personnel OFF*12 rate 27th19th15thDEF vs 12 personnel*
DAL DEF vs PHI OFF
run DEF up front*20th30thrun blocking*
DEF vs 12 personnel*23rd32nd12-personnel OFF*12 rate 22nd
play-action DEF22nd30thplay-action OFFPA rate 28th
blitzing DEFblitz rate 19th23rd30thOFF vs the blitz
third-down DEF32nd22ndthird-down OFF
man coverage*man rate 9th18th11thOFF vs man*
zone coverage*zone rate 24th32nd25thOFF vs zone*
pass DEF32nd31stpass OFF
run DEF25th27thrun OFF
big-play DEF26th27thbig-play OFF
pass rush*21st26thpass protection*
early-down DEF30th31stearly-down OFF
DEF vs 11 personnel*32nd28th11-personnel OFF*11 rate 1st
Pace & tendencies
28.4s2ndSeconds between snaps9th29.5s
67.29thPlays per game27th61.0
+2.9%5thPass rate over expected15th-0.5%
10%6thNo-huddle rate1st14%
69%6thShotgun rate4th71%
47%29thMotion rate17th58%
21%23rdPlay-action rate28th18%
2.75s22ndTime to throw*16th2.95s
75%3rd11 personnel*1st78%
16%27th12 personnel*22nd20%
28%19thDEF blitz rate26th25%
27%9thDEF man rate*18th19%
66.212thPlays faced per game3rd70.8
DAL away 3 ATS trends · 1 🔥
PHI home 1 ATS trend
Over / Under
4 trends

Run your own query on this matchup

Every other game this week: Week 7 2026 trends.

Gamble Responsibly. 21+ Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at your book before betting. College Football betting trends by week and game. * Stats marked with an asterisk (pressure, run blocking, man/zone coverage, time to throw, personnel): Sharp Football Analysis.