New York Giants at Houston Texans
NYG@
HOU
HOU -10.5 · O/U 42.5
NYGSunday 2026-10-25
1:00pm
FOX
Indoors
HOUHow to attack
NYG offense vs HOU defense- Run inside, not outsideSolidHOU allows 4.0 per carry between the guards (32nd) but 2.1 outside the tackles (1st).
- DE Will Anderson (6 starts) is limited this week (not injury related - resting player)
- HOU allowed more than league average per carry in 5 of 6 games
- Cam Skattebo: 50 carries here, 3.9 per carry, 40% successful (league 3.7, 40%)
- Najee Harris: 17 carries here, 2.7 per carry, 12% successful (league 3.7, 40%)
- Attack the deep middleSolidHOU gives up 17.7 yds per target to the deep middle (31st, 10 targets). Malik Nabers has 6 targets there this season.
- Malik Nabers on these targets: 6, 83% caught, 23.8 yds each (league 51%, 14.6)
- S Reed Blankenship (5 starts) is Out this week (concussion)
AngleMalik Nabers over 68.5 rec yds (-114 FD); Malik Nabers over 24.5 longest catch (-112 DK).
HOU offense vs NYG defense- Time to throw for C.J. StroudSolidNYG hits or sacks the QB on only 9.7% of dropbacks (31st-most).
- Without LB Brian Burns (wk 4, 5, 6): 13% of dropbacks on 114 dropbacks; with him 7% on 74; IR this week
- LB Tremaine Edmunds (6 starts) is Out this week (shoulder)
- HOU's QB hit or sacked on 5% of dropbacks the last 2 games, 15% before
- NYG below the league hit-and-sack rate in 4 of 6 games
AngleC.J. Stroud over 255.5 pass yds (-114 FD). - Beat the blitzNYG blitzes on 41.8% of dropbacks (4th-most); HOU ranks 4th in EPA against the blitz.AngleC.J. Stroud over 255.5 pass yds (-114 FD).
- Attack the short middleMixedNYG gives up 8.0 yds per target to the short middle (31st, 24 targets). Xavier Hutchinson has 9 targets there this season.
- Without S Jason Pinnock (wk 1, 2, 5): 12.7 yds per target on 10 targets; with him 3.4 on 8; expected back
- Xavier Hutchinson on these targets: 9, 67% caught, 10.2 yds each (league 69%, 7.3)
- Two big plays make it (31 yds wk 2 vs LA, 22 wk 5 vs WAS); without them 6.3 (league 7.3)
- S Jevon Holland (6 starts) is Questionable this week (concussion)
AngleXavier Hutchinson over 13.5 rec yds (-114 DK); Xavier Hutchinson over 12.5 longest catch (-111 DK).
Key injuriesHOU David Montgomery RB (groin) Out
Motivation & storylines
- StakesNYG 3-2-1, 1st in the NFC East (leads); HOU 2-4, 3rd in the AFC South (2 back).
- HistoryLast met 2022 wk 10: NYG 24-16 at NYG -- first meeting since 2022.
- RevengeNYG vs a former team: D.J. Reader (DL, HOU 2016-19).
L 27-34 vs NOLast weekW 34-31 int'l JAX
ByeNext weekBye
72OFF plays last game63
71DEF plays last game69
Miles flown, last 21 days
1,819 mi15th28th11,037 mi
Exclude NYG weeks
Exclude HOU weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
21stOffense15th
23rdDefense15th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+10.5 NYG vs HOU −10.5
vs HOU −10.5OFF vs man*14th29thman coverage*man rate 22nd
pass rush*32nd2ndpass protection*
early-down OFF26th5thearly-down DEF
big-play DEF31st12thbig-play OFF
run blocking*23rd5thrun DEF up front*
run OFF26th10thrun DEF
OFF vs zone*23rd7thzone coverage*zone rate 11th
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-32, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 5 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. * Sharp Football Analysis.
+10.5 NYG vs HOU −10.5
vs HOU −10.5NYG OFF vs HOU DEF
big-play OFF22nd28thbig-play DEF
12-personnel OFF*12 rate 19th4th10thDEF vs 12 personnel*
pass OFF19th5thpass DEF
play-action OFFPA rate 25th18th7thplay-action DEF
11-personnel OFF*11 rate 29th27th16thDEF vs 11 personnel*
protection vs no blitz17th8thpass rush w/o blitz
pass protection*9th11thpass rush*
third-down OFF13th15ththird-down DEF
OFF vs the blitz24th24thblitzing DEFblitz rate 29th
NYG DEF vs HOU OFF
man coverage*man rate 3rd4th13thOFF vs man*
run DEF22nd28thrun OFF
pass rush w/o blitz32nd18thprotection vs no blitz
zone coverage*zone rate 30th29th16thOFF vs zone*
blitzing DEFblitz rate 4th15th4thOFF vs the blitz
play-action DEF18th8thplay-action OFFPA rate 21st
pass DEF22nd13thpass OFF
run DEF up front*29th20thrun blocking*
third-down DEF23rd18ththird-down OFF
early-down DEF15th16thearly-down OFF
DEF vs 11 personnel*13th13th11-personnel OFF*11 rate 6th
DEF vs 12 personnel*16th20th12-personnel OFF*12 rate 23rd
Pace & tendencies
29.9s13thSeconds between snaps7th29.3s
69.06thPlays per game16th65.3
-8.1%29thPass rate over expected7th+2.1%
8%10thNo-huddle rate15th5%
61%16thShotgun rate8th68%
47%30thMotion rate20th55%
20%25thPlay-action rate21st21%
2.69s25thTime to throw*18th2.86s
44%29th11 personnel*6th70%
21%19th12 personnel*23rd20%
42%4thDEF blitz rate29th23%
33%3rdDEF man rate*22nd17%
62.324thPlays faced per game13th66.0
NYG
away
2 ATS trends
NYG+10.5
ATSfadeFading home favs of more than 3 points, on 4,500+ miles of travel in three weeks
56.1%
win rate
207-162-9
record
+7.1%
roi
-0.3ppg
avg cover
📈
LLLLWWLWLLLLWPWWWWWW
last 20: 10-9-1 (52.6%) · avg cover -2.3 ppg
last 10: 7-2-1 (77.8%) · avg cover +3.0 ppg
since 2003: 207-162-9 (56.1%) · avg cover -0.3 ppg
NYG+10.5
ATSHarbaugh as a dog of more than 7 points
72.7%
win rate
8-3-1
record
+38.8%
roi
+1.9ppg
avg cover
📈
WWLWLWWWWLPW
last 10: 6-3-1 (66.7%) · avg cover -1.3 ppg
since 2003: 8-3-1 (72.7%) · avg cover +1.9 ppg
HOU
home
1 ATS trend · 1 🔥
HOU-10.5
ATSAs a fav of more than 10 points, in a non-conference game, on 4,500+ miles of travel in three weeks
80.0%
win rate
20-5
record
+52.7%
roi
+8.0ppg
avg cover
🔥
LWWLWLWWWWWWWWWLLWWW
last 20: 15-5 (75.0%) · avg cover +6.5 ppg
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +8.5 ppg
since 2003: 20-5 (80.0%) · avg cover +8.0 ppg
Over / Under
4 trends
Under 42.5
Under
C.J. Stroud indoors
66.7%
win rate
24-12-1
record
+27.3%
roi
+0.4ppg
avg under
📈
PLLWWLWWWWWWLLWLLWWL
last 20: 11-8-1 (57.9%) · avg under -0.1 ppg
last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg under -4.5 ppg
since 2003: 24-12-1 (66.7%) · avg under +0.4 ppg
Over 42.5
Over
John Harbaugh as a road dog of more than 3 points
64.3%
win rate
27-15
record
+22.7%
roi
+3.7ppg
avg over
📈
WLLWLWWWWWLWLWWWWWLW
last 20: 14-6 (70.0%) · avg over +4.5 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg over +2.3 ppg
since 2003: 27-15 (64.3%) · avg over +3.7 ppg
Under 42.5
Under
DeMeco Ryans as a fav
65.6%
win rate
21-11
record
+25.3%
roi
-0.1ppg
avg under
📈
LWLLWWWWLWWWLLLWWWLW
last 20: 12-8 (60.0%) · avg under -1.9 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg under -1.6 ppg
since 2003: 21-11 (65.6%) · avg under -0.1 ppg
Over 42.5
Over
In a non-conference game, indoors, with a spread of more than 10 points
61.8%
win rate
21-13-1
record
+17.9%
roi
+3.4ppg
avg over
📈
WLWLWLLLPLLWLLWWWWWW
last 20: 10-9-1 (52.6%) · avg over +3.7 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg over +7.8 ppg
since 2003: 21-13-1 (61.8%) · avg over +3.4 ppg
- Reliant Stadium
- Surface · turf
Run your own query on this matchup
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