Slim Sports
Games 🔥 Trends Fantasy Survivor Research

Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys

Records, streaks and rest for this week are calculated from games played so far, so they will be out of date until the weeks before it are played.
ARI@DAL DAL -6.5 · O/U 51.5
ARI
Sunday 2026-11-01
1:00pm
FOX
Indoors
DAL
How to attack
ARI offense vs DAL defense
  • Run outside, not insideMixedDAL allows 5.8 per carry outside the tackles (29th) but 3.2 between the guards (7th). Tyler Allgeier has 44% of the backs' carries lately (10 a game).
    • Without CB Reddy Steward (wk 6): 3.2 per carry on 15 carries; with him 8.7 on 23; expected back
    • Tyler Allgeier: 22 carries here, 3.7 per carry, 50% successful (league 4.5, 41%)
    • Mostly one game: wk 5 vs TB, 10.7 per carry on 17
    • DAL allowed more than league average per carry in 3 of 6 games
    AngleTyler Allgeier over 28.5 rush yds (-116 DK); Tyler Allgeier over 9.5 carries (-101 DK).
  • Get the tight end involvedShakyDAL ranks 31st vs tight ends in EPA per target: 84% caught, 8.0 yds per target, 50 per game. Best fits: Trey McBride (26% of targets, 5 in the red zone).
    • Without S Markquese Bell (wk 4): 12.4 yds per target on 5 targets; with him 6.6 on 18; expected back
    • Trey McBride on these targets: 65, 75% caught, 5.6 yds each (league 72%, 7.0)
    • DAL allowed more than league average per target in 3 of 5 games
    • Last 2 games DAL allowed 5.2 per target; 9.5 before
    AngleTrey McBride over 63.5 rec yds (-114 FD); Trey McBride over 7.5 catches (+116 FD). Weak case: the read is Shaky.
  • Time to throw for Jacoby BrissettSolidDAL hits or sacks the QB on only 11.5% of dropbacks (30th-most).
    • DAL below the league hit-and-sack rate in 4 of 6 games
    AngleJacoby Brissett over 225.5 pass yds (-114 FD).
DAL offense vs ARI defense
  • Throw to the wide receiversShakyARI ranks 31st vs wide receivers in EPA per target: 60% caught, 9.9 yds per target, 153 per game. Best fits: CeeDee Lamb (29% of targets, 7 in the red zone) and George Pickens (21% of targets, 3 in the red zone).
    • Without CB Will Johnson (wk 3, 4, 5, 6): 10.9 yds per target on 54 targets; with him 8.4 on 39; expected back
    • CeeDee Lamb on these targets: 69, 70% caught, 8.4 yds each (league 62%, 8.1)
    • Two big plays make it (82 yds wk 2 vs SEA, 82 wk 3 vs SF); without them 8.3 (league 8.1)
    • ARI allowed more than league average per target in 4 of 6 games
    Angleno rec yds line posted yet for CeeDee Lamb (the data leans over). Weak case: the read is Shaky.
  • Finish in the red zoneARI allows touchdowns on 72.7% of red-zone trips (27th); DAL scores them on 73.9% (4th).
    • ARI allowed TDs on 16 of 22 trips (2/3, 3/5, 3/3, 2/3, 4/4, 2/4 by game)
    • DAL scored TDs on 17 of 23 trips (3/3, 3/4, 3/6, 4/4, 2/2, 2/4 by game)
  • Attack the short leftShakyARI gives up 7.4 yds per target to the short left (29th, 53 targets). CeeDee Lamb has 24 targets there this season.
    • Without S Andrew Wingard (wk 4, 5, 6): 5.9 yds per target on 30 targets; with him 9.3 on 23; expected back
    • CeeDee Lamb on these targets: 24, 79% caught, 6.9 yds each (league 70%, 5.8)
    • Two big plays make it (82 yds wk 3 vs SF, 26 wk 1 vs LAC); without them 5.6 (league 5.8)
    • Mostly one game: wk 3 vs SF, 12.1 yds per target on 10
    Angleno rec yds line posted yet for CeeDee Lamb (the data leans over). Weak case: the read is Shaky.
Motivation & storylines
  • StakesARI 2-4, 4th in the NFC West (4 back); DAL 2-4, 2nd in the NFC East (1.5 back).
  • HistoryLast met 2025 wk 9: ARI 27-17 at DAL.
  • SpotARI won 18-16 at LA as a 12.5-point underdog last week.
vs DENLast week@ PHI
@ SEANext week@ IND
–OFF plays last game–
–DEF plays last game–
Miles flown, last 21 days
1,579 mi14th25th4,517 mi
EPA rank · adjusted
16thOffense6th
29thDefense32nd
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+6.5 ARI vs DAL −6.5
protection vs no blitz6th31stpass rush w/o blitz
11-personnel OFF*11 rate 21st11th32ndDEF vs 11 personnel*
pass protection*1st21stpass rush*
early-down OFF10th30thearly-down DEF
OFF vs zone*12th32ndzone coverage*zone rate 24th
pass OFF15th32ndpass DEF
third-down OFF15th32ndthird-down DEF
zone coverage*zone rate 3rd28th5thOFF vs zone*
blitzing DEFblitz rate 18th31st12thOFF vs the blitz
DEF vs 11 personnel*19th1st11-personnel OFF*11 rate 3rd
third-down DEF21st4ththird-down OFF
play-action DEF30th13thplay-action OFFPA rate 23rd
run DEF24th8thrun OFF
early-down DEF19th4thearly-down OFF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-32, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 5 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. * Sharp Football Analysis.
+6.5 ARI vs DAL −6.5
ARI OFF vs DAL DEF
run OFF13th26thrun DEF
OFF vs man*31st18thman coverage*man rate 9th
big-play OFF32nd25thbig-play DEF
run blocking*22nd20thrun DEF up front*
OFF vs the blitz26th23rdblitzing DEFblitz rate 19th
play-action OFFPA rate 32nd19th22ndplay-action DEF
12-personnel OFF*12 rate 30th27th23rdDEF vs 12 personnel*
ARI DEF vs DAL OFF
pass DEF24th10thpass OFF
pass rush*26th12thpass protection*
man coverage*man rate 30th31st17thOFF vs man*
DEF vs 12 personnel*32nd19th12-personnel OFF*12 rate 27th
pass rush w/o blitz23rd12thprotection vs no blitz
big-play DEF26th26thbig-play OFF
run DEF up front*19th16thrun blocking*
Pace & tendencies
31.0s22ndSeconds between snaps2nd28.4s
69.55thPlays per game9th67.2
-1.1%20thPass rate over expected5th+2.9%
11%5thNo-huddle rate6th10%
56%23rdShotgun rate6th69%
61%11thMotion rate29th47%
16%32ndPlay-action rate23rd21%
2.54s31stTime to throw*22nd2.75s
59%21st11 personnel*3rd75%
12%30th12 personnel*27th16%
28%18thDEF blitz rate19th28%
10%30thDEF man rate*9th27%
61.527thPlays faced per game12th66.2
ARI away 3 ATS trends
Over / Under
2 trends

Run your own query on this matchup

Every other game this week: Week 8 2026 trends.

Gamble Responsibly. 21+ Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at your book before betting. College Football betting trends by week and game. * Stats marked with an asterisk (pressure, run blocking, man/zone coverage, time to throw, personnel): Sharp Football Analysis.