Los Angeles Chargers at Los Angeles Rams
Records, streaks and rest for this week are calculated from games played so far, so they will be out of date until the weeks before it are played.
LAC@
LA
LA -7 · O/U 45.5
LACSunday 2026-11-01
4:05pm
FOX
Indoors
LAHow to attack
LA offense vs LAC defense- Run outside, not insideMixedLAC allows 4.8 per carry outside the tackles (25th) but 4.0 between the guards (6th). Kyren Williams has 61% of the backs' carries lately (14 a game).
- Kyren Williams: 21 carries here, 5.9 per carry, 43% successful (league 4.5, 41%)
- Two big plays make it (28 yds wk 4 vs SEA, 18 wk 1 vs ARI); without them 4.2 (league 4.5)
- LAC allowed more than league average per carry in 4 of 6 games
- Blake Corum: 18 carries here, 4.6 per carry, 39% successful (league 4.5, 41%)
AngleKyren Williams over 66.5 rush yds (-114 DK); Kyren Williams over 14.5 carries (-121 DK). - Attack the short leftMixedLAC gives up 6.7 yds per target to the short left (28th, 53 targets). Davante Adams has 14 targets there this season.
- Without S Derwin James (wk 4, 5, 6): 4.8 yds per target on 23 targets; with him 8.2 on 30; expected back
- Davante Adams on these targets: 14, 100% caught, 10.6 yds each (league 70%, 5.8)
- Two big plays make it (29 yds wk 3 vs BUF, 27 wk 2 vs LV); without them 5.9 (league 5.8)
- LAC allowed more than league average per target in 4 of 6 games
Angleno rec yds line posted yet for Davante Adams (the data leans over).
Motivation & storylines
- StakesLAC 0-6, 4th in the AFC West (5.5 back); LAR 2-4, 3rd in the NFC West (4 back).
- HistoryLast met 2022 wk 17: LAC 31-10 at LAC -- first meeting since 2022.
- StreakLAC has lost 6 straight (winless).
- SpotLAC off a bye; LA lost 18-16 vs ARI as a 12.5-point favorite last week.
ByeLast week@ LV
vs HOUNext week@ WAS
68OFF plays last game–
59DEF plays last game–
Miles flown, last 21 days
2,733 mi20th5th463 mi
Exclude LAC weeks
Exclude LA weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
32ndOffense13th
5thDefense9th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+7 LAC vs LA −7
vs LA −7man coverage*man rate 19th7th29thOFF vs man*
blitzing DEFblitz rate 21st6th21stOFF vs the blitz
OFF vs zone*29th8thzone coverage*zone rate 28th
play-action OFFPA rate 9th29th11thplay-action DEF
DEF vs 11 personnel*27th9th11-personnel OFF*11 rate 18th
12-personnel OFF*12 rate 28th31st14thDEF vs 12 personnel*
run DEF up front*18th2ndrun blocking*
big-play OFF21st6thbig-play DEF
third-down OFF24th9ththird-down DEF
11-personnel OFF*11 rate 28th29th14thDEF vs 11 personnel*
travel2,733 mi, 21 days20th5thtravel463 mi, 21 days
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-32, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 5 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. * Sharp Football Analysis.
+7 LAC vs LA −7
vs LA −7LAC OFF vs LA DEF
run blocking*18th24thrun DEF up front*
OFF vs man*24th10thman coverage*man rate 5th
pass OFF32nd20thpass DEF
OFF vs the blitz29th18thblitzing DEFblitz rate 16th
protection vs no blitz27th17thpass rush w/o blitz
run OFF23rd14thrun DEF
pass protection*17th13thpass rush*
early-down OFF29th26thearly-down DEF
LAC DEF vs LA OFF
play-action DEF6th20thplay-action OFFPA rate 12th
pass rush w/o blitz7th15thprotection vs no blitz
pass rush*7th13thpass protection*
early-down DEF17th7thearly-down OFF
run DEF21st12thrun OFF
pass DEF16th12thpass OFF
big-play DEF18th17thbig-play OFF
third-down DEF5th8ththird-down OFF
zone coverage*zone rate 14th5th7thOFF vs zone*
DEF vs 12 personnel*12th7th12-personnel OFF*12 rate 31st
Pace & tendencies
30.7s20thSeconds between snaps12th29.9s
66.013thPlays per game3rd70.8
-11.8%32ndPass rate over expected6th+2.8%
5%16thNo-huddle rate4th12%
67%10thShotgun rate25th55%
74%3rdMotion rate5th66%
26%9thPlay-action rate12th25%
2.99s13thTime to throw*27th2.68s
44%28th11 personnel*18th60%
15%28th12 personnel*31st9%
27%21stDEF blitz rate16th31%
19%19thDEF man rate*5th31%
62.722ndPlays faced per game18th64.3
LAC
away
3 ATS trends
LAC+7
ATSOn the road, in a non-conference game, off a bye
59.8%
win rate
61-41-6
record
+14.2%
roi
+1.9ppg
avg cover
📈
LLWWLPWWWLPWWLWLLWWL
last 20: 10-8-2 (55.6%) · avg cover +3.4 ppg
last 10: 5-4-1 (55.6%) · avg cover +1.8 ppg
since 2003: 61-41-6 (59.8%) · avg cover +1.9 ppg
LAC+7
ATSHerbert as a dog of more than 3 points
66.7%
win rate
12-6-1
record
+27.3%
roi
+0.8ppg
avg cover
📈
WWWLWWWWWWLWWWLLPLL
last 10: 4-5-1 (44.4%) · avg cover -1.5 ppg
since 2003: 12-6-1 (66.7%) · avg cover +0.8 ppg
LAC+7
ATScoolingHarbaugh on the road
59.3%
win rate
32-22-3
record
+13.1%
roi
+1.5ppg
avg cover
📈
WLWWWWWLWLLLLWWLLLPL
last 20: 9-10-1 (47.4%) · avg cover +0.1 ppg
last 10: 2-7-1 (22.2%) · avg cover -3.0 ppg
since 2003: 32-22-3 (59.3%) · avg cover +1.5 ppg
LA
home
1 ATS trend
LA-7
ATSAs a fav, against a team off a bye, indoors
61.5%
win rate
40-25-1
record
+17.5%
roi
+2.3ppg
avg cover
📈
WLLLLWWWLWLWWWWWWLWL
last 20: 12-8 (60.0%) · avg cover +0.3 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover -1.1 ppg
since 2003: 40-25-1 (61.5%) · avg cover +2.3 ppg
Over / Under
3 trends
Under 45.5
Under
Jim Harbaugh as a dog, off a loss
81.8%
win rate
9-2
record
+56.2%
roi
+10.0ppg
avg under
📈
WWLWWWWWLWW
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg under +9.2 ppg
since 2003: 9-2 (81.8%) · avg under +10.0 ppg
Under 45.5
Under
Sean McVay as a home fav
64.5%
win rate
40-22
record
+23.2%
roi
+2.2ppg
avg under
📈
WWWLWLWWWWWLWWWLLWLW
last 20: 14-6 (70.0%) · avg under +3.8 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg under +0.3 ppg
since 2003: 40-22 (64.5%) · avg under +2.2 ppg
Under 45.5
Under
Justin Herbert as a dog of more than 3 points
68.4%
win rate
13-6
record
+30.6%
roi
+1.8ppg
avg under
📈
WLLWLWWWLLWWWWWWLWW
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg under +5.7 ppg
since 2003: 13-6 (68.4%) · avg under +1.8 ppg
- SoFi Stadium
- Roof · dome
- Surface · turf
Run your own query on this matchup
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