Philadelphia Eagles at Washington
Records, streaks and rest for this week are calculated from games played so far, so they will be out of date until the weeks before it are played.
PHI@
WAS
WAS -3.5 · O/U 41.5
PHISunday 2026-11-01
8:20pm
NBC
58°F · wind 6 mph · 💧 13%
WASHow to attack
PHI offense vs WAS defense- Get the tight end involvedMixedWAS ranks 29th vs tight ends in EPA per target: 76% caught, 9.0 yds per target, 74 per game. Best fits: Dallas Goedert (18% of targets).
- Without S Nick Cross (wk 3, 4, 5): 7.9 yds per target on 32 targets; with him 11.1 on 17; expected back
- Dallas Goedert on these targets: 24, 71% caught, 7.5 yds each (league 72%, 7.0)
- WAS allowed more than league average per target in 6 of 6 games
- Last 2 games WAS allowed 8.2 per target; 9.7 before
Angleno rec yds line posted yet for Dallas Goedert (the data leans over). - Attack the deep rightMixedWAS gives up 18.9 yds per target to the deep right (31st, 19 targets). DeVonta Smith has 10 targets there this season.
- Without S Nick Cross (wk 3, 4, 5): 6.8 yds per target on 9 targets; with him 29.8 on 10; expected back
- DeVonta Smith on these targets: 10, 50% caught, 12.0 yds each (league 40%, 11.2)
- WAS allowed more than league average per target in 3 of 4 games
- Last 2 games WAS allowed 6.8 per target; 26.1 before
Angleno rec yds line posted yet for DeVonta Smith (the data leans over). - Finish in the red zoneWAS allows touchdowns on 81.8% of red-zone trips (32nd); PHI scores them on 68.8% (9th).
- WAS allowed TDs on 18 of 22 trips (2/3, 3/4, 4/5, 3/3, 3/3, 3/4 by game)
- PHI scored TDs on 11 of 16 trips (2/3, 3/4, 1/2, 2/4, 1/1, 2/2 by game)
WAS offense vs PHI defense- Run the ballShakyPHI ranks 30th vs the run (3.7 per carry).
- Two big plays make it (27 yds wk 2 vs TEN, 23 wk 4 vs LA); without them 3.5 (league 3.9)
- Mostly one game: wk 2 vs TEN, 4.2 per carry on 28
- PHI allowed more than league average per carry in 1 of 6 games
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 67 carries here, 3.6 per carry, 36% successful (league 3.9, 39%)
Motivation & storylines
- StakesDivision game. NYG leads the NFC East by 1.5; PHI 2-4, 1.5 back; WAS 1-4-1, 2 back.
- HistoryLast met 2026 wk 1: PHI 24-22 at PHI.
- HistoryPHI eliminated WAS in the 2024 conference title game (55-23).
- History2025 series: Split (29-18 at WAS, 24-17 at PHI).
- RevengeWAS vs a former team: Rasul Douglas (CB, PHI 2017-19).
- SpotWAS off a bye.
vs DALLast weekBye
vs NYGNext weekvs LA
–OFF plays last game64
–DEF plays last game62
Miles flown, last 21 days
114 mi2nd26th4,855 mi
Exclude PHI weeks
Exclude WAS weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
30thOffense17th
24thDefense27th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+3.5 PHI vs WAS −3.5
vs WAS −3.5travel114 mi, 21 days2nd26thtravel4,855 mi, 21 days
third-down DEF17th32ndthird-down OFF
run blocking*30th8thrun DEF up front*
play-action OFFPA rate 28th30th8thplay-action DEF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-32, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 5 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. * Sharp Football Analysis.
+3.5 PHI vs WAS −3.5
vs WAS −3.5PHI OFF vs WAS DEF
protection vs no blitz16th28thpass rush w/o blitz
OFF vs man*11th21stman coverage*man rate 17th
11-personnel OFF*11 rate 1st28th15thDEF vs 11 personnel*
big-play OFF27th16thbig-play DEF
OFF vs the blitz30th19thblitzing DEFblitz rate 2nd
early-down OFF31st24thearly-down DEF
12-personnel OFF*12 rate 22nd32nd26thDEF vs 12 personnel*
pass OFF31st28thpass DEF
run OFF25th28thrun DEF
pass protection*26th30thpass rush*
third-down OFF22nd24ththird-down DEF
OFF vs zone*25th21stzone coverage*zone rate 16th
PHI DEF vs WAS OFF
DEF vs 12 personnel*15th29th12-personnel OFF*12 rate 15th
run DEF up front*4th15thrun blocking*
DEF vs 11 personnel*9th20th11-personnel OFF*11 rate 8th
early-down DEF10th18thearly-down OFF
run DEF30th19thrun OFF
blitzing DEFblitz rate 26th28th20thOFF vs the blitz
pass rush w/o blitz29th23rdprotection vs no blitz
pass DEF18th22ndpass OFF
big-play DEF19th19thbig-play OFF
pass rush*24th27thpass protection*
play-action DEF13th15thplay-action OFFPA rate 17th
man coverage*man rate 18th20th19thOFF vs man*
zone coverage*zone rate 15th17th22ndOFF vs zone*
Pace & tendencies
29.5s10thSeconds between snaps4th28.8s
61.027thPlays per game12th66.2
-0.5%15thPass rate over expected12th-0.3%
14%1stNo-huddle rate9th8%
71%4thShotgun rate3rd74%
58%17thMotion rate25th51%
18%28thPlay-action rate17th22%
2.95s16thTime to throw*10th3.05s
78%1st11 personnel*8th65%
20%22nd12 personnel*15th22%
25%26thDEF blitz rate2nd46%
19%18thDEF man rate*17th19%
70.83rdPlays faced per game17th64.8
PHI
away
2 ATS trends · 1 🔥
PHI+3.5
ATSfadeFading home teams, in a division game, on 4,500+ miles of travel in three weeks
59.6%
win rate
196-133-8
record
+13.7%
roi
+0.9ppg
avg cover
🔥
WLLWLWLLLWWLLLWWWWWW
last 20: 11-9 (55.0%) · avg cover -1.6 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover -0.3 ppg
since 2003: 196-133-8 (59.6%) · avg cover +0.9 ppg
PHI+3.5
ATSfadeFading Quinn off a loss, in primetime
70.0%
win rate
7-3
record
+33.6%
roi
+5.0ppg
avg cover
📈
WLWLWWWWWL
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +5.0 ppg
since 2003: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +5.0 ppg
WAS
home
1 ATS trend
WAS-3.5
ATSfadeFading Sirianni as a dog of more than 3 points
70.0%
win rate
7-3
record
+33.6%
roi
+3.1ppg
avg cover
📈
LWWLWWWWWL
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +3.1 ppg
since 2003: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +3.1 ppg
Over / Under
3 trends
Under 41.5
Under
Dan Quinn off a loss, in primetime
80.0%
win rate
8-2
record
+52.7%
roi
+8.3ppg
avg under
📈
WWWWWWWWLL
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg under +8.3 ppg
since 2003: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg under +8.3 ppg
Under 41.5
Under
Teams as a fav of more than 3 points, off a loss, in primetime
56.6%
win rate
128-98-3
record
+8.1%
roi
+0.5ppg
avg under
📈
WLWWWWLWLWWWLLWLLWLW
last 20: 12-8 (60.0%) · avg under +3.9 ppg
last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg under +1.3 ppg
since 2003: 128-98-3 (56.6%) · avg under +0.5 ppg
Under 41.5
Undercooling
With a team on 4,500+ miles of travel, in primetime
57.3%
win rate
168-125-6
record
+9.5%
roi
+1.0ppg
avg under
📈
LLWLWLWLLWLLWLLWLLWW
last 20: 8-12 (40.0%) · avg under -2.6 ppg
last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg under -3.8 ppg
since 2003: 168-125-6 (57.3%) · avg under +1.0 ppg
- Northwest Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
- Surface · grass
Run your own query on this matchup
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