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Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals

Records, streaks and rest for this week are calculated from games played so far, so they will be out of date until the weeks before it are played.
TEN@CIN CIN -10 · O/U 46.5
TEN
Sunday 2026-11-01
1:00pm
CBS
62°F · wind 11 mph · 💧 32%
CIN
How to attack
TEN offense vs CIN defense
  • Quick game blunts the rushSolidCam Ward is hit or sacked on only 11.7% of dropbacks (5th-fewest), which takes the edge off CIN's rush (15.9%, 10th-most).
    • CIN above the league hit-and-sack rate in 4 of 5 games
    • Last 2 games CIN hit or sacked the QB on 18% of dropbacks; 15% before
    AngleCam Ward over 182.5 pass yds (-114 FD).
  • Red-zone stalls likelyTEN scores touchdowns on 46.7% of red-zone trips (30th); CIN allows them on 41.2% (3rd).
    • Joey Slye: 9 of 10 on field goals, 1 of 2 from 50+, long 56; missed in wk 3
    • CIN allowed TDs on 7 of 17 trips (2/4, 0/4, 1/3, 1/2, 3/4 by game)
    • TEN scored TDs on 7 of 15 trips (1/1, 2/4, 1/3, 2/4, 0/1, 1/2 by game)
    AngleJoey Slye over 1.5 FGs made (-121 DK); Joey Slye over 6.5 kicking points (-108 DK).
CIN offense vs TEN defense
  • Throw to the wide receiversSolidTEN ranks 30th vs wide receivers in EPA per target: 74% caught, 9.4 yds per target, 175 per game. Best fits: Tee Higgins (22% of targets) and Ja'Marr Chase (20% of targets, 5 in the red zone).
    • Without CB Alontae Taylor (wk 6): 7.1 yds per target on 26 targets; with him 10.1 on 86; expected back
    • Tee Higgins on these targets: 43, 63% caught, 9.8 yds each (league 62%, 8.1)
    • TEN allowed more than league average per target in 4 of 6 games
    • Last 2 games TEN allowed 8.0 per target; 10.4 before
    AngleTee Higgins over 65.5 rec yds (-114 DK); Tee Higgins over 4.5 catches (-155 DK).
  • Attack the short leftSolidTEN gives up 7.1 yds per target to the short left (31st, 52 targets). Chase Brown has 12 targets there this season.
    • Without CB Cordale Flott (wk 2): 5.1 yds per target on 8 targets; with him 7.2 on 36; expected back
    • Chase Brown on these targets: 12, 67% caught, 2.5 yds each (league 70%, 5.8)
    • TEN allowed more than league average per target in 4 of 6 games
    • Last 2 games TEN allowed 7.8 per target; 6.7 before
    AngleChase Brown over 19.5 rec yds (-114 FD); Chase Brown over 10.5 longest catch (-122 DK).
  • Throw to the backsShakyTEN ranks 25th vs backs in EPA per target: 77% caught, 7.1 yds per target, 31 per game. Best fits: Chase Brown (15% of targets).
    • Without S Kevin Winston (wk 5, 6): 10.0 yds per target on 8 targets; with him 5.8 on 18; expected back
    • Chase Brown on these targets: 28, 86% caught, 4.4 yds each (league 78%, 5.5)
    • Two big plays make it (38 yds wk 6 vs IND, 30 wk 3 vs NYG); without them 4.9 (league 5.5)
    • Mostly one game: wk 6 vs IND, 14.2 yds per target on 4
    AngleChase Brown over 19.5 rec yds (-114 FD); Chase Brown over 3.5 catches (+102 DK). Weak case: the read is Shaky.
Motivation & storylines
  • StakesTEN 1-5, 4th in the AFC South (3 back); CIN 3-2, 4th in the AFC North (0.5 back).
  • HistoryLast met 2024 wk 15: CIN 37-27 at TEN -- first meeting since 2024.
  • SpotTEN won 26-20 at IND as a 6.5-point underdog last week.
vs CLELast week@ BAL
ByeNext weekint'l ATL
–OFF plays last game–
–DEF plays last game–
Miles flown, last 21 days
738 mi8th9th846 mi
EPA rank · adjusted
31stOffense10th
25thDefense17th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+10 TEN vs CIN −10
pass rush*29th3rdpass protection*
man coverage*man rate 28th30th8thOFF vs man*
play-action OFFPA rate 18th31st12thplay-action DEF
OFF vs zone*31st14thzone coverage*zone rate 27th
pass DEF26th9thpass OFF
DEF vs 12 personnel*19th3rd12-personnel OFF*12 rate 1st
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-32, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 5 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. * Sharp Football Analysis.
+10 TEN vs CIN −10
TEN OFF vs CIN DEF
run blocking*17th25thrun DEF up front*
OFF vs the blitz17th3rdblitzing DEFblitz rate 32nd
12-personnel OFF*12 rate 25th30th20thDEF vs 12 personnel*
pass protection*15th6thpass rush*
pass OFF25th21stpass DEF
run OFF18th19thrun DEF
big-play OFF31st32ndbig-play DEF
protection vs no blitz14th9thpass rush w/o blitz
third-down OFF29th25ththird-down DEF
early-down OFF23rd20thearly-down DEF
OFF vs man*22nd23rdman coverage*man rate 6th
11-personnel OFF*11 rate 2nd30th25thDEF vs 11 personnel*
TEN DEF vs CIN OFF
pass rush w/o blitz19th30thprotection vs no blitz
play-action DEF16th24thplay-action OFFPA rate 30th
run DEF up front*28th14thrun blocking*
blitzing DEFblitz rate 28th32nd18thOFF vs the blitz
third-down DEF13th1stthird-down OFF
big-play DEF17th9thbig-play OFF
zone coverage*zone rate 5th23rd15thOFF vs zone*
DEF vs 11 personnel*20th12th11-personnel OFF*11 rate 30th
run DEF9th14thrun OFF
early-down DEF7th11thearly-down OFF
Pace & tendencies
29.0s6thSeconds between snaps25th31.3s
55.732ndPlays per game19th63.4
-5.5%27thPass rate over expected2nd+5.9%
13%3rdNo-huddle rate18th5%
69%5thShotgun rate2nd75%
47%32ndMotion rate23rd53%
22%18thPlay-action rate30th17%
2.96s15thTime to throw*30th2.55s
77%2nd11 personnel*30th44%
17%25th12 personnel*1st49%
23%28thDEF blitz rate32nd16%
14%28thDEF man rate*6th31%
68.58thPlays faced per game20th63.6
CIN home 3 ATS trends
Over / Under
3 trends

Run your own query on this matchup

Every other game this week: Week 8 2026 trends.

Gamble Responsibly. 21+ Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at your book before betting. College Football betting trends by week and game. * Stats marked with an asterisk (pressure, run blocking, man/zone coverage, time to throw, personnel): Sharp Football Analysis.