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Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks

Records, streaks and rest for this week are calculated from games played so far, so they will be out of date until the weeks before it are played.
ARI@SEA SEA -10.5 · O/U 44.5
ARI
Sunday 2026-11-08
4:25pm
FOX
55°F · wind 13 mph · 💧 40%
SEA
How to attack
ARI offense vs SEA defense
  • Protect Jacoby BrissettSolidARI lets its QB get hit or sacked on 16.1% of dropbacks (10th-most); SEA gets there on 19.9% (3rd-most). His EPA per dropback falls from +0.14 clean to -0.80 when hit.
    • ARI's QB hit or sacked on 19% of dropbacks the last 2 games, 15% before
    • SEA above the league hit-and-sack rate in 6 of 7 games
    • Last 2 games SEA hit or sacked the QB on 17% of dropbacks; 21% before
    AngleJacoby Brissett under 258.5 pass yds (-114 FD); Jacoby Brissett over 0.5 INTs (-114 DK).
  • Tough sledding for Tyler AllgeierMixedSEA ranks 3rd vs the run (3.2 per carry).
    • Tyler Allgeier: 61 carries here, 2.9 per carry, 31% successful (league 3.9, 40%)
    • SEA allowed less than league average per carry in 5 of 7 games
    • Jeremiyah Love: 67 carries here, 3.7 per carry, 43% successful (league 3.9, 40%)
    • Bam Knight: 25 carries here, 6.4 per carry, 36% successful (league 3.9, 40%)
    AngleTyler Allgeier under 16.5 rush yds (-112 DK).
SEA offense vs ARI defense
  • Throw to the wide receiversSolidARI ranks 30th vs wide receivers in EPA per target: 60% caught, 9.7 yds per target, 153 per game. Best fits: Jaxon Smith-Njigba (38% of targets).
    • Without CB Max Melton (wk 7): 8.9 yds per target on 17 targets; with him 10.9 on 54; expected back
    • Jaxon Smith-Njigba on these targets: 78, 74% caught, 11.1 yds each (league 62%, 8.1)
    • ARI allowed more than league average per target in 5 of 7 games
    Angleno rec yds line posted yet for Jaxon Smith-Njigba (the data leans over).
  • Lean on play actionSEA uses play action on 26.1% of dropbacks (10th-most) and ranks 10th in EPA on it; ARI ranks 29th against it.
    Angleno pass yds line posted yet for Sam Darnold (the data leans over).
  • Attack the deep rightMixedARI gives up 14.8 yds per target to the deep right (29th, 21 targets). Rashid Shaheed has 6 targets there this season.
    • Rashid Shaheed on these targets: 6, 33% caught, 10.3 yds each (league 40%, 11.2)
    • Two big plays make it (82 yds wk 2 vs SEA, 47 wk 7 vs DEN); without them 9.6 (league 11.2)
    • ARI allowed more than league average per target in 4 of 5 games
    • Last 2 games ARI allowed 16.1 per target; 11.6 before
    Angleno rec yds line posted yet for Rashid Shaheed (the data leans over).
Motivation & storylines
  • StakesDivision game. SF leads the NFC West by 2; ARI 2-5, 4 back; SEA 4-3, 2 back.
  • HistoryLast met 2026 wk 2: SEA 31-7 at ARI.
  • History2025 series: SEA swept ARI (23-20 at ARI, 22-44 at SEA).
  • RevengeARI vs a former team: L.J. Collier (DL, SEA 2020).
@ DALLast weekvs CHI
vs LANext week@ LV
–OFF plays last game–
–DEF plays last game–
Miles flown, last 21 days
2,861 mi18th1st0 mi
EPA rank · adjusted
17thOffense26th
28thDefense3rd
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+10.5 ARI vs SEA −10.5
big-play OFF32nd1stbig-play DEF
OFF vs man*32nd5thman coverage*man rate 32nd
OFF vs the blitz28th2ndblitzing DEFblitz rate 30th
blitzing DEFblitz rate 15th31st9thOFF vs the blitz
run blocking*23rd3rdrun DEF up front*
play-action DEF29th10thplay-action OFFPA rate 10th
man coverage*man rate 30th28th9thOFF vs man*
DEF vs 12 personnel*30th11th12-personnel OFF*12 rate 10th
travel2,861 mi, 21 days18th1sttravel0 mi, 21 days
third-down OFF21st6ththird-down DEF
12-personnel OFF*12 rate 30th21st6thDEF vs 12 personnel*
big-play DEF25th10thbig-play OFF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-32, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 5 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. * Sharp Football Analysis.
+10.5 ARI vs SEA −10.5
ARI OFF vs SEA DEF
pass OFF16th2ndpass DEF
run OFF14th2ndrun DEF
play-action OFFPA rate 28th17th5thplay-action DEF
protection vs no blitz12th1stpass rush w/o blitz
OFF vs zone*13th2ndzone coverage*zone rate 1st
early-down OFF11th1stearly-down DEF
11-personnel OFF*11 rate 19th12th2ndDEF vs 11 personnel*
pass protection*1st3rdpass rush*
ARI DEF vs SEA OFF
run DEF15th25thrun OFF
DEF vs 11 personnel*17th27th11-personnel OFF*11 rate 28th
pass rush*22nd30thpass protection*
pass DEF24th13thpass OFF
zone coverage*zone rate 3rd27th18thOFF vs zone*
pass rush w/o blitz24th23rdprotection vs no blitz
third-down DEF14th19ththird-down OFF
early-down DEF15th15thearly-down OFF
run DEF up front*23rd26thrun blocking*
Pace & tendencies
31.0s22ndSeconds between snaps28th31.7s
71.12ndPlays per game14th65.6
-0.2%12thPass rate over expected28th-8.4%
11%4thNo-huddle rate28th3%
58%21stShotgun rate29th50%
62%11thMotion rate24th53%
17%28thPlay-action rate10th26%
2.57s30thTime to throw*12th2.98s
58%19th11 personnel*28th45%
12%30th12 personnel*10th28%
31%15thDEF blitz rate30th22%
10%30thDEF man rate*32nd7%
61.126thPlays faced per game25th61.3
SEA home 1 ATS trend
Over / Under
2 trends

Run your own query on this matchup

Every other game this week: Week 9 2026 trends.

Gamble Responsibly. 21+ Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at your book before betting. College Football betting trends by week and game. * Stats marked with an asterisk (pressure, run blocking, man/zone coverage, time to throw, personnel): Sharp Football Analysis.