Slim Sports
Games 🔥 Trends Picks Survivor Research

Denver Broncos at Carolina Panthers

Records, streaks and rest for this week are calculated from games played so far, so they will be out of date until the weeks before it are played.
DEN@CAR DEN -2.5 · O/U 44.5
DEN
Sunday 2026-11-08
1:00pm
CBS
56°F · wind 7 mph · 💧 6%
CAR
How to attack
DEN offense vs CAR defense
  • Run inside, not outsideShakyCAR allows 5.0 per carry between the guards (31st) but 4.9 outside the tackles (9th). J.K. Dobbins has 54% of the backs' carries lately (14 a game).
    • Without LB Devin Lloyd (wk 3): 3.0 per carry on 14 carries; with him 5.4 on 77; expected back
    • J.K. Dobbins: 53 carries here, 3.8 per carry, 34% successful (league 3.7, 40%)
    • CAR allowed more than league average per carry in 3 of 6 games
    • RJ Harvey: 12 carries here, 3.8 per carry, 50% successful (league 3.7, 40%)
    Angleno rush yds line posted yet for J.K. Dobbins (the data leans over). Weak case: the read is Shaky.
  • Blitz troubleCAR blitzes on 37.3% of dropbacks (8th-most); DEN ranks 27th against the blitz.
    Angleno pass yds line posted yet for Bo Nix (the data leans under).
  • Time to throw for Bo NixMixedCAR hits or sacks the QB on only 12.0% of dropbacks (28th-most).
    • CAR below the league hit-and-sack rate in 4 of 6 games
    • Last 2 games CAR hit or sacked the QB on 17% of dropbacks; 10% before
    Angleno pass yds line posted yet for Bo Nix (the data leans over).
CAR offense vs DEN defense
  • Play action is less of a weapon hereCAR uses it on 26.7% of dropbacks (8th-most); DEN ranks 3rd against it.
    AngleBryce Young under 250.5 pass yds (-114 FD).
  • Run the ballShakyDEN ranks 26th vs the run (4.3 per carry). Chuba Hubbard has 73% of the backs' carries lately (18 a game).
    • Chuba Hubbard: 96 carries here, 4.8 per carry, 49% successful (league 3.9, 40%)
    • Two big plays make it (60 yds wk 1 vs KC, 42 wk 5 vs LAC); without them 3.8 (league 3.9)
    • Mostly one game: wk 1 vs KC, 6.2 per carry on 32
    • DEN allowed more than league average per carry in 3 of 7 games
    AngleChuba Hubbard over 70.5 rush yds (-114 FD). Weak case: the read is Shaky.
Motivation & storylines
  • StakesDEN 5-2, 2nd in the AFC West (0.5 back); CAR 3-3, 1st in the NFC South (leads).
  • HistoryLast met 2024 wk 8: DEN 28-14 at DEN -- first meeting since 2024.
  • SpotCAR has 3 more days of rest; CAR lost 43-13 vs TB as a 3-point favorite last week.
vs KCLast week@ GB
ByeNext week@ NO
–OFF plays last game–
–DEF plays last game–
Miles flown, last 21 days
2,532 mi16th11th1,491 mi
Stats from games played through week 7
EPA rank · adjusted
20thOffense11th
4thDefense20th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
−2.5 DEN vs CAR +2.5
protection vs no blitz2nd31stpass rush w/o blitz
pass rush w/o blitz2nd31stprotection vs no blitz
pass rush*4th32ndpass protection*
run blocking*13th30thrun DEF up front*
early-down DEF2nd17thearly-down OFF
OFF vs man*31st3rdman coverage*man rate 28th
big-play OFF30th10thbig-play DEF
pass protection*27th11thpass rush*
OFF vs the blitz27th11thblitzing DEFblitz rate 8th
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-32, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 5 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. * Sharp Football Analysis.
−2.5 DEN vs CAR +2.5
DEN OFF vs CAR DEF
pass OFF29th15thpass DEF
play-action OFFPA rate 15th25th13thplay-action DEF
early-down OFF27th17thearly-down DEF
12-personnel OFF*12 rate 18th23rd14thDEF vs 12 personnel*
run OFF17th22ndrun DEF
third-down OFF29th25ththird-down DEF
OFF vs zone*21st21stzone coverage*zone rate 5th
11-personnel OFF*11 rate 11th23rd24thDEF vs 11 personnel*
DEN DEF vs CAR OFF
pass DEF3rd16thpass OFF
play-action DEF3rd15thplay-action OFFPA rate 8th
DEF vs 12 personnel*1st13th12-personnel OFF*12 rate 9th
run DEF up front*2nd11thrun blocking*
run DEF8th16thrun OFF
zone coverage*zone rate 20th3rd10thOFF vs zone*
blitzing DEFblitz rate 9th8th14thOFF vs the blitz
third-down DEF21st12ththird-down OFF
man coverage*man rate 13th12th5thOFF vs man*
big-play DEF11th8thbig-play OFF
DEF vs 11 personnel*12th11th11-personnel OFF*11 rate 17th
Pace & tendencies
30.4s16thSeconds between snaps1st26.4s
60.428thPlays per game4th69.2
-0.6%16thPass rate over expected1st+7.0%
5%19thNo-huddle rate13th6%
65%12thShotgun rate14th63%
61%14thMotion rate18th57%
22%15thPlay-action rate8th27%
2.98s13thTime to throw*18th2.86s
62%11th11 personnel*17th59%
21%18th12 personnel*9th29%
35%9thDEF blitz rate8th37%
22%13thDEF man rate*28th15%
71.93rdPlays faced per game8th68.0
DEN away 2 ATS trends
CAR home 2 ATS trends
Over / Under
3 trends

Run your own query on this matchup

Every other game this week: Week 9 2026 trends.

Gamble Responsibly. 21+ Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at your book before betting. College Football betting trends by week and game. * Stats marked with an asterisk (pressure, run blocking, man/zone coverage, time to throw, personnel): Sharp Football Analysis.