Los Angeles Rams at Washington
Records, streaks and rest for this week are calculated from games played so far, so they will be out of date until the weeks before it are played.
LA@
WAS
LA -5.5 · O/U 48.5
LASunday 2026-11-08
1:00pm
FOX
53°F · wind 5 mph · 💧 10%
WASHow to attack
LA offense vs WAS defense- Get the tight end involvedMixedWAS ranks 30th vs tight ends in EPA per target: 76% caught, 9.0 yds per target, 74 per game. Best fits: Colby Parkinson (16% of targets, 3 in the red zone).
- Without S Nick Cross (wk 3, 4, 5): 7.9 yds per target on 32 targets; with him 11.1 on 17; expected back
- Colby Parkinson on these targets: 19, 74% caught, 5.4 yds each (league 72%, 7.1)
- WAS allowed more than league average per target in 6 of 6 games
- Last 2 games WAS allowed 8.2 per target; 9.7 before
Angleno rec yds line posted yet for Colby Parkinson (the data leans over). - Time to throw for Matthew StaffordSolidWAS hits or sacks the QB on only 12.8% of dropbacks (26th-most).
- WAS below the league hit-and-sack rate in 4 of 6 games
- Last 2 games WAS hit or sacked the QB on 11% of dropbacks; 14% before
Angleno pass yds line posted yet for Matthew Stafford (the data leans over). - Finish in the red zoneWAS allows touchdowns on 81.8% of red-zone trips (31st); LA scores them on 69.0% (7th).
- WAS allowed TDs on 18 of 22 trips (2/3, 3/4, 4/5, 3/3, 3/3, 3/4 by game)
- LA scored TDs on 20 of 29 trips (1/3, 3/3, 1/5, 3/4, 5/5, 2/4, 5/5 by game)
AngleKyren Williams anytime TD (-150).
Motivation & storylines
- StakesLAR 3-4, 3rd in the NFC West (3 back); WAS 1-4-1, 4th in the NFC East (2.5 back).
- HistoryLast met 2023 wk 15: LAR 28-20 at LA -- first meeting since 2023.
- RevengeLAR vs a former team: Kamren Curl (S, WAS 2020-23).
vs LACLast weekvs PHI
@ ARINext week@ NYG
–OFF plays last game–
–DEF plays last game–
Miles flown, last 21 days
2,774 mi17th26th4,855 mi
Exclude LA weeks
Exclude WAS weeks
Stats from games played through week 7
EPA rank · adjusted
12thOffense21st
5thDefense24th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
−5.5 LA vs WAS +5.5
vs WAS +5.5third-down DEF5th32ndthird-down OFF
pass protection*8th31stpass rush*
early-down OFF3rd24thearly-down DEF
DEF vs 12 personnel*9th30th12-personnel OFF*12 rate 16th
third-down OFF4th24ththird-down DEF
run OFF8th26thrun DEF
12-personnel OFF*12 rate 32nd7th25thDEF vs 12 personnel*
pass OFF11th26thpass DEF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-32, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 5 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. * Sharp Football Analysis.
−5.5 LA vs WAS +5.5
vs WAS +5.5LA OFF vs WAS DEF
protection vs no blitz14th27thpass rush w/o blitz
OFF vs zone*9th20thzone coverage*zone rate 16th
play-action OFFPA rate 10th21st8thplay-action DEF
OFF vs man*30th20thman coverage*man rate 17th
OFF vs the blitz22nd16thblitzing DEFblitz rate 2nd
big-play OFF17th13thbig-play DEF
run blocking*3rd5thrun DEF up front*
11-personnel OFF*11 rate 18th9th14thDEF vs 11 personnel*
LA DEF vs WAS OFF
pass DEF9th22ndpass OFF
big-play DEF5th18thbig-play OFF
blitzing DEFblitz rate 17th10th23rdOFF vs the blitz
zone coverage*zone rate 28th9th22ndOFF vs zone*
run DEF9th21strun OFF
man coverage*man rate 5th10th21stOFF vs man*
play-action DEF5th13thplay-action OFFPA rate 16th
DEF vs 11 personnel*15th21st11-personnel OFF*11 rate 8th
pass rush*21st26thpass protection*
pass rush w/o blitz23rd24thprotection vs no blitz
early-down DEF23rd18thearly-down OFF
run DEF up front*20th17thrun blocking*
Pace & tendencies
30.0s15thSeconds between snaps3rd28.8s
70.63rdPlays per game11th66.2
+3.5%5thPass rate over expected13th-0.3%
11%5thNo-huddle rate9th8%
52%28thShotgun rate3rd74%
67%5thMotion rate27th51%
26%10thPlay-action rate16th22%
2.65s28thTime to throw*9th3.05s
59%18th11 personnel*8th65%
9%32nd12 personnel*16th22%
30%17thDEF blitz rate2nd46%
31%5thDEF man rate*17th19%
65.016thPlays faced per game18th64.8
LA
away
1 ATS trend
LA-5.5
ATSfadeFading home teams, on 4,500+ miles of travel in three weeks, outdoors
55.7%
win rate
360-286-17
record
+6.4%
roi
+0.1ppg
avg cover
📈
LWLLLWLLLLWWLLPWWWWW
last 20: 9-10-1 (47.4%) · avg cover -6.2 ppg
last 10: 7-2-1 (77.8%) · avg cover +2.4 ppg
since 2003: 360-286-17 (55.7%) · avg cover +0.1 ppg
WAS
home
1 ATS trend
WAS+5.5
ATSQuinn as a home dog of more than 3 points
70.0%
win rate
7-3
record
+33.6%
roi
+2.6ppg
avg cover
📈
WWWLWLWLWW
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +2.6 ppg
since 2003: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +2.6 ppg
Over / Under
3 trends
Over 48.5
Over
Matthew Stafford as a road fav of more than 3 points
70.8%
win rate
17-7
record
+35.2%
roi
+5.4ppg
avg over
📈
LWLWLWLLWWWLWWWWWLWW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg over +2.1 ppg
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg over +5.1 ppg
since 2003: 17-7 (70.8%) · avg over +5.4 ppg
Over 48.5
Over
Jayden Daniels as a dog of more than 3 points
75.0%
win rate
9-3
record
+43.2%
roi
+9.2ppg
avg over
📈
WWWWLWWWLWWL
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg over +7.0 ppg
since 2003: 9-3 (75.0%) · avg over +9.2 ppg
Under 48.5
Under
Sean McVay as a fav
58.1%
win rate
68-49
record
+11.0%
roi
+0.9ppg
avg under
📈
LWWWLWWLLLLLLWWWLLWL
last 20: 9-11 (45.0%) · avg under -1.2 ppg
last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg under +0.3 ppg
since 2003: 68-49 (58.1%) · avg under +0.9 ppg
- Northwest Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
- Surface · grass
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 9 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
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